分析師預測 2025 年多頭市場，比特幣持股激增

近期，比特幣價格大幅波動，目前徘徊在6萬美元左右。市面上買家和賣家之間的激烈爭鬥造成了不確定的氣氛。儘管如此，一些分析師認為，當前的動盪可能是主要上升趨勢的前兆。

Bitcoin’s price has experienced significant volatility recently, hovering around the $60,000 mark. The market has seen intense battles between buyers and sellers, creating a climate of uncertainty. However, some analysts believe that the current turbulence might be a precursor to a major upward trend.

近期比特幣價格大幅波動，徘徊在6萬美元大關附近。市面上買家和賣家之間的激烈爭鬥造成了不確定的氣氛。然而，一些分析師認為，當前的動盪可能是重大上升趨勢的前兆。

One of the most vocal proponents of holding Bitcoin is CryptoCon, a renowned technical analyst with a strong following on X (formerly known as Twitter). With over 100,000 followers, CryptoCon has built a reputation for insightful cryptocurrency analysis. According to him, now is not the time to exit Bitcoin positions. Instead, he argues that investors should prepare for a significant bull run expected to begin in 2025.

CryptoCon 是持有比特幣最有力的支持者之一，他是一位著名的技術分析師，在 X（以前稱為 Twitter）上擁有大量追隨者。 CryptoCon 擁有超過 100,000 名追隨者，因其富有洞察力的加密貨幣分析而享有盛譽。他表示，現在還不是退出比特幣部位的時候。相反，他認為投資者應該為預計 2025 年開始的牛市做好準備。

CryptoCon’s analysis is based on historical data and cyclical patterns observed in Bitcoin’s price movements. He likens the current market conditions to previous cycles, where periods of consolidation and resistance were followed by substantial price increases. CryptoCon emphasizes that the present market situation is akin to being “in the last valley before the highest mountain,” suggesting that the calm before the storm is setting the stage for a major rally.

CryptoCon 的分析是基於歷史數據和在比特幣價格變動中觀察到的週期性模式。他將當前的市場狀況與先前的周期進行了比較，在先前的周期中，盤整和阻力期之後是價格大幅上漲。 CryptoCon 強調，目前的市場狀況類似於“處於最高山峰之前的最後一個山谷”，這表明暴風雨前的寧靜正在為大幅反彈奠定基礎。

In his recent statement, CryptoCon wrote:

CryptoCon 在最近的聲明中寫道：

“Leaving Bitcoin now is leaving before everything gets exciting! The same resistance, and same support on the Puell Multiple cycle after cycle. You’re in the last valley before the highest mountain. The calm before the storm, up that is!”

「現在離開比特幣就是在一切變得令人興奮之前離開！在 Puell 多個週期中，相同的阻力和相同的支撐。您正處於最高山峰之前的最後一個山谷。暴風雨前的寧靜，就是這樣！

While predictions about Bitcoin’s future are always subject to change, recent data on Bitcoin’s open interest adds another layer of intrigue to the current market dynamics. Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin’s open interest has surged dramatically, with traders adding more than $1 billion in derivatives positions following the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes.

雖然對比特幣未來的預測總是會發生變化，但最近有關比特幣未平倉合約的數據為當前的市場動態增添了另一層吸引力。在過去 24 小時內，比特幣的未平倉部位大幅飆升，在聯邦公開市場委員會 (FOMC) 會議紀錄發布後，交易員增加了超過 10 億美元的衍生性商品部位。

Open interest refers to the total number of outstanding derivative contracts, such as futures and options, that have not been settled. A surge in open interest often signals increased market activity and can be a precursor to significant price movements. Although it does not directly predict future price changes, rising open interest typically indicates growing volatility.

未平倉合約是指尚未結算的未平倉衍生性合約（例如期貨和選擇權）的總數。未平倉合約的激增通常預示著市場活動的增加，並且可能是價格大幅波動的先兆。儘管它不能直接預測未來的價格變化，但未平倉合約的增加通常表明波動性不斷增加。

In the wake of this surge, Bitcoin managed to regain the $60,000 level, leading to the liquidation of approximately $125 million worth of derivative positions. Notably, a substantial portion of these liquidations—around $69 million—came from long traders who had bet on Bitcoin’s price rising. This suggests a high level of speculative activity and contributes to the current volatility.

在這次飆升之後，比特幣成功重回 6 萬美元的水平，導致價值約 1.25 億美元的衍生性商品部位被清算。值得注意的是，這些清算的很大一部分（約 6,900 萬美元）來自押注比特幣價格上漲的多頭交易者。這表明投機活動水平很高，並加劇了當前的波動。

The combination of CryptoCon’s bullish prediction and the recent spike in open interest highlights a critical juncture for Bitcoin investors. The market is currently in a state of flux, with significant fluctuations in price and trading activity.

CryptoCon 的看漲預測和最近未平倉合約的激增相結合，凸顯了比特幣投資者的關鍵時刻。市場目前處於不斷變化的狀態，價格和交易活動大幅波動。

For investors, this might be a moment to consider their strategies carefully. CryptoCon’s forecast for a 2025 bull run suggests that patience could be rewarded for those who hold their Bitcoin positions through the current volatility. The historical patterns observed by CryptoCon and the recent surge in open interest both point to a potential for substantial future gains.

對於投資者來說，這可能是仔細考慮其策略的時刻。 CryptoCon 對 2025 年牛市的預測表明，對於那些在當前波動中持有比特幣頭寸的人來說，耐心可能會得到回報。 CryptoCon 觀察到的歷史模式和最近未平倉合約的激增都表明未來有可能大幅上漲。

As Bitcoin continues to navigate its current volatile phase, the insights from analysts like CryptoCon provide a compelling argument for holding rather than selling. The anticipation of a major bull run in 2025 suggests that the current market conditions might be a precursor to significant upward momentum.

隨著比特幣繼續處於當前的波動階段，CryptoCon 等分析師的見解為持有而不是出售提供了令人信服的論點。對 2025 年大規模多頭市場的預期表明，當前的市場狀況可能是顯著上漲勢頭的先兆。

Investors should weigh these predictions against their own risk tolerance and investment goals. While the surge in open interest and historical patterns provide intriguing signals, the inherent unpredictability of the cryptocurrency market means that careful consideration and strategic planning are essential.

投資者應根據自己的風險承受能力和投資目標來權衡這些預測。雖然未平倉合約和歷史模式的激增提供了有趣的訊號，但加密貨幣市場固有的不可預測性意味著仔細考慮和策略規劃至關重要。