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他警告說,BTC熟悉的四年周期通常與新鮮的高點對齊。這次,公牛說,比特幣甚至可以在2025年超過250,00美元。
Bitcoin’s price could surge above $200,000 next year, according to recent analysis by X account Apsk32.
根據X Account APSK32的最近分析,明年比特幣的價格可能會超過200,000美元。
What Happened: Apsk32 warns that the familiar four-year cycle for BTC often lines up with new highs. Short swings have hit traders hard before. This time, bulls say Bitcoin could even top $250,000 in 2025.
發生了什麼:APSK32警告說,BTC熟悉的四年周期通常與新的高點保持一致。短暫的波動以前曾遭受重創。這次,公牛說,比特幣在2025年甚至可以超過25萬美元。
> Bitcoin is known to lag gold by a few months, which hit a record of $3,500 per ounce earlier this year.
>眾所周知,比特幣會落後幾個月,今年早些時候達到了每盎司3500美元的紀錄。
The X user measures Bitcoin’s market value in ounces of gold rather than dollars, which negates money printing and inflation. Apsk32 uses what he calls a “power curve” tool to fit Bitcoin’s market cap in gold ounces to a smooth curve, stretching back to the 2017 high near $20,000. When plotted, it suggests a 2025 bull market peak above $200,000.
X用戶以黃金而不是美元的盎司來衡量比特幣的市場價值,從而否定了印刷和通貨膨脹。 APSK32使用他所謂的“電力曲線”工具將比特幣的市值擬合到金盎司的曲線,從而可以追溯到2017年高點接近20,000美元。繪製時,這表明2025年的牛市峰值高於20萬美元。
“If Bitcoin’s position relative to gold keeps improving, returns could top expectations,” he told X followers.
他告訴X追隨者:“如果比特幣相對於黃金的地位不斷提高,那麼回報可能會產生最高的期望。”
"BTC-USD is close to extreme greed, which sounds scary, but it’s also where we would expect to be if Bitcoin continues to outperform in the coming months."
“ BTC-USD接近極端的貪婪,這聽起來很恐怖,但這也是我們期望的,如果比特幣在未來幾個月中繼續表現越來越大。”
Some models push for $444,000 this year—what Apsk32 credits to "five years ahead of support." He thinks a more realistic goal is $220,000. There’s a decent chance BTC hits $250,000, but he doesn't see that as the most likely outcome. The $220,000 level would still mark a 10x jump from Bitcoin’s low near $22,000 in late 2022.
一些車型今年以444,000美元的價格推出了$ 444,000,APSK32的學分提前了五年。他認為一個更現實的目標是$ 220,000。 BTC觸及25萬美元的機會很大,但他並不認為這是最可能的結果。 $ 220,000的水平仍將標誌著2022年末比特幣低廉的22,000美元的低價。
See More: Best Cryptocurrency Scanners
查看更多:最佳加密貨幣掃描儀
Other market experts ran a different test, looking at how much Bitcoin could be worth if it claimed part of gold’s total value. If gold reaches, say, $5,000 per ounce by 2030 and Bitcoin grabs half of gold’s market cap, BTC could hit a price of more than $920k. But then, these figures are scenario-based, not firm predictions.
其他市場專家進行了不同的測試,看看如果比特幣聲稱是黃金總價值的一部分,它值得多少。例如,如果黃金到2030年達到每盎司5,000美元,而比特幣抓住了黃金市值的一半,那麼BTC的價格可能超過92萬美元。但是,這些數字是基於方案的,而不是堅定的預測。
Bitcoin’s supply is capped at 21 million coins. Every block halving makes new BTC rarer. These events come roughly every four years, with the next one expected in 2024. After that, miner rewards fall from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC per block. Scarcity has driven prices up in past cycles. However, demand could shift if major investors pull back.
比特幣的供應限額為2100萬個硬幣。每個塊減半使新的BTC稀有。這些事件大約每四年一次,下一個事件預計在2024年。此後,礦工的獎勵從6.25 BTC下降到3.125 BTC。稀缺性在過去的周期中推動了價格。但是,如果主要投資者退縮,需求可能會改變。
What Else: Volatility in both gold and Bitcoin could upend these models. Gold can face sudden drops when traders take profits. Bitcoin has swung 20% or more in a single day.
還有什麼:黃金和比特幣的波動性都可以顛覆這些模型。當交易者獲利時,黃金可能會突然下降。比特幣在一天中佔20%或更多。
Regulatory moves, geo-political events, and tech upgrades all play a part. Still, setting clear price scenarios helps investors plan.
監管動作,地理政治事件和技術升級都起著作用。儘管如此,設定明確的價格方案有助於投資者計劃。
Read Next: Bitcoin Miner Core Scientific (NASDAQ:CORI) Reports A Record Net Loss In Q2 As Revenue Drops Despite Bitcoin Price Surge
閱讀下一篇:比特幣礦工核心科學(NASDAQ:COI)報告了第2季度的淨損失,儘管比特幣價格飆升,但收入下降了
This article is written with the assistance of AI.
本文是在AI的幫助下撰寫的。
As of August 2023, Apsk32's account on X has over 188,000 followers. His posts frequently cover Bitcoin price analysis and technical indicators. The user's username is @apsk32.
截至2023年8月,APSK32在X上的帳戶擁有超過188,000個關注者。他的帖子經常涵蓋比特幣價格分析和技術指標。用戶的用戶名是 @apsk32。
The author can be reached at: email: [email protected], Discord: ap#0000.
可以通過以下網址與作者聯繫:[電子郵件保護],Discord:AP#0000。
免責聲明:info@kdj.com
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