美聯儲的比特幣價格括號：有史以來高高或購買蘸醬？

比特幣的價格在降低了預期的情況下，在117,000美元的關鍵區域中導航。它會破壞新的歷史最高點，還是浸入式機會迫在眉睫？

Bitcoin's been playing hard to get, hasn't it? Hovering around the $116,000 mark, everyone's asking: all-time high or another chance to 'buy the dip'? With the Fed's decision looming, things are about to get interesting.

比特幣一直很難獲得，不是嗎？每個人都在問：有史以來高高或其他機會“購買蘸醬”的機會，徘徊在116,000美元的大關左右？隨著美聯儲的決定迫在眉睫，事情將變得有趣。

$117K: The Line in the Sand

$ 117K：沙灘上的線

That $117,000 to $118,000 range? Apparently, it's Bitcoin's version of the velvet rope at a club. On-chain metrics are screaming that this zone is a major point of indecision. Joao Wedson from Alphractal even calls it "eerily accurate," hinting that breaking above $118,000 could mean the bulls are back in town.

$ 117,000至$ 118,000？顯然，這是比特幣在俱樂部的天鵝絨繩子的版本。鏈上指標尖叫，該區域是猶豫不決的重點。來自Alphractal的Joao Wedson甚至稱其為“非常準確”，暗示打破118,000美元可能意味著公牛又回到了鎮上。

Support is Building, But…

支持正在建立，但是…

Good news: the $111,000-$113,000 zone seems to be holding as support. Data shows a decent chunk of Bitcoin's supply has been snatched up in that range. Plus, mid-sized wallets ("Sharks") have been on a buying spree since July 2024, while larger whales have been shedding some holdings. Healthy rebalancing, right?

好消息：$ 111,000- $ 113,000的區域似乎是作為支持。數據表明，在該範圍內，已經搶走了比特幣的供應量不錯的。另外，自2024年7月以來，中型錢包（“鯊魚”）一直在購買狂潮，而較大的鯨魚則丟棄了一些持股。健康的重新平衡，對嗎？

The Fed Factor: A Potential Plot Twist

美聯儲因素：潛在的情節扭曲

Here's where things get spicy. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is the elephant in the room. Some analysts are bracing for a potential pullback before any sustained recovery. JP Morgan's crew is even floating scenarios where Bitcoin dips to $104,000 or even $92,000 before bouncing back.

這是辛辣的地方。聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）會議是房間裡的大象。一些分析師在任何持續恢復之前都在支撐潛在的回調。 JP Morgan的船員甚至是浮動的場景，在彈跳之前，比特幣下降到104,000美元甚至92,000美元。

On-Chain Data: Proceed with Caution

鏈上數據：謹慎行事

On-chain flows are showing capital leaving exchanges. While long-term, that's usually a good sign, it also means things could get volatile around the Fed announcement. Basically, everyone's holding their breath.

鏈上的流量顯示出資本離開交流。雖然長期來看，這通常是一個好兆頭，但這也意味著在美聯儲公告中事情可能會發生動盪。基本上，每個人都屏住呼吸。

So, What's the Play?

那麼，什麼是戲？

If Bitcoin holds above $113,500, the outlook remains positive. But don't be surprised if we see a dip towards $111,000-$104,000. If it can maintain the $111,000-$113,000 range, then it can keep the uptrend intact. Keep an eye on that $118,000 resistance; a clean break above that could signal a run toward $120,000 and beyond.

如果比特幣持有超過$ 113,500的售價，則展望仍然是積極的。但是，如果我們看到跌入$ 111,000- $ 104,000的價格，請不要感到驚訝。如果它可以維持$ 111,000- $ 113,000的範圍，那麼它可以保持上升趨勢完整。密切關注118,000美元的電阻；上面的干淨突破，這可能標誌著$ 120,000及以後的奔跑。

My Two Satoshis

我的兩個satoshis

Personally, I'm leaning towards a bit of turbulence before the smooth sailing. The Fed's decision is a big unknown, and the on-chain data suggests some caution is warranted. That said, the underlying support and accumulation patterns are encouraging. It feels like we're setting up for a nice run… eventually. Maybe the market will offer up some discounts before the big upswing.

就個人而言，在光滑的航行之前，我傾向於有些動盪。美聯儲的決定是一個很大的未知，鏈上的數據表明有必要謹慎行事。也就是說，基本的支持和積累模式令人鼓舞。感覺就像我們要為一場不錯的奔跑準備……最終。也許市場將在大幅增長之前提供一些折扣。

Bottom Line

底線

Bitcoin's at a crossroads, baby! All-time high glory is within reach, but a Fed-induced dip could be in the cards first. Buckle up, keep your eyes on those key levels, and remember: even if it dips, that just might be your chance to snag some more Bitcoin before it takes off again. Happy trading, ya'll!

比特幣在十字路口，寶貝！歷史上的高榮耀可以觸及，但是首先可以在卡片中使用餵養引起的蘸醬。扣緊，將目光投向這些關鍵水平，並記住：即使它下降，這可能只是您在再次起飛之前抓住更多比特幣的機會。愉快的交易，Ya'll！