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戰略創始人邁克爾·賽勒(Michael Saylor)週二告訴彭博社,市場凍結不會回來
The price outlook for Bitcoin remains sky-high following an interview on Tuesday with Bloomberg, where Strategy founder Michael Saylor highlighted the cryptocurrency’s unique economic properties.
在周二對彭博社進行了採訪之後,比特幣的價格前景仍然是高高的,戰略創始人邁克爾·塞勒(Michael Saylor)強調了加密貨幣的獨特經濟財產。
As the interview unfolded, Saylor, a well-known Bitcoin bull and the CEO of enterprise software firm MicroStrategy, pointed to striking price targets and highlighted the role of supply and demand in shaping the market.
隨著採訪的展開,塞勒(Saylor)是一位著名的比特幣公牛,企業軟件公司MicroStrategy的首席執行官,他指出了價格目標的驚人,並強調了供求在塑造市場中的作用。
The macroeconomic scene is unfolding rapidly, and keeping abreast of the latest trends is crucial for informed decision-making. In other news, a recent report by ARK Invest has increased its bullish price prediction for Bitcoin to a staggering $2.4 million by 2030.
宏觀經濟的場景正在迅速發展,並與最新趨勢保持同步對於明智的決策至關重要。在其他新聞中,方舟投資公司最近的一份報告將其看漲的比特幣價格預測提高到了2030年的驚人240萬美元。
This adjustment follows an earlier prediction of $1.5 million, further cementing ARK Invest's optimistic outlook on the cryptocurrency.
此調整是在早期預測150萬美元之後,進一步鞏固了ARK Invest對加密貨幣的樂觀前景。
Bitcoin Price Outlook: Soaring Demand And Limited Supply
比特幣價格前景:需求飆升和供應有限
According to Saylor's estimations, miners typically release about 450 BTC each day, which translates to roughly $50 million in today's market.
根據Saylor的估計,礦工通常每天發布約450 BTC,這在當今市場上約為5000萬美元。
Once that $50 million is snapped up by buyers, there’s no choice but for the price to climb, as the daily supply of Bitcoin is limited.
一旦買家搶購了5000萬美元,就別無選擇,只能攀升,因為比特幣的每日供應有限。
The interviewer, Tom Bloomberg, expressed skepticism, noting that with traders juggling various assets, it might not always be the case that buyers are actively seeking precisely $50 million of Bitcoin each day.
面試官湯姆·彭博(Tom Bloomberg)表示懷疑,並指出,隨著交易者兼顧各種資產,可能並非總是如此,購買者每天都在積極尋求5000萬美元的比特幣。
However, Saylor responded affirmatively, emphasizing that in his view, the level of demand now matches or exceeds the supply sold by miners.
但是,塞勒(Saylor)做出了肯定的回應,強調,他認為,現在的需求水平與礦工出售的供應水平相匹配。
Furthermore, Saylor highlighted the involvement of institutional investors such as BlackRock and other large asset management firms, who are actively buying up Bitcoin through their Bitcoin ETFs.
此外,塞勒(Saylor)強調了貝萊德(Blackrock)和其他大型資產管理公司等機構投資者的參與,他們正在通過其比特幣ETF積極購買比特幣。
These ETFs are designed to track the price of Bitcoin, and as such, they require fresh batches of coins on a daily basis to maintain the ETF's value.
這些ETF旨在跟踪比特幣的價格,因此,它們每天需要新鮮的硬幣以保持ETF的價值。
The implications of this institutional buying activity are significant, as it contributes to the overall demand for Bitcoin, ultimately pushing up the price.
這項機構購買活動的含義很大,因為這有助於比特幣的總體需求,最終提高了價格。
As for the potential price levels that Bitcoin could reach, Saylor went on to say that if the cryptocurrency doesn't go to zero—a scenario he considers improbable—then it's likely to go to $1 million.
至於比特幣可能達到的潛在價格水平,Saylor繼續說,如果加密貨幣不達到零(他認為不可能的情況),那麼它可能會達到100萬美元。
This assertion is based on his belief that Bitcoin's price movements tend to be large and that it has already overcome some of its toughest battles, such as securing approval from U.S. President Donald Trump, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, and SEC chair Paul Atkins.
