比特幣主導地位下降，為潛在的「山寨幣窗口」奠定了基礎

比特幣主導地位（BTC DOM）是追蹤比特幣在整個加密貨幣市場中所佔份額的關鍵指標，在最近的反彈後已開始下降

Bitcoin dominance (BTC DOM), a metric that gauges Bitcoin’s share of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization, has begun to decline after recently rallying to the 60% threshold. This retracement, highlighted by the attached charts and a tweet from crypto analyst Rekt Capital, is setting the stage for what could become a significant “Altcoin Window.”

比特幣主導地位（BTC DOM）是衡量比特幣在加密貨幣總市值中所佔份額的指標，在最近反彈至 60% 的門檻後已開始下降。所附圖表和加密貨幣分析師 Rekt Capital 的推文強調了這一回撤，正在為可能成為重要的「山寨幣窗口」奠定基礎。

#BTC DominanceThe best-case scenario is in progressIt's #AltseasonHistory is repeating with a $BTC DOM post-breakout retest into as low as the 57.68% level, enabling an Altcoin WindowAfter retesting green, Bitcoin will once again dominate#Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/eDnWqpaTb6 pic.twitter.com/zsJlICKOoK

#BTC 統治最好的情況正在進行中#AltseasonHistory 正在重演，$BTC DOM 突破後重新測試低至57.68% 水平，啟用山寨幣窗口在重新測試綠色後，比特幣將再次佔據主導地位#Crypto #Bitcoin https : //t.co/eDnWqpaTb6 pic.twitter.com/zsJlICKOoK

Bitcoin dominance recently achieved a critical monthly close above the 57.68% resistance level (highlighted in green on the charts). According to Rekt Capital, this marks the first such monthly close since 2018-2019. In the previous cycle, a breakout above this level was followed by a temporary retracement to retest the 57.68% region before Bitcoin surged to new dominance highs.

比特幣的主導地位最近實現了關鍵的月度收盤價，高於 57.68% 的阻力位（圖表中以綠色突出顯示）。據 Rekt Capital 稱，這是自 2018-2019 年以來首次月度收盤。在上一個週期中，突破該水平後會出現暫時回撤，重新測試 57.68% 區域，然後比特幣飆升至新的主導高點。

The images illustrate this pattern, showing a historical retest in 2018-2019, where BTC DOM dipped after breaking resistance before resuming its upward trajectory. Now, with Bitcoin dominance dipping slightly below 60%, the market may be entering a similar phase of retracement and consolidation. If the pattern holds, Bitcoin could revisit the 57.68% support level, triggering a period of altcoin outperformance.

這些圖像說明了這種模式，顯示了 2018-2019 年的歷史重新測試，其中 BTC DOM 在突破阻力後下跌，然後恢復上升軌跡。現在，隨著比特幣的主導地位略低於 60%，市場可能正在進入類似的回檔和整合階段。如果這種模式成立，比特幣可能會重新觸及 57.68% 的支撐位，從而引發山寨幣表現優異的時期。

Altseason emerges as Bitcoin dominance shifts, shaping broader market implications

隨著比特幣主導地位的轉變，山寨季出現，塑造更廣泛的市場影響

Rekt Capital emphasizes that further retracement in Bitcoin dominance would be a “best-case scenario” for altcoins. As Bitcoin stabilizes near key levels, liquidity tends to flow into altcoins, leading to substantial rallies in smaller-cap cryptocurrencies. This phenomenon, commonly referred to as “Altseason,” occurs when Bitcoin’s market dominance declines, allowing other cryptocurrencies to capture market share.

Rekt Capital 強調，比特幣主導地位的進一步回撤將是山寨幣的「最佳情況」。隨著比特幣穩定在關鍵水平附近，流動性往往會流入山寨幣，導緻小盤加密貨幣大幅上漲。這種現象通常被稱為“山寨季節”，發生在比特幣的市場主導地位下降時，其他加密貨幣可以奪取市場份額。

The charts provided also indicate breakout movements across several altcoins, a trend that has coincided with Bitcoin dominance losing momentum. Analysts argue that a drop into the green 57.68% support zone could solidify this trend, offering traders an extended period to capitalize on altcoin opportunities.

提供的圖表還顯示了幾種山寨幣的突破趨勢，這一趨勢與比特幣的主導地位失去動力相吻合。分析師認為，跌入綠色 57.68% 支撐區域可能會鞏固這一趨勢，為交易者提供更長的時間來利用山寨幣機會。

Despite the current retracement, Rekt Capital maintains that Bitcoin dominance will eventually resume its upward trend. Following the historical retest scenario, BTC DOM is expected to rebound strongly from the 57.68% support level, potentially targeting the next resistance levels at 60% and beyond. This would align with Bitcoin’s cyclical tendency to dominate the market during periods of macro uncertainty or bullish sentiment.

儘管目前出現回調，Rekt Capital 仍堅持認為，比特幣的主導地位最終將恢復其上升趨勢。在歷史重新測試情境之後，BTC DOM 預計將從 57.68% 的支撐位強勁反彈，可能將下一個阻力位瞄準 60% 及以上。這將符合比特幣在宏觀不確定性或看漲情緒時期主導市場的周期性趨勢。

The attached charts provide additional context, showing how Bitcoin dominance behaved in previous cycles. Notably, the current trajectory closely mirrors past patterns, strengthening the case for an impending recovery after the retracement phase. This dynamic between Bitcoin and altcoins underscores the cyclical nature of cryptocurrency markets. While Bitcoin’s dominance typically rises during periods of intense bullish momentum, corrections often pave the way for altcoin rallies. For traders and investors, monitoring the 57.68% level could be critical in anticipating market shifts.

所附圖表提供了額外的背景信息，顯示了比特幣在之前週期中的主導地位如何表現。值得注意的是，目前的軌跡與過去的模式密切相關，強化了回調階段後即將復甦的理由。比特幣和山寨幣之間的這種動態凸顯了加密貨幣市場的週期性。雖然比特幣的主導地位通常會在強勁的看漲勢頭期間上升，但調整往往會為山寨幣的反彈鋪平道路。對於交易者和投資者來說，監控 57.68% 的水平對於預測市場變化可能至關重要。