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加密貨幣新聞文章

比特幣恐懼和貪婪指數坐在極端貪婪的邊界上

2025/05/20 11:00

數據表明,比特幣交易者情緒一直在過去幾天的極端貪婪邊緣搖搖欲墜

比特幣恐懼和貪婪指數坐在極端貪婪的邊界上

Data shows the Bitcoin trader sentiment has been teetering on the edge of extreme greed for the last few days, a sign that a break may be coming.

數據顯示,比特幣交易者的情緒一直在過去幾天的極端貪婪邊緣搖搖欲墜,這表明可能會發生休息。

What Hashrate Is Implied By The Latest BTC Mining Data?

最新的BTC挖掘數據暗示了什麼希地?

The “Fear & Greed Index” is an indicator created by Alternative that tells us about the average sentiment present among investors in the Bitcoin and wider cryptocurrency markets.

“恐懼與貪婪指數”是由替代方案創建的指標,它告訴我們比特幣和更廣泛的加密貨幣市場中投資者中存在的平均情緒。

The index uses a numerical scale running from zero to hundred for representing the market sentiment. All values above 53 correspond to greed among the investors, while those below 47 suggest the presence of fear. The in-between levels naturally correspond to a net neutral mentality.

該索引使用數值量表從零到一百,用於表示市場情緒。超過53的所有值對應於投資者中的貪婪,而低於47的人則表明存在恐懼。內部水平自然對應於網絡中性心態。

Now, here is how the current market sentiment looks, according to the Fear & Greed Index:

現在,根據恐懼和貪婪指數,這是當前市場情緒的外觀:

As is visible above, the indicator currently has a value of 74, which implies the investors as a whole share a sentiment of greed and a strong one at that, considering the high value.

如上所述,該指標目前的價值為74,這意味著投資者總體上分享了貪婪和強烈的情感,考慮到高價值。

In fact, this value is so high that it’s right on the gateway to a special zone called the extreme greed. This region, which is situated beyond the 75 level, corresponds to euphoria among the Bitcoin traders. There is a similar territory on the other end of the scale as well, known as extreme fear (under 25). When the index is in this zone, it naturally suggests the investors are in the deepest state of despair.

實際上,這個值是如此之高,以至於它就在通往一個名為“極端貪婪的特殊區域的門戶”的門戶上。該地區位於75級以上,對應於比特幣交易者中的欣快。規模的另一端也有類似的領域,被稱為極端恐懼(25歲以下)。當該指數位於該區域時,它自然表明投資者處於最深的絕望狀態。

Historically, both of these zones have held much significance for Bitcoin and other digital assets, as major reversals occurred when the investors held these mentalities. Thus, extreme greed can lead to a top and extreme fear to a bottom.

從歷史上看,這兩個區域對比特幣和其他數字資產都具有很大的意義,因為當投資者持有這些心態時發生了重大逆轉。因此,極端貪婪會導致底部的頂部和極端恐懼。

Recently, Bitcoin has climbed to price levels near the all-time high, so it’s not surprising that the sentiment is heating up. Still, for now, the index hasn’t broken into the extreme greed zone yet, so it’s possible that the run could have more room to run before overhype becomes an issue.

最近,比特幣已攀升至有史以來高高的價格水平,因此情緒正在加熱也就不足為奇了。儘管如此,目前,該索引尚未分解到極端的貪婪區域,因此在溢出之前,運行可能會有更多的空間可以成為一個問題。

It only remains to be seen how long this would hold, however, considering that the Fear & Greed Index has been sitting on this boundary level for three straight days now.

但是,考慮到恐懼和貪婪的指數已經連續三天坐在這個邊界上,這只有待觀察,這將持續多長時間。

Any continuations to the rally could take the market sentiment beyond the extreme greed threshold, at which point a reversal could become more likely, the higher the index ventures into the zone.

到集會上的任何延續都可以使市場情緒超出極端貪婪的門檻,這時逆轉可能會變得更有可能,而指數投資越高。

In some other news, Bitcoin’s 30-day correlation with Gold has recently declined to its lowest level since February, as the analytics firm Glassnode has pointed out in an X post.

在其他一些新聞中,比特幣與黃金的30天相關性最近已經下降到2月以來的最低水平,正如分析公司GlassNode在X帖子中指出的那樣。

At present, the 30-day correlation between Bitcoin and Gold is sitting at a value of -0.54, which means that over the past month, the two have traveled oppositely to each other to some degree.

目前,比特幣和黃金之間的30天相關性的價值為-0.54,這意味著在過去的一個月中,兩者在某種程度上彼此相反。

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