比特幣的高溫法：分歧，看跌壓力和回調風險

比特幣的調情率有史以來高潮，但雞尾酒的雞尾酒和出售壓力提示會帶來回調風險。這是製造中的公牛陷阱嗎？

Bitcoin's been dancing near its all-time high, but don't get too comfy. 'Bitcoin divergence, bearish pressure, pullback risk' are flashing red, suggesting a bumpy ride ahead.

比特幣一直在有史以來的高潮中跳舞，但不要太舒適。 “比特幣發散，看跌壓力，回調風險”正在閃爍紅色，這表明前進了顛簸。

Bearish Divergences: A Warning Sign

看跌分歧：警告信號

Technical analysts are seeing bearish divergences on multiple timeframes – 15-minute, hourly, and even the 4-hour charts. This means Bitcoin's price is going up, but momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) are trending down. It's like the engine's revving, but the car's losing steam. This divergence suggests the recent bullish momentum might be running out of gas, increasing the risk of a near-term pullback. Zooming out to the daily chart reinforces this cautious outlook, harking back to May when a similar divergence coincided with Bitcoin's all-time high around $111,800.

技術分析師在多個時間表上看到看跌分歧 - 15分鐘，每小時甚至4小時的圖表。這意味著比特幣的價格上漲，但是諸如相對強度指數（RSI）之類的動量指標正在下降。這就像發動機的轉機，但汽車損失了蒸汽。這種分歧表明，最近的看漲勢頭可能會耗盡汽油，從而增加了近期回調的風險。縮小到每日圖表加強了這種謹慎的前景，可以追溯到5月，當時類似的分歧與比特幣的歷史最高高點約111,800美元相吻合。

Sell Pressure and Liquidity Sweeps: Breakout or Fakeout?

出售壓力和流動性掃描：突破還是假貨？

Some traders are still eyeing a rally above $112,000, but there's increasing sell pressure around the $110,000 zone. High-taker sell volume suggests investors might be closing positions at resistance, acting as liquidity exits. Adding to the confusion, Bitcoin has been executing liquidity sweeps above resistance and below support levels, only to reverse swiftly. These fakeouts could be designed to flush out leveraged positions before a real directional move.

一些交易者仍在關注超過112,000美元的集會，但售價越來越大，售價在110,000美元左右。高壓銷售量表明投資者可能會在抵抗方面關閉一席之地，作為流動性退出。除了混亂外，比特幣一直在執行高於阻力和支持水平以下的流動性掃描，只是為了迅速逆轉。這些假貨可以設計為在真實的方向移動之前沖洗槓杆位置。

Funding Rates: Are Traders Really Convinced?

資金率：交易者真的說服了嗎？

Funding rates remain neutral, even with Bitcoin testing all-time high territory. This lack of aggressive long positioning suggests traders aren't entirely convinced about a sustained breakout, aligning with the bearish divergences. It's like everyone's at the party, but no one's really cutting loose on the dance floor.

即使比特幣測試歷史上的高領域，資金率仍然保持中立。缺乏積極的長期定位表明，交易者並沒有完全相信持續的突破，這與看跌的分歧保持一致。就像每個人都在聚會上，但沒有人在舞池上真正放鬆。

The $110,000 Question: Bull Trap or Bear Trap?

$ 110,000的問題：牛陷阱還是熊陷阱？

As Bitcoin consolidates just below $110,000, the big question is whether this rally is a bull trap or a bear trap. Market order books are reflecting increased sell pressure, which is a typical sign of rejection zones drawing liquidity for exits, this is reinforced by US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data coming in hotter than expected, helping push BTC toward $110,000, bulls failed to maintain that breakout.

隨著比特幣的合併僅低於110,000美元，最大的問題是該集會是牛陷阱還是熊陷阱。市場訂單賬簿反映了銷售壓力的增加，這是拒絕區域吸引流動性的典型跡象，這是由美國非農場工資（NFP）數據加強的，比預期的要高，這有助於將BTC推向110,000美元，公牛未能維持這一突破。

Personal Take: Proceed with Caution

個人拍攝：謹慎行事

While the allure of new all-time highs is strong, the confluence of bearish divergences, increasing sell pressure, and neutral funding rates suggests caution is warranted. It wouldn't be surprising to see a pullback to the $107,500-$106,000 range before any sustained breakout attempt. Remember, hope is not a strategy, especially in the wild world of crypto.

儘管新的歷史最高高點的魅力很強，但看跌分歧，銷售壓力增加以及中立的資金率的匯合表明，請務必謹慎。在任何持續的突破嘗試之前，看到$ 107,500- $ 106,000的範圍的回調毫不奇怪。請記住，希望不是一項策略，尤其是在加密世界的野生世界中。

So, keep your eyes peeled, your stop-losses tight, and remember, even in the world of Bitcoin, what goes up must eventually come down...at least for a little while. Happy trading, y'all!

因此，請保持眼睛剝落，緊緊鍛煉的停止損失，即使在比特幣的世界中，最終都必須下降……至少一會兒。祝大家交易快樂！