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在美國在伊朗核場所進行空襲之後,比特幣和加密貨幣市場面臨拋售。歷史會隨著迅速恢復而重複,還是更不順利?
Bitcoin and the broader crypto market experienced a tumultuous weekend following reports of U.S. military strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities. The news sent shockwaves through the market, triggering a significant sell-off. But is this just a temporary blip, or a sign of deeper troubles ahead?
在報導了美國軍事罷工伊朗核設施之後,比特幣和更廣泛的加密貨幣市場經歷了一個動蕩的週末。該消息使衝擊波在市場上造成了衝擊波,引發了巨大的拋售。但是,這只是暫時的碎片,還是面臨更深層次的麻煩的跡象?
Geopolitical Tensions Trigger Crypto Sell-Off
地緣政治緊張觸發加密貨幣拋售
On Saturday night, Bitcoin (BTC) took a nosedive as news broke that the United States had bombed three major nuclear facilities in Iran. President Trump confirmed the strikes on Truth Social, calling the attack a “resounding success” and warning of further action if Iran retaliates. This escalation of tensions between Iran and Israel immediately impacted global markets, including crypto.
在周六晚上,比特幣(BTC)對美國爆炸了伊朗的三個主要核設施的消息傳出,因此比特幣(BTC)毫無疑問。特朗普總統證實了對真相社會的罷工,稱這次襲擊是“振奮人心的成功”,並警告如果伊朗進行報復,則警告採取進一步行動。伊朗和以色列之間緊張局勢的升級立即影響了包括加密在內的全球市場。
The crypto market reacted swiftly and severely. Over $40 billion was wiped from the total market capitalization within hours, bringing it down to $3.14 trillion, a 2.36% daily decline. Ethereum was hit even harder, and altcoins like Solana and XRP also experienced significant drops.
加密貨幣市場做出了迅速而嚴重的反應。從幾個小時內的總市值中擦除了超過400億美元的資金,將其降至3.14萬億美元,每天下降2.36%。以太坊受到了更大的打擊,Solana和XRP等AltCoins也經歷了大量下降。
Why the Crash? Risk-Off Sentiment and Inflation Fears
為什麼墜機?冒險的情緒和通貨膨脹恐懼
The crypto market's downturn can be attributed to two primary factors: a risk-off sentiment and rising inflation fears. Historically, risky assets like stocks and cryptocurrencies retreat after major geopolitical events. The attack on Iran triggered a flight to safety, causing investors to dump their crypto holdings.
加密貨幣市場的低迷可能歸因於兩個主要因素:一種風險情緒和通貨膨脹率上升的恐懼。從歷史上看,重大地緣政治事件發生後,股票和加密貨幣等危險資產撤退。對伊朗的襲擊引發了飛往安全的航班,導致投資者拋棄了加密貨幣。
Furthermore, the Middle Eastern crisis could lead to higher crude oil and shipping prices. With Brent and West Texas Intermediate oil benchmarks already up significantly, analysts anticipate further increases. This could lead to rising consumer inflation in the U.S., potentially preventing the Federal Reserve from cutting interest rates. Since Bitcoin and altcoins typically perform well when the Fed cuts rates, this prospect further dampened market sentiment.
此外,中東危機可能導致更高的原油和運輸價格。隨著布倫特和西德克薩斯州中級石油基準已經大大提高,分析師預計會進一步增加。這可能導緻美國的消費者通貨膨脹率不斷上升,有可能阻止美聯儲降低利率。由於比特幣和替代幣通常在美聯儲降低利率時表現良好,因此這種前景進一步削弱了市場情緒。
Historical Patterns: Will Bitcoin Rebound?
歷史模式:比特幣會反彈嗎?
Despite the immediate sell-off, some traders are drawing parallels to past events. Bitcoin has shown resilience in the face of wartime shocks, such as the rally following Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the rebounds after previous Iran-Israel missile exchanges. This raises the question: can Bitcoin recover quickly from this crisis as well?
儘管立即拋售,但一些交易者仍在與過去的事件相似。面對戰時衝擊,比特幣表現出韌性,例如在俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭之後的集會和以前的伊朗 - 以色列導彈交流後的籃板。這提出了一個問題:比特幣也可以從這場危機中迅速恢復嗎?
However, analysts caution against complacency. Technical analysis suggests that $97,000 is a key support level, and a further dip to $93,000 is possible if tensions worsen. One analyst even referenced April 2025, when Bitcoin dropped days after U.S. tariff announcements, warning that history could repeat itself.
但是,分析師謹慎對待自滿。技術分析表明,$ 97,000是一個關鍵支持水平,如果緊張局勢惡化,則可能進一步降至93,000美元。一位分析師甚至參考了2025年4月,當時比特幣在美國關稅公告後幾天下降,警告說歷史可以重演。
Saylor's Unwavering Optimism: $21 Million Bitcoin?
Saylor堅定不移的樂觀:2100萬美元的比特幣?
Amidst the market turmoil, Bitcoin evangelist Michael Saylor remains as bullish as ever. At BTC Prague 2025, Saylor predicted Bitcoin could reach $21 million per coin in 21 years, citing regulatory and crypto adoption developments. He pointed to the White House's embrace of Bitcoin and legislative initiatives as signs of unprecedented institutional acceptance. While this prediction may seem outlandish, Saylor's unwavering faith in Bitcoin offers a contrasting perspective to the current market anxiety.
在市場動盪中,比特幣傳教士邁克爾·塞勒(Michael Saylor)仍然像以往一樣看漲。在BTC布拉格2025年,塞勒(Saylor)預測比特幣在21年內可以達到每枚硬幣2100萬美元,理由是監管和加密採用開發。他指出,白宮對比特幣和立法舉措的擁抱是前所未有的機構接受的跡象。儘管這一預測似乎古怪,但Saylor對比特幣的堅定信念與當前的市場焦慮相反。
Navigating the Uncertainty
導航不確定性
With roughly 40,000 U.S. troops stationed in the Middle East and no clear signs of de-escalation, the situation remains fluid. Investors should brace themselves for further market volatility as the crisis unfolds and global leaders weigh in. Whether Bitcoin will follow historical patterns and rebound, or succumb to further downside pressure, remains to be seen.
大約有40,000名美軍駐紮在中東,沒有明確的降級跡象,這種情況仍然是液體。隨著危機的發展,投資者應該為進一步的市場波動做好準備,全球領導人都在體現。是否將遵循歷史模式和反彈,還是屈服於進一步的下行壓力,仍然有待觀察。
So, what's the takeaway? Buckle up, folks! The crypto rollercoaster is far from over. One thing's for sure, though: it's never a dull moment in the world of Bitcoin. Whether you're a seasoned trader or a curious newcomer, keep your eyes peeled and your wits about you – the next chapter is bound to be a wild ride!
那麼,收穫是什麼?搭扣,伙計們!加密過山車還遠遠沒有結束。不過,可以肯定的是:這在比特幣世界中從來都不是一個沉悶的時刻。無論您是經驗豐富的交易員還是好奇的新人,都可以剝去眼睛和對您的智慧 - 下一章必然會是瘋狂的旅程!
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