比特幣的看漲賭注：風險重置還是十月集會？

比特幣面臨槓杆位置沖洗和情感轉移。十月的歷史收益會拯救加密王嗎？

Bitcoin's Bullish Bets: Risk-On Reset or October Rally?

比特幣的看漲賭注：風險重置還是十月集會？

Bitcoin's been on a rollercoaster, hitting its steepest weekly decline since March. Over $15 billion in leveraged positions got wiped out, signaling a major reset in risk appetite. But could October's historical track record of strong Bitcoin gains turn the tide? Let's dive in.

比特幣一直在過山車上，這是自3月以來每週最大的下降。超過150億美元的槓桿頭寸被消滅了，這表明風險胃口的重置重置。但是，十月的歷史記錄能力強勁的比特幣獲得記錄會扭轉潮流嗎？讓我們潛水。

The Great Leverage Flush

巨大的槓桿沖洗

Bitcoin (BTC) took a hit, dropping over 5% and dipping below $110,000. Crypto analyst Maartunn pointed out that a whopping $11.8 billion in leveraged altcoin bets and $3.2 billion in speculative Bitcoin positions were flushed out. This shake-up could actually be a good thing, reducing market fragility and setting the stage for a more stable recovery. Think of it as spring cleaning for the crypto market.

比特幣（BTC）受到了打擊，下降了5％，下降到110,000美元以下。加密分析師Maartunn指出，槓桿化的Altcoin賭注高達118億美元，投機性比特幣頭寸被沖走了32億美元。這種改動實際上可能是一件好事，減少了市場脆弱性，並為更穩定的恢復奠定了基礎。將其視為加密市場的春季清潔。

Sentiment Check: From Extreme Bull to Bearish Blues

情感檢查：從極端公牛到看跌藍色

Market sentiment has done a 180. Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr. noted that the Advanced Sentiment Index went from a super bullish 86% to a bearish 15% in just two weeks. While bounces often happen when sentiment dips this low, Adler Jr. says we need to see it climb back above 40%–45% for a sustained recovery. Basically, people need to start feeling good about Bitcoin again.

市場情緒做了180個。比特幣研究員Axel Adler Jr.指出，高級情感指數從超級看漲的86％上升到短短兩週內看跌15％。小阿德勒（Adler Jr.）說，雖然情緒低落時通常會發生彈跳，但我們需要看到它越來越多，以恢復40％–45％以持續恢復。基本上，人們需要再次開始對比特幣感覺良好。

October to the Rescue? History Says Maybe

十月救援？歷史說也許

Here's where things get interesting. September is historically a rough month for Bitcoin, but October? It's usually a winner. Bitcoin network economist Timothy Peterson thinks this recent pullback fits right into the usual seasonal patterns. He even suggests there's a 50% chance Bitcoin could hit $200,000 by mid-2026, driven by these seasonal bull runs. Since 2019, Bitcoin's closed October in the green every year, averaging returns of 21.89%. Even in the bear market of 2022, it still managed a 5.53% gain. So, maybe this pain is just temporary.

這是事情變得有趣的地方。從歷史上看，9月是比特幣的艱難月份，但是十月？通常是贏家。比特幣網絡經濟學家蒂莫西·彼得森（Timothy Peterson）認為，最近的回調適合通常的季節性模式。他甚至建議，在這些季節性公牛奔跑的驅動下，到2026年中期，比特幣的機會可能達到200,000美元。自2019年以來，比特幣每年在綠色的10月關閉，平均收益為21.89％。即使在2022年的熊市中，它仍然管理著5.53％的收益。因此，也許這種痛苦只是暫時的。

Meanwhile, Across the Pond...

同時，跨過池塘...

In the UK, B HODL Plc, a company focused on Bitcoin accumulation, just added 12 more bitcoins to its treasury, bringing their total to 112 BTC. This move puts them among the top 100 Bitcoin treasury firms globally. It signals growing institutional confidence in Bitcoin's long-term value and could encourage other European firms to follow suit. It's like saying, "Hey, we're not just talking the talk, we're walking the walk (and hodling the Bitcoin)."

在英國，專注於比特幣積累的公司B HODL PLC剛剛在其財政部增加了12個比特幣，使其總數達到112 BTC。此舉使他們躋身全球100個比特幣國庫公司之列。它表示對比特幣長期價值的機構信心日益增加，並可以鼓勵其他歐洲公司效仿。這就像說：“嘿，我們不僅在談論談話，而且我們在走路（並騙了比特幣）。”

Final Thoughts: Buckle Up, Buttercup

最終想法：扣緊，毛cup

So, what's the takeaway? Bitcoin's navigating a leveraged market, but October's historical performance offers a glimmer of hope. Plus, companies like B HODL are showing long-term faith in Bitcoin. Whether it's a risk-on reset or the start of an October rally, one thing's for sure: it's never a dull moment in the world of crypto. So, keep your eyes peeled, maybe grab some popcorn, and enjoy the show!

那麼，收穫是什麼？比特幣在槓桿市場中瀏覽，但十月的歷史表現充滿了希望。另外，像B Hodl這樣的公司對比特幣表現出長期信仰。無論是風險重置還是十月集會的開始，都可以肯定的是：這絕不是加密貨幣世界中的沉悶時刻。因此，請睜大眼睛，也許會抓住一些爆米花，並享受表演！