比特幣和狗狗幣正在同步移動，這可能是看跌的標誌

彭博情報公司高級商品策略師Mike McGlone撰寫

Senior Commodity Strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, Mike McGlone, has spotted something interesting and possibly worrying.

彭博情報公司Mike McGlone的高級商品策略師發現了一些有趣且可能令人擔憂的東西。

Comparing the movement of Bitcoin (vs gold) with Dogecoin, he found that both are following nearly the same path. But this isn’t just about matching charts. It could be a sign of a Bearish Run.Two Different Assets, One Similar PatternAt first glance, Bitcoin and Dogecoin seem like very different assets. Bitcoin is often viewed as “digital gold,” aiming to provide an alternative store of value, while Dogecoin began as a playful spin-off of a meme.

將比特幣（Vs Gold）與Dogecoin的運動進行比較，他發現兩者都遵循幾乎相同的路徑。但這不僅僅是匹配圖表。這可能是看跌的跡象。兩個不同的資產，一個類似的模式的第一眼，比特幣和狗狗幣似乎是非常不同的資產。比特幣通常被視為“數字黃金”，旨在提供另一種價值存儲，而Dogecoin最初是模因的嬉戲衍生產品。

Yet, if we look at the chart that McGlone shared, we can see that the relative price action of these two assets has been surprisingly similar over the past year. Both rose sharply at the end of 2023 and reached their peaks early in 2024. Since then, both have dropped and bounced around in a similar fashion.

但是，如果我們查看McGlone分享的圖表，我們可以看到這兩個資產的相對價格動作在過去一年中的相似性相似。兩者在2023年底急劇上升，並在2024年初達到了高峰。從那時起，兩者都以類似的方式下降並彈跳。

Right now, both the Bitcoin-to-gold ratio and Dogecoin’s price are resting on a long-term upward trendline, offering support to both crypto assets. However, McGlone doesn’t seem optimistic that this support will hold for long. He believes that this isn’t a sign of a new bull market but rather a bounce in a longer-term bear market.

目前，比特幣與金幣的比率和Dogecoin的價格都基於長期的趨勢線，為這兩個加密資產提供了支持。但是，McGlone似乎對這種支持將長期存在並不樂觀。他認為，這不是新牛市的跡象，而是在長期熊市中反彈。

Recession Fears A Drop in Risky Assets FOMOHis main reason for this view is the U.S. stock market, which he feels could be indicating a coming recession. Many people were expecting a recession in 2023, but it didn’t materialize yet.

經濟衰退擔心，這種觀點的風險資產下降是美國股市，他認為這可能表明即將衰退。許多人期待2023年的衰退，但尚未實現。

But McGlone thinks it was only delayed and will still come, and when it does, risky assets like Bitcoin and Dogecoin could drop sharply. So, his message is clear: the recent crypto price bounce might not mean a bullish rally; it could just be a short break before prices fall again.

但是麥格隆認為它只是被延遲的，仍然會來的，而當這樣做時，像比特幣和狗狗等風險資產可能會急劇下降。因此，他的信息很明確：最近的加密價格反彈可能並不意味著看漲的集會。在價格再次下跌之前，這可能只是短暫的休息。

Dogecoin – Bitcoin Price UpdateDogecoin is up nearly 10% in the past 24 hours and now trades around $0.1827. The popular meme coin is now aiming for the $0.1885 level, but first, it needs to break above the $0.186 resistance.

Dogecoin - 比特幣價格更新在過去24小時內增長了近10％，現在交易約為0.1827美元。流行的模因硬幣現在的目標是達到0.1885美元，但首先，它需要超過0.186美元的電阻。

Looking at the charts, the 4-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI) has climbed above 83, which suggests that Dogecoin is currently in an “overbought” zone. This usually means a short-term price correction could be on the way.

從圖表上看，4小時的相對強度指數（RSI）攀升到83以上，這表明Dogecoin目前處於“過失”的區域。這通常意味著短期價格糾正可能會發生。

Meanwhile, Bitcoin is also showing strength. It has broken past the $94,000 mark and is up nearly 6% in the last 24 hours.

同時，比特幣也表現出強度。它已經超過了94,000美元的大關，在過去24小時內增長了近6％。