這一主張是基於他的信念,即比特幣的價格變動往往很大,並且已經克服了一些最激烈的戰鬥,例如獲得美國總統唐納德·特朗普,財政部長斯科特·貝森特和美國證券交易委員會主席保羅·阿特金斯的批准。
Saylor's firm, MicroStrategy, has been a major accumulator of Bitcoin, amassing a stash of 582,000 BTC since 2020. At today's prices, that holding is valued at nearly $64 billion, according to Saylor Tracker data.
Saylor Tracker Data稱,Saylor的公司MicroStrategy一直是比特幣的主要蓄能器,自2020年以來積累了582,000 BTC的藏匿處。根據Saylor Tracker Data的數據,該持股量為640億美元。
The firm's persistent buying activity, in conjunction with the actions of institutional investors and the limited daily supply of Bitcoin, sets the stage for a potential rally toward Saylor's price target of $1 million.
該公司的持續購買活動,結合了機構投資者的行動和有限的日常供應比特幣的行動,為Saylor的目標價值為100萬美元,為潛在的集會奠定了基礎。
However, it's important to note that while the scenario presented by Saylor offers a compelling narrative, the market's behavior can be influenced by a multitude of factors.
但是,重要的是要注意,雖然塞勒(Saylor)提出的情景提供了引人入勝的敘述,但市場的行為可能會受到多種因素的影響。
For instance, if there's a strong preference for another cryptocurrency or if regulatory concerns escalate, the price of Bitcoin could drop despite the buying activity.
例如,如果對另一種加密貨幣有著強烈的偏愛,或者監管問題升級,則儘管購買活動的價格可能會下降。
Moreover, with the bulk of the market's attention focused on the $50 million of Bitcoin sold daily by miners, it's worth considering the broader market trends.
此外,由於市場的大部分注意力集中在礦工每天出售的5000萬美元的比特幣上,因此值得考慮更廣泛的市場趨勢。
For example, if we look at the daily volume of both spot and futures trading, we're often talking about figures in the range of $10 billion or more.
例如,如果我們查看現貨和期貨交易的每日量,我們經常談論的數字在100億美元或更多的範圍內。
In this context, the $50 million of fresh buys might not necessarily have a significant impact on the price, especially if there are also sellers in the market.
在這種情況下,耗資5000萬美元的新鮮購買可能不一定會對價格產生重大影響,尤其是在市場上也有賣方時。
Furthermore, if there are problems with energy consumption or if we begin to see a strong regulatory backlash against cryptocurrencies in general, that could also swing the narrative in a different direction.
此外,如果能源消耗存在問題,或者我們開始看到對加密貨幣的強烈監管強烈反對,那也可能會朝著不同的方向發展。
Finally, we have the emergence of new cryptocurrencies, such as those offering interesting use cases or smart contract capabilities, which could divert attention and buying activity away from Bitcoin.
最後,我們出現了新的加密貨幣,例如那些提供有趣的用例或智能合同功能的加密貨幣,它們可能會將注意力轉移並從比特幣中轉移。
The real test will be whether the rate of buying activity by new buyers can outpace both the rate of supply from miners and the selling activity of holders who are looking to bank profits.
真正的測試將是,新買家購買活動的速度是否能超過礦工的供應率和尋求銀行利潤的持有人的銷售活動。
Saylor's figures certainly make a strong case for continued upside, but investors who build a plan around a $1 million Bitcoin should probably brace for some big dips along the way.
Saylor的數字無疑是持續上漲空間的有力基礎,但是製定一項計劃約100萬美元比特幣計劃的投資者可能會為一路上的一些大幅下降做好準備。
In the end, it will be the level of daily demand, any political moves, and how the rest of the financial world reacts that will decide whether those eye-popping price targets really come to pass.
最後,這將是日常需求的水平,任何政治舉動,以及其餘的金融界如何做出反應,這將決定這些令人眼花app亂的價格目標是否真正實現。
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