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比特幣達到了新的高點,但玻璃節數據揭示了較薄的流動性。這是可持續的集會,還是會陷入困境?深入研究鏈分析。
Yo, crypto fam! Bitcoin just smashed past $118,000, but is this party built on solid ground? Glassnode's on-chain data is throwin' some shade on the liquidity situation, and it's time to break it down. Is this a real breakout or a head fake?
喲,加密貨幣。比特幣剛剛超過了118,000美元,但是這個政黨是建立在堅實地的基礎上的嗎? GlassNode的鍊鍊數據對流動性情況拋出了一些陰影,現在該分解它了。這是一個真正的突破還是偽造的?
Bitcoin's Volume Problem: Are We Running on Fumes?
比特幣的音量問題:我們在煙氣上運行嗎?
Glassnode dropped a bomb: even with Bitcoin hitting all-time highs, trading volume is lookin' kinda anemic. Spot and futures volumes took a nosedive in late June and early July, and while they've perked up a bit with the price surge, they're still nowhere near historical levels.
GlassNode放下了一枚炸彈:即使比特幣達到歷史最高點,交易量也是貧血的。現貨和期貨量在6月下旬和7月初進行了鼻子,儘管他們隨著價格上漲的速度提高了一點,但它們仍然遠不及歷史水平。
Why does this matter? Sustainable rallies need fresh blood – new traders jumpin' in and fuelin' the fire. As Glassnode points out, Bitcoin is hittin' ATHs despite this “thin liquidity.” That’s a red flag, ya'll.
為什麼這很重要?可持續集會需要新鮮的血液 - 新的交易者跳入並加油。正如GlassNode指出的那樣,儘管“流動性稀薄”,比特幣還是Hittin'Aths。那是一個危險信號,是的。
Long-Term Holders: Still Chillin', Not Euphoric
長期持有人:仍然很寒意,而不是欣喜
Another interesting tidbit from Glassnode: the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) of long-term holders (LTHs) isn't in full-blown euphoria mode. These are the folks who've been hodlin' for over 155 days, and their NUPL is below the 0.75 threshold that historically signals crazy-high market optimism. This cycle has seen way fewer days above this euphoria level compared to previous ones. Are the OGs stayin' grounded?
玻璃節點的另一個有趣的花絮:長期持有人(LTHS)的淨未實現的盈利/損失(NUPL)並不處於成熟的欣快感模式。這些人已經超過155天了,他們的NUPL低於0.75個閾值,歷史上標誌著瘋狂的市場樂觀。與以前的周期相比,這個週期比這一欣快的天數少了。 OGS是否紮根?
Bitcoin Hyper: A Layer 2 Solution Stealing the Show?
比特幣超級:第2層解決方案竊取節目?
Enter Bitcoin Hyper (HYPER), a Layer 2 solution hopin' to supercharge Bitcoin. These guys raised nearly $2.4 million and are offerin' some pretty sweet staking rewards. They're usin' a non-custodial bridge to bring wrapped BTC to their Layer 2, aimin' to solve Bitcoin's scalability and programmability issues. Sounds ambitious, right?
輸入比特幣Hyper(Hyper),第2層解決方案旋轉到增壓比特幣。這些傢伙籌集了近240萬美元,並提供了一些非常甜蜜的放電獎勵。它們是一座非監護橋,將包裹的BTC帶入其第2層,目的是解決比特幣的可伸縮性和可編程性問題。聽起來雄心勃勃,對嗎?
With spot Bitcoin ETF inflows goin' through the roof and open interest in Bitcoin options pointin' towards $150,000 by the end of August, things are gettin' spicy. Glassnode's accumulation trend score signaled a “moderately strong accumulation regime” since the end of April, suggestin' folks saw Bitcoin as a good deal before the recent price explosion.
到8月底,隨著現場比特幣ETF的流入流入屋頂,對比特幣期權的開放興趣,到達15萬美元,事情變得辛辣了。 GlassNode的累積趨勢得分錶明自4月底以來“中等強大的積累制度”,建議人們認為比特幣在最近的價格爆炸之前是一筆不錯的選擇。
Plus, long-term holder accumulation is outpacing new coin issuance, which is generally good news for price pressure. And spot ETFs now account for a significant chunk of Bitcoin's market cap, showin' that institutions are gettin' more involved.
另外,長期持有人的積累超過了新的硬幣發行,這通常是價格壓力的好消息。現在,現場ETF佔比特幣的市值很大一部分,表明機構更加參與其中。
VeChain's DeFi Leap: Bridging to Bitcoin and Beyond
Vechain的Defi Leap:橋接到比特幣及以後
VeChain is gettin' in on the action too, integratin' Wanchain as a cross-chain bridge partner. This move aims to boost liquidity and adoption of VeChain-native assets across DeFi platforms. By connectin' to over 40 blockchains, including Bitcoin and Ethereum, VeChain is lookin' to make it easier to move assets around the DeFi landscape.
Vechain也參與了行動,Integratin'Wanchain是跨鏈橋的合作夥伴。此舉旨在提高在Defi平台上的流動性和採用獸醫本地資產。通過連接到40多個區塊鏈(包括比特幣和以太坊),Vechain看起來很容易在Defi景觀周圍移動資產。
The Short-Term Squeeze: $117,000 is the Level to Watch
短期擠壓:$ 117,000是值得關注的水平
Glassnode also pointed out that Bitcoin has been tradin' within a short-term band, with the upper level around $117,000. This band is based on the Realized Price of short-term holders (STHs). This level can be seen as the upper band of the short-term price action. Will Bitcoin break through?
GlassNode還指出,比特幣一直在短期頻段內進行交易,高層約為117,000美元。該樂隊基於短期持有人(STH)的實現價格。該水平可以看作是短期價格行動的上限。比特幣會突破嗎?
Final Thoughts: Buckle Up, It's Gonna Be a Wild Ride
最終想法:係好,這將是一個瘋狂的旅程
So, what's the takeaway? Bitcoin's rally is lookin' a bit shaky under the hood, with low liquidity being a major concern. However, institutional interest is growin', Layer 2 solutions are emergining, and VeChain is makin' moves in the DeFi space. It's a complex picture, and nobody knows for sure where things are headed.
那麼,收穫是什麼?比特幣的集會在引擎蓋下看起來有些動搖,低流動性是一個主要問題。但是,機構的興趣是增長的,第2層解決方案正在出現,而Vechain正在努力空間中的移動。這是一張復雜的圖片,沒人能確定事情的發展方向。
But hey, that's crypto for ya! Stay informed, stay vigilant, and don't bet the farm on anything. Peace out, and happy hodlin' (or tradin', if that's your thing)!
但是,嘿,這是您的加密貨幣!保持告密性,保持警惕,不要在任何事情上打賭農場。和平,快樂的霍德林(如果那是你的話)!
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