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Bitcoin is approaching a crucial resistance level at $96,885 as it continues to recover.
Bitcoin price has started August on a positive note as the asset continues to trade well above both the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs. This clearly demonstrates bullish momentum and, in theory, places BTC in a sound upward trend on the daily chart. However, momentum does appear to be slowing down. A classic sign of a possible reversal, or at the very least the formation of a local top, is an obvious decline in the volume that is supporting the recent leg up.
This puts Bitcoin in a position where it either rejects and falls back below the $92,000 support range or breaks through the $96,885 resistance with enough volume to carry it through. There is little to no chance of reaching $100,000 in the near future if that breakdown occurs. As we know, markets feed on momentum and without any outside stimuli, Bitcoin just does not currently have enough to take off.
There is some likelihood of a cool-down or consolidation as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is circling overbought levels. If resistance is not overcome, there may be a correction back toward the $89,000-$92,000 range, which is not what bulls are hoping for in the near term but is still healthy in the larger trend.
Ultimately, at this resistance, Bitcoin is in a now or never situation. To rekile significant bullish sentiment, it must break and hold above $96,885. If not, anticipate a retracement and profit-taking that could postpone the long-awaited six-figure milestone once more.
Shiba Inu gets ready
After a long period of consolidation, Shiba Inu is finally showing some signs of life as the meme asset approaches a crucial technical breakout. The 26 EMA has acted as a pivot between short-term downtrends and bullish reversals throughout history and SHIB is testing this level on the daily chart.
A move toward the $0.00001400 zone, where the 100 EMA is currently located, may be possible if SHIB manages to close above the 26 EMA with enough strength. A successful test or breakout above this level, which serves as a significant resistance threshold, may indicate a more general bullish change in SHIB’s midterm trend.
A crucial indicator that traders are beginning to position themselves for a breakout is the steadily increasing volume in the current market structure. From a technical perspective, SHIB has managed to stay above the $0.00001270 support, which has repeatedly absorbed selling pressure. This level has acted as a launchpad before and it seems to be doing so again.
A retest of the $0.00001270 support and a possible decline back toward $0.001170, which has acted as the lower bound of the current range, may arise if SHIB gets rejected at the 26 EMA. Currently, there is a bullish trend in momentum. A clear move above the 26 EMA and the 100 EMA would likely set off a chain reaction of buy signals across technical setups as SHIB aims to resume a short-term uptrend, potentially reigniting the meme coin narrative.
Solana needs help
Once again, Solana is drawing attention to itself not for its ascent but rather for its failure to pierce a level of resistance that should be a relatively simple endeavor with greater momentum. SOL is currently trading at about $147 and is struggling to break above the 100 EMA, which is located at around $151.
This resistance has now become a psychological barrier that is repeatedly rejecting the asset despite several bullish attempts. The trend is becoming too consistent to ignore. The bigger picture is not helpful. Despite SOL’s impressive recovery from its March lows, the lack of volume behind the move and the inability to break the 100 EMA suggest underlying weakness. As traders lack confidence in the asset’s continuation at these levels, they may be taking profits or, worse yet, opting not to pursue it.
Again, there are no signs of breakout momentum, but the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is positioned at 59, indicating a neutral-to-bullish bias. This supports the notion that there is local top pressure, or at the very least, a stall in buying power. The 200 EMA is also critically placed at $161, which has historically seen strong reactions and further complicates matters.
A move toward the 200 EMA at this point seems overly optimistic if SOL cannot even break the 100 EMA. Additionally, the chart suggests a fading bullish pennant or wedge which, should SOL fall below $142 once more, could invalidate the uptrend. Expect a retreat
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