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隨著比特幣減半的臨近,CryptoQuant 分析師質疑其對 BTC 價格的影響。雖然減半傳統上會推高價格,但分析師表示,由於長期投資者和鯨魚的需求增加,減半的影響力正在減弱,他們的購買力超過了新發行的股票。

Bitcoin Halving's Diminished Impact: CryptoQuant Analysts Weigh in
比特幣減半的影響力減弱:CryptoQuant 分析師發表看法
As the highly anticipated Bitcoin Halving looms on the horizon, esteemed analysts from CryptoQuant are challenging conventional wisdom regarding its impact on the BTC price. Traditionally hailed as a bullish catalyst, the Halving, an event that reduces miner rewards by half approximately every four years, may not wield the same influence in 2024.
隨著備受期待的比特幣減半即將到來,CryptoQuant 的知名分析師正在挑戰關於其對 BTC 價格影響的傳統觀點。減半傳統上被譽為看漲催化劑,大約每四年將礦工獎勵減少一半,但到 2024 年可能不會產生同樣的影響。
CryptoQuant, a leading crypto analytics firm, has meticulously examined the evolving market dynamics, concluding that the Halving's significance has gradually diminished over time. This shift underscores the emergence of new factors that are poised to shape the future of the Bitcoin market.
CryptoQuant 是一家領先的加密貨幣分析公司,它仔細研究了不斷變化的市場動態,得出的結論是,減半的重要性隨著時間的推移逐漸減弱。這一轉變凸顯了將塑造比特幣市場未來的新因素的出現。
Demand from Long-Term Investors and Whales Takes Center Stage
長期投資者和鯨魚的需求成為焦點
CryptoQuant analysts pinpoint a critical factor that has eclipsed the Halving's influence: the unwavering demand from long-term investors and whales. Julio Monero, CryptoQuant's Head of Research, unveils a groundbreaking revelation: for the first time in Bitcoin's history, the demand for BTC from these steadfast holders has surpassed the issuance of new coins.
CryptoQuant 分析師指出了一個減半影響黯然失色的關鍵因素:長期投資者和鯨魚的堅定需求。 CryptoQuant 研究主管 Julio Monero 公佈了一項突破性的發現:比特幣歷史上,這些堅定持有者對 BTC 的需求首次超過了新幣的發行量。
Furthermore, data meticulously gathered by CryptoQuant paints a compelling picture of a substantial increase in the presence of large Bitcoin investors, amassing stashes ranging from 1,000 to 10,000 BTC. This robust demand stands in stark contrast to the supply dynamics, setting the stage for an intensification of buying pressure in the wake of the Halving.
此外,CryptoQuant 精心收集的數據描繪了一幅令人信服的圖景,即大型比特幣投資者的數量大幅增加,他們累積了 1,000 到 10,000 比特幣。這種強勁的需求與供應動態形成鮮明對比,為減半後購買壓力的加劇奠定了基礎。
A Market in Transformation
轉型中的市場
This evolutionary shift finds its roots in the diminishing supply of newly issued bitcoins in relation to the volume of coins being sold by long-term holders. CryptoQuant meticulously highlights an impressive 11% surge in the number of investors holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC over a mere month, propelling it to record-breaking levels.
這種演變的根源在於新發行的比特幣供應量相對於長期持有者出售的比特幣數量不斷減少。 CryptoQuant 精心強調,在短短一個月內,持有 1,000 至 10,000 BTC 的投資者數量猛增了 11%,令人印象深刻,推動其達到破紀錄的水平。
The analytics firm astutely observes in its report, "We believe that the effect of the Halving has diminished, as the new issuance of Bitcoins becomes smaller compared to the number of Bitcoins sold by long-term holders."
該分析公司在其報告中敏銳地觀察到,“我們認為,減半的影響已經減弱,因為與長期持有者出售的比特幣數量相比,新發行的比特幣數量變得更少。”
Despite these compelling observations, a contingent of analysts remains steadfast in their optimism regarding the Halving's impact on the BTC price. Renowned experts, including Joe Consorti and Robert Kiyosaki, boldly predict a stratospheric climb for BTC, envisioning a post-Halving price tag of $100,000. Their unwavering conviction stems from historical correlations between previous Halvings and Bitcoin's spectacular price rallies.
儘管有這些令人信服的觀察結果,一些分析師仍然對減半對比特幣價格的影響保持樂觀。 Joe Consorti 和 Robert Kiyosaki 等知名專家大膽預測 BTC 將大幅上漲,並預計減半後價格將達到 10 萬美元。他們堅定不移的信念源於先前的減半和比特幣驚人的價格上漲之間的歷史相關性。
While CryptoQuant's findings suggest a waning influence of the Bitcoin Halving, a palpable sense of optimism permeates the crypto community. Historic high levels of open interest on BTC futures attest to the unwavering faith investors have in the future of the digital gold. The year 2024 will serve as the ultimate arbiter, revealing whether the analysts' forecasts hold true or falter.
儘管 CryptoQuant 的調查結果顯示比特幣減半的影響正在減弱,但加密社群中瀰漫著明顯的樂觀情緒。比特幣期貨的未平倉部位創下歷史新高,證明了投資者對數位黃金的未來堅定不移的信心。 2024 年將成為最終的仲裁者,揭曉分析師的預測是否正確。
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