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比特幣已進入目前 6.07 萬美元至 7.3 萬美元的較大交易區間內的較小交易區間。看漲勢頭減弱,拋售壓力可能加大。鯨魚活動和 ETF 流入正在放緩,顯示需求不足和看跌情緒。技術指標表明,價格可能會進一步跌至 6 萬美元或繼續區間交易。
Bitcoin Consolidation Persists as Bullish Sentiment Wanes
隨著看漲情緒減弱,比特幣整合持續存在
Overview
概述
Bitcoin (BTC) has been trading within a range of $73,000 to $60,700, indicating a period of consolidation. Despite earlier optimism that bulls would defend the $64,500 support level, a rejection at $67,000 and a subsequent drop to $62,800 have weakened bullish conviction. This development coincides with a decline in whale activity and slowing inflows into Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
比特幣 (BTC) 的交易價格一直在 73,000 美元至 60,700 美元之間,這表明這是一個盤整期。儘管早些時候樂觀地認為多頭將捍衛 64,500 美元的支撐位,但在 67,000 美元的拒絕以及隨後跌至 62,800 美元的支撐位削弱了看漲信念。這一發展恰逢鯨魚活動的減少和比特幣交易所交易基金(ETF)的資金流入放緩。
Factors Contributing to Consolidation
促成整合的因素
- Negative ETF Inflows: Crypto analyst Whale Panda observed that Bitcoin ETF flows have been negative for three consecutive days, indicating a lack of demand. Blackrock's IBIT ETF experienced a third day of zero inflows after receiving significant inflows earlier this month.
- Declining Whale Transaction Count: Crypto analyst Ali Martinez noted that the number of whale transactions has been declining since mid-March, further reducing bullish pressure.
- Waning Futures Market Sentiment: The Open Interest and Funding Rate in Bitcoin futures markets have diminished since the beginning of April, suggesting a bearish sentiment among speculators.
Technical Analysis
ETF 流入量為負值:加密貨幣分析師 Whale Panda 觀察到,比特幣 ETF 流入量連續三天為負值,顯示需求不足。貝萊德的IBIT ETF 在本月稍早收到大量資金流入後,連續第三天出現零流入。在下降,進一步減輕了看漲壓力。
Technical analysis of Bitcoin's price chart reveals a short-term range between $66,900 and $59,700. Within this range, the price has been fluctuating below the neutral 50 level on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator, indicating bearish momentum.
比特幣價格圖表的技術分析顯示,短期範圍在 66,900 美元至 59,700 美元之間。在此範圍內,價格一直在相對強弱指數 (RSI) 指標的中性 50 水平下方波動,顯示看跌勢頭。
The breach of the mid-range mark at $63,300 over the weekend suggests the potential for a further decline towards the $60,000 level.
週末突破中間區間 63,300 美元表明有可能進一步下跌至 60,000 美元水平。
Outlook
外表
The combination of declining whale activity, negative ETF inflows, and waning futures market sentiment indicates that bullish conviction for Bitcoin has weakened considerably. It is likely that the current consolidation will continue, with a potential downward trend towards the $60,000 support level.
鯨魚活動減少、ETF 流入量減少以及期貨市場情緒減弱,這些因素綜合在一起表明,人們對比特幣的看漲信心已大大減弱。目前的盤整可能會持續下去,並有可能下降至 60,000 美元的支撐位。
Investors should closely monitor the price action and market sentiment indicators to identify potential breakout points and make informed trading decisions. The lack of sustained demand and the waning technical momentum suggest that the cryptocurrency market may experience further volatility in the near term.
投資者應密切注意價格走勢和市場情緒指標,以識別潛在的突破點並做出明智的交易決策。缺乏持續的需求和減弱的技術動力表明加密貨幣市場短期內可能會經歷進一步的波動。
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