研究公司說，比特幣價格預測：機構浪潮符合現實檢查

分析機構浪潮對比特幣價格的影響，研究公司的大膽預測以及當前市場的看跌信號。我們要達到$ 190,000或進一步下降嗎？

Bitcoin's been a rollercoaster, hasn't it? One research firm's making some seriously bullish claims amidst a sea of mixed signals. Let's dive into the nitty-gritty of Bitcoin price predictions, the institutional wave, and what the research firms are saying.

比特幣一直是過山車，不是嗎？一家研究公司在混合信號中提出了一些嚴重看漲的聲稱。讓我們深入研究比特幣價格預測，機構浪潮以及研究公司所說的話的挑剔。

Tiger Research's Bold $190,000 Target

老虎研究的大膽$ 190,000目標

Asia-focused Tiger Research is throwing down the gauntlet with a Q3 price target of $190,000 for Bitcoin. Their argument? A perfect storm of record global liquidity, structural ETF demand, and a regulatory nod opening up U.S. retirement accounts to crypto. They've even got a "base price" model pegged at $135,000, layered with multipliers for those sweet, sweet fundamentals. Key drivers include the M2 money supply exceeding $90 trillion and ETFs and corporate accumulation now holding 6% of Bitcoin's supply.

以亞洲為中心的老虎研究（Tiger Research）以比特幣的Q3目標目標為190,000美元，將其拋棄。他們的論點？創紀錄的全球流動性，結構性ETF需求和監管點的完美風暴，向加密貨幣打開了美國退休帳戶。他們甚至擁有一個“基本價格”模型，固定為$ 135,000，並為那些甜美，甜美的基本面帶有乘數。主要驅動因素包括M2貨幣供應超過900萬億美元，ETF和公司積累現在持有比特幣供應量的6％。

The Institutional Wave: Fact or Fiction?

機構浪潮：事實還是小說？

The report leans heavily on the institutional wave. ETFs collectively hold 1.3 million BTC, and the implication is that big players are here to stay. Trump's executive order allowing 401(k) exposure to crypto is also seen as a major catalyst.

該報告嚴重依靠機構浪潮。 ETF集體持有130萬BTC，這意味著重要的球員將留在這裡。特朗普的行政命令允許401（k）接觸加密貨幣，也被視為主要催化劑。

A Dose of Reality: Bearish Signals and Network Imbalance

一劑現實：看跌信號和網絡失衡

Hold your horses, though. The report itself admits the network looks a bit wonky. Daily transactions and active users are lagging behind last year's highs, and retail participation? Faded. New initiatives like BTCFi are needed to reignite the spark beyond institutional wallets.

不過，握住你的馬。該報告本身承認該網絡看起來有些奇怪。每日交易和活躍用戶落後於去年的高點和零售參與？褪色。需要像BTCFI這樣的新舉措來重新點燃機構錢包之外的火花。

On-chain gauges are flashing yellow too. MVRV-Z, which tracks how far the market price has stretched above what holders originally paid, is sitting at 2.49 – a zone that's historically preceded corrections as profits build up.

鏈上的儀表也閃爍著黃色。 MVRV-Z跟踪市場價格超過持有人最初支付的距離的距離，該股價位於2.49，這是在利潤積累的歷史上進行更正的區域。

Bitcoin Price: A Tug-of-War

比特幣價格：拔河

Zooming out from Tiger Research, the broader market paints a more cautious picture. Bitcoin price is currently showing bearish signs, struggling below $113,000. There was an attempt to recover from the $108,734 low, but it hit a wall around $113,000. Failure to break above this resistance zone could trigger another decline, potentially testing supports at $110,750 and $109,500.

從Tiger Research縮小，更廣泛的市場描繪了一個更謹慎的畫面。比特幣價格目前顯示出看跌跡象，掙扎著低於$ 113,000。試圖從108,734美元的低價中恢復過來，但它撞到了113,000美元左右的牆。未能超越該電阻區可能會引發另一個下降，可能會導致$ 110,750和109,500美元的測試支持。

My Take: Cautious Optimism

我的看法：謹慎的樂觀

While the institutional wave is definitely a thing, and firms like Tiger Research make a compelling case, it's crucial to keep a level head. The market's still sensitive, and on-chain data suggests a potential correction. Plus, relying solely on institutional adoption overlooks the importance of retail participation and network activity. It’s like throwing a party and only inviting the Wall Street guys – someone's gotta bring the energy! So, while I'm optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects, I'm also keeping a close eye on those bearish signals.

雖然機構浪潮絕對是一回事，而像Tiger Research這樣的公司則是一個引人注目的案例，但要保持水平的頭腦至關重要。市場仍然很敏感，鏈上的數據表明了潛在的​​糾正。另外，僅依靠機構採用忽略了零售參與和網絡活動的重要性。這就像舉辦聚會，只邀請華爾街的傢伙 - 某人必須帶來精力！因此，儘管我對比特幣的長期前景感到樂觀，但我也密切關注那些看跌信號。

Wrapping Up

總結

So, will Bitcoin hit $190,000 by Q3? Maybe. Will the institutional wave carry us to new heights? Possibly. But remember, folks, in the wild world of crypto, anything can happen. Buckle up, stay informed, and maybe keep a little powder dry. After all, a little caution never hurt anyone, especially when dealing with digital gold!

那麼，第三季度比特幣會達到190,000美元嗎？或許。機構浪潮會將我們帶到新的高度嗎？可能。但是請記住，伙計們，在加密世界的野生世界中，一切都可能發生。扣緊，保持知情，並可能保持一點粉末乾燥。畢竟，一點謹慎永遠不會傷害任何人，尤其是在處理數字黃金時！