比特幣價值20萬美元？伯恩斯坦預測價格，無論選舉影響如何

距離美國民調結束不到一天，加密貨幣分析師繼續對比特幣和加密貨幣的未來發表兩美分的看法。

After adjusting their Bitcoin price predictions based on the potential outcomes of the upcoming U.S. election, Bernstein analysts are now predicting that Bitcoin could hit $200,000 by the end of next year.

在根據即將到來的美國大選的潛在結果調整比特幣價格預測後，伯恩斯坦分析師現在預測比特幣到明年年底可能會達到 20 萬美元。

The analysts, led by Gautam Chhugani, had initially predicted that Bitcoin would trade for around $80,000 to $90,000 if Republican candidate Donald Trump won the election. They expected the BTC price to drop to $50,000 if Democrat candidate Kamala Harris won.

以 Gautam Chhugani 為首的分析師最初預測，如果共和黨候選人唐納德·川普贏得大選，比特幣的交易價格將達到 8 萬至 9 萬美元左右。他們預計，如果民主黨候選人卡馬拉哈里斯獲勝，比特幣價格將跌至 5 萬美元。

However, Bernstein’s latest analysis seems to indicate that the election results will not impact the asset’s long-term price trajectory. Chhugani reportedly stated that the short-term price movements will be affected by the election, but they expect Bitcoin to benefit more from a Trump win.

然而，伯恩斯坦的最新分析似乎表明，選舉結果不會影響該資產的長期價格軌跡。據報道，Chhugani 表示，短期價格走勢將受到選舉的影響，但他們預計比特幣將從川普獲勝中受益更多。

According to the Bernstein analysts, if Harris wins the election, Bitcoin could trade for around $50,000. But if Trump wins, they expect BTC to hit $80,000 to $90,000.

Bernstein 分析師表示，如果哈里斯贏得選舉，比特幣的交易價格可能約為 5 萬美元。但如果川普獲勝，他們預計 BTC 將達到 8 萬至 9 萬美元。

The analysts also noted that if Harris wins the polls, the BTC price could dip to $50,000. But Bernstein didn’t stop making Bitcoin predictions immediately after the election; the group remains bullish on Bitcoin in the short term and expects the digital asset to hit $200,000 by 2025.

分析師還指出，如果哈里斯贏得民意調查，比特幣價格可能會跌至 5 萬美元。但伯恩斯坦並沒有在大選後立即停止對比特幣的預測；該組織短期內仍看好比特幣，預計到 2025 年該數位資產將達到 20 萬美元。

According to Bernstein analysts, the other key factors driving Bitcoin’s price are the increasing demand for spot BTC ETFs and rising US debts.

Bernstein 分析師表示，推動比特幣價格上漲的其他關鍵因素是對現貨 BTC ETF 需求的增加和美國債務的增加。

Bernstein Adjusts BTC Price Predictions: $50K Under Harris, $80-90K With Trump

伯恩斯坦調整 BTC 價格預測：哈里斯領導下 5 萬美元，川普領導下 80-9 萬美元

Bernstein analysts adjusted their Bitcoin price predictions based on the potential outcomes of the upcoming U.S. election. If Harris wins, they foresee Bitcoin dropping to around $50,000, while a… pic.twitter.com/Z1zJ21aJ48

伯恩斯坦分析師根據即將到來的美國大選的潛在結果調整了他們的比特幣價格預測。如果哈里斯獲勝，他們預計比特幣將跌至 50,000 美元左右，而… pic.twitter.com/Z1zJ21aJ48

— The Wolf Of All Streets (@scottmelker) November 4, 2024

— 滿街之狼 (@scottmelker) 2024 年 11 月 4 日

The Bernstein analysts are betting on Bitcoin and expect its price to reach $200,000 by the end of next year, regardless of the election results. Chhugani made this bold prediction days before the Americans visited the polls to cast their ballots for the next president of the United States.

