比特幣，索拉納，突破：我們正處於加密煙花的邊緣嗎？

比特幣的合併暗示了即將突破的突破，而Solana的眼睛卻是一大激增。 BTC和SOL是否準備點燃下一個加密集會？讓我們深入了解趨勢和見解。

Bitcoin, Solana, Breakout: Are We on the Verge of Crypto Fireworks?

比特幣，索拉納，突破：我們正處於加密煙花的邊緣嗎？

Bitcoin's been playing it cool, consolidating after hitting the $100K mark, while Solana's been patiently waiting for its moment. Could we be on the cusp of a major breakout for both? Let's break down what's happening.

比特幣在達到10萬美元的大關之後一直很酷，穩固，而索拉納一直在耐心地等待它的時刻。我們可以在兩者的重大突破中遇到風口浪尖嗎？讓我們分解發生的事情。

Bitcoin's Eight-Week Standoff

比特幣的八週對峙

Bitcoin (BTC) has been stuck between $100K and $111.8K for eight weeks. This consolidation period suggests a breakout is brewing. Will it be a surge past its all-time high (ATH), or a dip lower? Some analysts believe a fake-out could occur, with BTC dipping to $105K before a potential upward move. Key support remains at $100K, but a drop below that could signal a bearish shift, targeting $93K or even $88K.

比特幣（BTC）一直處於八週內的$ 100k至111.8k之間。這個合併期間表明突破正在醞釀中。這會是超過其歷史最高（ATH）還是下降的潮流？一些分析師認為可能會發生偽造，而BTC在潛在的上升之前降至105,000美元。關鍵支持仍為$ 10萬美元，但低於低於看跌的轉變，目標是93K美元甚至8.8萬美元。

Institutions are still holding strong. Abraxas Capital, even after moving a substantial amount of BTC to Kraken, retains a massive cushion, signaling confidence in Bitcoin's long-term direction. This suggests that any dips might be short-lived, paving the way for a breakout.

機構仍然保持強大。即使將大量BTC移至Kraken之後，Abraxas Capital仍保留了巨大的墊子，並表示對比特幣長期方向的信心。這表明任何傾角都可能是短暫的，為突破鋪平了道路。

Solana's Cup and Handle Dreams

索拉納的杯子和夢想

Solana (SOL) is mirroring Bitcoin's potential, with a cup and handle pattern forming on the monthly charts. According to technical analyst Trader Tardigrade, SOL is waiting for its turn to breakout. The analyst predicts a target of $4,390 once the breakout is achieved. A Solana Spot ETF went live on July 2nd, seeing $11.4 million in inflows on July 3rd. This could push Solana beyond the $200 mark, triggering the cup and handle breakout.

Solana（Sol）正在鏡像比特幣的潛力，並在每月圖表上形成杯子和手柄圖案。根據技術分析師Trader Tardigrade的說法，SOL正在等待輪流進行突破。分析師預測，一旦實現了突破，分析師的目標是4,390美元。 7月2日，一個Solana Spot ETF上線，7月3日的流入量為1,140萬美元。這可能會將Solana推到200美元以上，從而觸發杯子和手柄突破。

Solana's Hype Season: Not Yet, But Soon?

Solana的炒作季節：還沒有，但是很快？

On-chain activity for Solana spiked between October and December 2024, coinciding with a rally from $146 to $264. During this time, Solana memecoins were all the rage. While active addresses have since cooled off, the number of large holders with over 10k SOL increased in March and April 2024, remaining steady throughout most of 2025. Another surge in large holders could signal renewed confidence from big investors.

Solana的鏈上活動在2024年10月至2024年12月之間，與146美元至264美元相吻合。在此期間，索拉納（Solana Memecoins）風靡一時。儘管有活躍的地址一直冷卻，但2024年3月和2024年4月的大型SOL超過10K SOL的數量在2025年的大部分時間裡保持穩定。大型持有人的另一個激增可能表明，大型投資者重新信心。

However, the weekly chart shows a bearish structure. If SOL can climb back above $190, the weekly structure would shift bullishly once more.

但是，每週圖顯示了看跌結構。如果索爾可以恢復到190美元以上，那麼每週的結構將再次老前轉移。

Bonk.fun Takes the Lead

Bonk.Fun領先

Bonk.fun, a Solana token issuer, has overtaken Pump.fun to become the leading launchpad in the market, claiming over 55% market share. This has increased demand for BONK, the Solana-based token at the center of its ecosystem. Bonk.fun’s fee structure, where 50% goes to buying and burning BONK, is driving aggressive market buy pressure. If Bonk.fun continues to dominate, annualized BONK purchases could reach into the hundreds of millions, tightening supply.

Solana代幣發行人Bonk.Fun已超過泵。 Fun成為市場領先的發射台，聲稱超過55％的市場份額。這增加了對Bonk的需求，Bonk是其生態系統中心的基於索拉納的代幣。 Bonk.Fun的費用結構，有50％用於購買和燃燒的邦克，正在驅動積極的市場購買壓力。如果Bonk.Fun繼續占主導地位，那麼年度化的Bonk購買可能會達到數億美元，從而收緊了供應。

Ethereum's Pennant and Government Moves

以太坊的佳革和政府行動

Ethereum (ETH) formed a bullish pennant pattern on July 8, 2025, signaling a potential 10% price surge toward $2,817. The pennant emerged after a sharp price increase in early July. The price has remained above the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), reinforcing the bullish setup.

以太坊（ETH）於2025年7月8日形成了看漲的五角旗模式，表明潛在的10％的價格漲幅向2,817美元。 7月初的價格急劇上漲後，三角旗出現了。價格保持在50週期的指數移動平均值（EMA）之上，從而增強了看漲的設置。

On July 7, 2025, the U.S. government transferred $219,000 worth of Ethereum to Coinbase. While the amount is small, it sparked concerns over a possible liquidation. The ETH originated from assets seized in 2022 from scammer Chase Senecal. The government holds over $650 million in Ethereum, so this move is just a small portion. So far, the ETH price has remained resilient.

2025年7月7日，美國政府將價值219,000美元的以太坊轉移到了Coinbase。雖然數量很小，但它引發了人們對可能清算的擔憂。 ETH起源於2022年從Scammer Chase Senecal扣押的資產。政府在以太坊中持有超過6.5億美元的資金，因此此舉只是一小部分。到目前為止，ETH價格保持韌性。

Final Thoughts

最後的想法

So, are Bitcoin and Solana about to pop? Bitcoin's consolidation suggests a big move is coming, and Solana's technicals are aligning for a potential surge. Keep an eye on those charts, folks – things could get interesting real soon. And remember, always do your own research before diving into the wild world of crypto!

那麼，比特幣和Solana即將流行嗎？比特幣的整合表明，一個大動作即將來臨，Solana的技術正在與潛在的激增保持一致。密切關注這些圖表，伙計們 - 事情很快就會變得很有趣。請記住，在潛入加密世界的野生世界之前，請務必做自己的研究！