儘管最近波動性，比特幣表現出了顯著的彈性。本週分析介紹了下降模式，突破潛力以及對投資者的意義。

Bitcoin's Bullish Resilience: A Weekly Analysis of Drawdown and Breakout Potential

比特幣的看漲彈性：每週進行縮減和突破潛力的分析

Bitcoin's been on a wild ride lately, huh? Escalating tensions in the Middle East definitely had folks sweating, but with a ceasefire declared between Iran and Israel, the market's breathing a collective sigh of relief. Let's dive into the drawdown, breakout potential, and get a sense of what's next.

比特幣最近一直在狂野旅行，對吧？中東的緊張局勢不斷升級，肯定會流汗，但是在伊朗和以色列之間宣布停火，該市場的呼吸令人振奮。讓我們潛入縮減，突破潛力，並了解下一步。

Decoding Bitcoin's Drawdown Patterns

解碼比特幣的提取模式

Since the bull run kicked off in November 2022, Bitcoin's only faced two major drawdowns exceeding 30%: one in August 2024 and another in April 2025, according to CryptoQuant data. But here's the kicker: both times, Bitcoin bounced back hard, setting new all-time highs. That's resilience, baby! Most other corrections have been within a manageable 10-20% range – just short-term shake-outs, not signs of a deeper problem.

自從CryptoQuant數據顯示以來，自2022年11月跑步以來，比特幣僅面臨兩個主要累積量超過30％：2024年8月，另一個在2025年4月。但這是踢球者：兩次，比特幣都努力反彈，創造了新的高潮。那是韌性，寶貝！大多數其他更正都在可管理的10-20％範圍內 - 僅僅是短期搖擺，而不是更深層問題的跡象。

Weekly Analysis: Consolidation and Potential Breakout

每週分析：合併和潛在的突破

Right now, Bitcoin's weekly SMA drawdown is around -7%, with an overall drawdown of only -4.7%. This suggests a stable consolidation phase, hovering between $100,000 and $106,000. Buyers are stepping in, volatility is easing, and all signs point toward Bitcoin gearing up for its next big move.

目前，比特幣的每週SMA降價約為-7％，總降價僅為-4.7％。這表明穩定的合併階段，徘徊在100,000美元至106,000美元之間。買家正在介入，波動率正在放鬆，所有跡像都指向比特幣為下一個大舉動準備。

Approaching Key Resistance

接近關鍵阻力

Bitcoin's currently chilling around $106,622 (on the 12-hour chart), a testament to its strong recovery from that recent dip to $98,000. It smashed through the $103,600 support and is back in bullish territory, cruising above the 50 and 100-period moving averages. Volume surged during the bounce, confirming serious buyer interest around the $100K mark.

比特幣目前的冷藏量約為106,622美元（在12小時的圖表上），這證明了其從最近的下降到98,000美元的強勁恢復。它在$ 103,600的支持下砸碎，並返回看漲的領土，在50和100週期的移動平均水平上巡遊。彈跳期間的數量飆升，確認了$ 10萬美元大關的嚴重買方利息。

The $109,300 Hurdle

$ 109,300的障礙

Now, here's the challenge: a decisive resistance zone around $109,300. That's the previous local top, and sellers have historically jumped in at that level. If the bulls can muscle through with solid volume, expect a breakout toward new highs. A rejection, though, could send Bitcoin back to retest that $103,600 support. This $103K-$109K range has been a battleground since early May, so a breakout either way will give us a clearer picture.

現在，這是一個挑戰：決定性抵抗區約為109,300美元。那是以前的本地頂級，賣家歷史上已經跳入了這個水平。如果公牛可以以堅實的體積肌肉鍛煉，請期待新高點的突破。但是，拒絕可能會將比特幣送回重新測試103,600美元的支持。自5月初以來，這個$ 103K- $ 109K的範圍一直是戰場，因此，突破的任何一種方式都會給我們帶來更清晰的照片。

The Big Picture: Market Maturity and Bullish Sentiment

大局：市場成熟和看漲情緒

Analyst Axel Adler points out a key trend: those significant corrections are followed by accumulation and then a renewed push higher. This cycle suggests Bitcoin's gearing up for another leg up. Confidence is building, driven by macro adoption, decreasing exchange liquidity, and a growing belief in Bitcoin as a long-term store of value.

分析師阿克塞爾·阿德勒（Axel Adler）指出了一個關鍵趨勢：這些重大校正之後是積累，然後更高的推動力。這個週期表明，比特幣正在為另一支腿做準備。信心是由宏觀採用，減少交換流動性以及對比特幣作為長期價值存儲的信念的驅動。

Pepe Coin's Plunge: A Memecoin Reality Check

Pepe Coin's Plunge：Memecoin現實檢查

While Bitcoin's flexing its muscles, Pepe Coin (PEPE) has taken a tumble, dropping almost 4%. Whale activity, specifically Cumberland transferring a boatload of PEPE tokens to exchanges, sparked volatility. Trading volume's down, and Bitcoin dominance is up, pulling liquidity from riskier assets like memecoins. It's a reminder that not everything in crypto is sunshine and rainbows.

當比特幣彎曲肌肉時，Pepe Coin（Pepe）跌倒了，下降了近4％。鯨魚活動，特別是坎伯蘭（Cumberland）將大量佩佩（Pepe）代幣轉移到交換中，引發了波動。交易量的下降，比特幣優勢升高，從諸如Memecoins之類的風險資產中吸引了流動性。提醒人們，加密貨幣中的所有內容都不是陽光和彩虹。

Ethereum's Potential Tailwind

以太坊的潛在逆風

Keep an eye on Ethereum (ETH). Some analysts think it's on the verge of a golden cross, which historically leads to strong increases. If ETH breaks out, it could give PEPE and other altcoins a boost. But until that happens, PEPE's short-term outlook remains cautious.

密切關注以太坊（ETH）。一些分析人士認為這正處於金十字架的邊緣，這從歷史上導致了強勁的增長。如果ETH爆發，它可能會給Pepe和其他Altcoins增強。但是直到發生這種情況，佩佩的短期前景仍然謹慎。

Final Thoughts: Stay Frosty, My Friends

最終想法：保持冷凍，我的朋友們

Bitcoin's showing impressive resilience, shaking off geopolitical jitters and consolidating for its next move. While memecoins face headwinds, the overall trend suggests a maturing market with strong fundamentals. So, buckle up, keep an eye on those key levels, and remember: in the world of crypto, anything can happen. But for now, the bulls seem to be back in charge. Stay cool, New York!

比特幣表現出令人印象深刻的韌性，擺脫地緣政治的震撼力並為下一步行動鞏固。儘管Memecoins面對逆風，但總體趨勢表明，成熟的市場具有強大的基礎知識。因此，扣緊，密切關注這些關鍵水平，並記住：在加密貨幣世界中，任何事情都可能發生。但是就目前而言，公牛似乎又回來了。保持涼爽，紐約！