比特幣價格：亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）的2028年預測 - 它會達到340萬美元嗎？

亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）預測，由於美國的貨幣印刷，到2028年，比特幣可能會飆升至340萬美元，但這太看漲了嗎？該博客分解了海耶斯的預測。

Bitcoin Price: Arthur Hayes' 2028 Forecast - Will It Hit $3.4 Million?

比特幣價格：亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）的2028年預測 - 它會達到340萬美元嗎？

Ex-BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes is making waves again with his bold Bitcoin price predictions. This time, he's eyeing a potential $3.4 million price tag by 2028, fueled by aggressive money printing. Let's dive into his forecast and see if it holds water.

前 - Bitmex首席執行官亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）通過他大膽的比特幣價格預測再次引起轟動。這次，他關注到2028年的340萬美元的價格，並以積極的貨幣印刷為推動。讓我們深入了解他的預測，看看它是否含有水。

Hayes' Bullish 2028 Bitcoin Prediction

海斯的看漲2028比特幣預測

Arthur Hayes, never one to shy away from a strong opinion, believes Bitcoin will trade "markedly higher" than its current value (around $113,000 at the time of his latest blog post) by 2028. His reasoning? A return to money printing under a potential Trump administration.

亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）從來沒有迴避強烈的意見，他認為比特幣會在2028年到達目前的價值“明顯高於其目前的價值（約113,000美元）。他的推理？在潛在的特朗普政府下，返回貨幣印刷。

The Trump Factor and Money Printing

特朗普因素和金錢印刷

Hayes argues that Trump's focus on preserving American power will lead to increased credit allocation and, ultimately, money printing. He believes Trump will attempt to influence the Federal Reserve to implement policies that expand the money supply. This, according to Hayes, will be the catalyst that sends Bitcoin into the stratosphere.

海耶斯認為，特朗普對維護美國權力的關注將導致信貸分配增加，並最終導致金錢印刷。他認為，特朗普將試圖影響美聯儲實施擴大貨幣供應的政策。根據海耶斯的說法，這將是將比特幣發送到平流層的催化劑。

$3.4 Million Bitcoin: Is It Realistic?

340萬美元的比特幣：這是現實的嗎？

Hayes calculates that the percentage increase in Bitcoin price relative to a dollar of credit growth could result in a $3.4 million Bitcoin price by 2028. While acknowledging the difficulty in predicting exact prices, he points to past performance as an indicator of a significant shift.

海耶斯計算得出，比特幣價格相對於一美元的信用增長的百分比增加可能會導致到2028年的340萬美元比特幣價格。儘管承認預測確切價格的困難，但他指出了過去的績效，作為大幅轉變的指標。

A History of Bold Predictions

大膽預測的歷史

This isn't Hayes' first foray into ambitious Bitcoin price targets. He's previously mentioned a $1 million price tag by 2028, driven by international capital controls and the repatriation of foreign wealth. While some analysts disagree with his methods, his predictions always spark conversation.

這不是海斯首次涉足雄心勃勃的比特幣目標目標。他先前在2028年之前提到了100萬美元的價格，這是由國際資本控制和遣返外國財富的驅動的。儘管一些分析師不同意他的方法，但他的預測總是引發對話。

The Liquidity Expansion Thesis

流動性擴展論文

Hayes' optimism is heavily reliant on the idea of liquidity expansion, particularly in the U.S. He believes that U.S. Treasury policies aimed at increasing the currency supply, coupled with potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, will create a favorable environment for Bitcoin as an alternative store of value. He even predicted Bitcoin could reach $250,000 by the end of 2025 based on these factors, though he has been selling off some of his altcoin positions, maintaining a bullish outlook solely on Bitcoin.

海耶斯的樂觀情緒在很大程度上依賴於流動性擴展的想法，尤其是在美國，他認為旨在增加貨幣供應的美國財務政策，再加上美聯儲削減的潛在利率，將為比特幣創造一個有利的環境，作為替代價值的替代價值。他甚至預測，基於這些因素，到2025年底，比特幣可能會達到25萬美元，儘管他一直在出售一些Altcoin職位，僅對比特幣保持看漲。

Could Bitcoin Actually Hit $3.4 Million? A Few Thoughts

比特幣真的可以達到340萬美元嗎？一些想法

While Hayes makes a compelling case, it's crucial to remember that predicting the future of Bitcoin is a fool's errand. Macroeconomic factors are notoriously difficult to foresee, and the crypto market is known for its volatility. A $3.4 million Bitcoin price is certainly within the realm of possibility, but it hinges on a specific set of circumstances playing out as Hayes envisions. Factors such as regulatory changes, technological advancements, and global adoption rates will also heavily influence Bitcoin's trajectory.

儘管海斯提出了一個令人信服的案例，但要記住，預測比特幣的未來是傻瓜的差事。眾所周知，宏觀經濟因素很難預見，加密貨幣市場以其波動而聞名。當然，340萬美元的比特幣價格在可能性範圍內，但它取決於海耶斯設想的一系列特定情況。監管變化，技術進步和全球採用率等因素也將嚴重影響比特幣的軌跡。

The Bottom Line

底線

Arthur Hayes' $3.4 million Bitcoin price prediction is certainly attention-grabbing. Whether it comes to fruition remains to be seen, but it highlights the potential for significant growth in the Bitcoin market. So, buckle up, crypto enthusiasts. The next few years promise to be a wild ride!

亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）的340萬美元比特幣價格預測肯定是引人注目的。是否有待有效仍然有待觀察，但它突出了比特幣市場顯著增長的潛力。因此，加油，加密愛好者。接下來的幾年有望成為瘋狂的旅程！