到 2050 年，比特幣儲備將如何改變美國債務管理

VanEck 的分析支持這項策略，並預測到 2049 年，此類投資可將國家負債減少約 42 兆美元。

Asset management giant VanEck has recently projected that the United States could significantly cut its national debt by as much as 36% by 2050 through adopting a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.

資產管理巨頭 VanEck 最近預測，透過採用戰略比特幣儲備，美國到 2050 年可以將其國債大幅削減多達 36%。

This initiative aligns with Senator Cynthia Lummis’s Bitcoin Act, which advocates for the US to amass 1 million bitcoins within the next five years. The lawmaker argues that such a reserve could place future generations on a more stable financial footing, free from debts they did not accrue or benefit from.

這項舉措與參議員 Cynthia Lummis 的比特幣法案一致，該法案主張美國在未來五年內累積 100 萬枚比特幣。這位立法者認為，這樣的儲備可以使子孫後代擁有更穩定的財務基礎，免受他們沒有累積或受益的債務的困擾。

How a Bitcoin Reserve Could Transform US Debt Management by 2050

到 2050 年，比特幣儲備將如何改變美國債務管理

VanEck’s analysis supports this strategy, predicting that such an investment could cut national liabilities by an estimated $42 trillion by 2049. This projection assumes a consistent debt growth rate of 5% and an annual bitcoin appreciation rate of 25%.

VanEck 的分析支持此策略，預測此類投資到 2049 年可將國家債務減少約 42 兆美元。

In this scenario, Bitcoin’s value would skyrocket to over $42 million, making it a substantial player in the global financial arena by 2049.

在這種情況下，比特幣的價值將飆升至 4,200 萬美元以上，到 2049 年將成為全球金融領域的重要參與者。

“Assuming today’s $900 trillion of total global financial assets compound at 7.0% from 2025 – 2049, Bitcoin would represent 18% of global financial assets in this scenario,” the firm added.

該公司補充說：“假設目前全球金融資產總額為 900 兆美元，從 2025 年到 2049 年複合增長率為 7.0%，在這種情況下，比特幣將佔全球金融資產的 18%。”

Mathew Sigel, VanEck’s head of research, highlighted Bitcoin’s potential role in reshaping the global financial landscape. He suggested that Bitcoin might become the leading settlement currency in global trade – presenting an alternative to the US dollar – especially for countries seeking to sidestep US sanctions.

VanEck 研究主管 Mathew Sigel 強調了比特幣在重塑全球金融格局方面的潛在作用。他表示，比特幣可能成為全球貿易中主要的結算貨幣——提供美元的替代品——特別是對於尋求規避美國制裁的國家。

“It’s very possible bitcoin will be widely used as a settlement currency for global trade by countries who wanted to avoid the parabolic increase in USD sanctions that have been imposed,” Sigel wrote.

西格爾寫道：“比特幣很可能會被那些希望避免美元製裁呈拋物線式增長的國家廣泛用作全球貿易的結算貨幣。”

To kickstart this ambitious project, VanEck recommends several preliminary measures, including stopping the sale of Bitcoin from US asset forfeiture reserves.

為了啟動這個雄心勃勃的項目，VanEck 建議採取幾項初步措施，包括停止從美國資產沒收儲備中出售比特幣。

Furthermore, they suggest that adjustments could be made under President Donald Trump’s incoming administration, such as revaluing gold certificates to their current market prices and using the Exchange Stabilization Fund to make initial Bitcoin purchases.

此外，他們建議在唐納德·川普總統即將上任的政府領導下進行調整，例如將黃金證書重新估價至當前市場價格，並使用外匯穩定基金進行初始比特幣購買。

Indeed, these steps could help establish the reserve quickly without waiting for extensive legislative approval.

事實上，這些步驟可以幫助快速建立儲備金，而無需等待廣泛的立法批准。

However, the proposal has met with some skepticism. Venture Capitalist Nic Carter has questioned whether a Bitcoin reserve would genuinely bolster the US dollar. Meanwhile, Peter Schiff proposes an alternative of the creation of a new digital currency called the USAcoin.

然而，該提議遭到了一些質疑。創投尼克卡特質疑比特幣儲備是否能真正提振美元。同時，Peter Schiff 提出了另一種選擇，即創建一種名為 USAcoin 的新數位貨幣。

“The US could save a lot of money by creating USAcoin. Just like Bitcoin, the supply can be capped at 21 million, but with an upgraded blockchain to make USAcoin actually viable for use in payments,” Schiff suggested.

「美國可以透過創建 USAcoin 來節省大量資金。就像比特幣一樣，供應量上限為 2,100 萬個，但升級後的區塊鏈使 USAcoin 實際上可以用於支付，」Schiff 表示。