查爾斯·愛德華茲 (Charles Edwards) 警告稱,比特幣面臨迫在眉睫的量子威脅,而分析師則預計比特幣價格可能飆升至 15 萬美元。比特幣準備好迎接量子時代了嗎?

Bitcoin, Quantum Break, Charles Edwards – these are the keywords dominating the crypto conversation right now. Edwards, founder of Capriole Investments, is raising alarms about a potential 'Q-Day' where quantum computing could shatter Bitcoin's cryptography, while others are predicting a surge to $150,000 by year-end. Let's dive in.
比特幣、量子裂痕、查爾斯·愛德華茲——這些是目前主導加密貨幣對話的關鍵詞。 Capriole Investments 的創始人 Edwards 對潛在的“Q-Day”發出了警告,量子計算可能會破壞比特幣的密碼學,而其他人則預測到年底比特幣價格將飆升至 15 萬美元。讓我們深入了解一下。
The Quantum Threat: A Ticking Clock for Bitcoin?
量子威脅:比特幣的時鐘在滴答作響?
Charles Edwards isn't mincing words. He believes a quantum computer could break Bitcoin's encryption within two to eight years. That's not decades away; it's right around the corner. He delivered this warning at TOKEN2049 in Singapore, urging swift action. The threat? A quantum computer powerful enough to crack the elliptic-curve cryptography (ECC) that secures Bitcoin's public-private key model.
查爾斯·愛德華茲並不拐彎抹角。他相信量子計算機可以在兩到八年內破解比特幣的加密。那不是幾十年後的事情;而是它就在拐角處。他在新加坡 TOKEN2049 上發出了這一警告,敦促迅速採取行動。威脅?一台強大到足以破解保護比特幣公私密鑰模型的橢圓曲線密碼學(ECC)的量子計算機。
Edwards dismisses the common belief that quantum attacks are a distant concern. He points to readily available quantum computing power via AWS, Google, and Azure. He cites a 2017 paper suggesting that only 2,300 logical qubits are needed to break Bitcoin's ECC, and emphasizes the $55 billion already invested in the “quantum arms race”.
愛德華茲駁斥了人們普遍認為量子攻擊是一個遙遠問題的觀點。他指出,可以通過 AWS、谷歌和 Azure 輕鬆獲得量子計算能力。他引用了 2017 年的一篇論文,指出只需要 2,300 個邏輯量子位就可以破解比特幣的 ECC,並強調已經在“量子軍備競賽”中投入了 550 億美元。
What's at Stake? Dormant Wallets and Satoshi's Coins
有什麼危險?休眠錢包和中本聰的硬幣
The risks are real. If private keys can be derived from exposed public keys, coins in those addresses become vulnerable. This includes long-dormant
風險是真實存在的。如果私鑰可以從公開的公鑰中派生出來,那麼這些地址中的硬幣就會變得容易受到攻擊。這包括長期休眠的