伯恩斯坦分析師押注比特幣，預計無論選舉結果如何，到明年年底其價格將達到 20 萬美元。楚加尼在美國人前往投票站投票選出下一任美國總統的幾天前做出了這一大膽預測。

Chhugani, who is known for adjusting his Bitcoin price predictions based on the latest market trends, stated that the election results will not impact the asset’s long-term outlook.

Chhugani 以根據最新市場趨勢調整比特幣價格預測而聞名，他表示選舉結果不會影響該資產的長期前景。

The analyst’s bullish projection on Bitcoin is based on several factors, including the increasing demand for spot BTC ETFs and higher government’s national debt.

該分析師對比特幣的看漲預測基於多個因素，包括對現貨 BTC ETF 需求的增加和政府國債的增加。

Chhugani likened the asset to a “genie out of the bottle” and said stopping its price trajectory is difficult. He also highlighted several factors that can drive the asset’s price, including increased interest on the BTC ETFs and higher government’s national debt.

楚加尼將該資產比作“瓶子裡的精靈”，並表示很難阻止其價格走勢。他還強調了可能推動該資產價格的幾個因素，包括 BTC ETF 利息增加和政府國債增加。

Last month, Bernstein’s top analyst targeted $100k for Bitcoin but soon revised his projection to reflect changes in market trends.

上個月，伯恩斯坦的頂級分析師將比特幣的目標定為 10 萬美元，但很快就修改了他的預測，以反映市場趨勢的變化。

This year’s election battle between Trump and Harris is among the most highly debated and anticipated. In addition to traditional polling, data from betting markets like Polymarket also became famous.

今年川普和哈里斯之間的選舉之戰是最受爭議和期待的之一。除了傳統的民調之外，Polymarket 等博彩市場的數據也廣為人知。

For example, at Polymarket, Trump remains the favorite, cornering 63% of all wagers, with Harris getting 38%. Bernstein analysts say that regardless of the results, the asset will have short-term price movements.

例如，在 Polymarket，川普仍然是最受歡迎的，佔了所有賭注的 63%，哈里斯獲得了 38%。伯恩斯坦分析師表示，無論結果如何，該資產都會出現短期價格波動。

However, they expect BTC to benefit more from a Trump win. In the same Bernstein analysis, Bitcoin may increase to $90,000 if the Republican wins.

然而，他們預計 BTC 將從川普獲勝中受益更多。在伯恩斯坦的同一份分析中，如果共和黨獲勝，比特幣可能會上漲至 9 萬美元。

Currently, Bitcoin’s price has dropped to $69k to $68k due to profit-taking. Also, analysts noted the weak inflows this week to ETFs. Most analysts agree that Bitcoin is still poised for an end-of-the-year rally.

目前，由於獲利了結，比特幣的價格已跌至 69,000 至 68,000 美元。此外，分析師也指出，本週 ETF 資金流入疲軟。大多數分析師都認為，比特幣仍有望在年底上漲。

The US elections also affect other digital assets besides Bitcoin. For example, in a Harris presidency, Ether may gain due to heightened regulations that can limit the performance of its competition, like Solana.

美國大選也影響除比特幣之外的其他數位資產。例如，在哈里斯擔任總統期間，以太坊可能會因加強監管而獲益，這些監管可能會限制其競爭對手（如 Solana）的表現。

Chhuhani offers a differing view, saying if the SEC adopts moderate policies, these can propel Bitcoin and other assets.

Chhuhani 提出了不同的觀點，他表示，如果 SEC 採取溫和的政策，這些政策可以推動比特幣和其他資產的發展。

This year’s election cycle puts crypto and the blockchain at the center of debates. Both candidates have shared their thoughts on crypto, with Trump offering more crypto-friendly solutions.

今年的選舉週期將加密貨幣和區塊鏈置於辯論的中心。兩位候選人都分享了他們對加密貨幣的想法，川普提供了更多對加密貨幣友善的解決方案。

Initially, Democrat Harris was reluctant to offer policy proposals, but she shifted her tone as the campaign moved forward.

最初，民主黨人哈里斯不願提出政策建議，但隨著競選的進展，她改變了語氣。