比特幣[BTC]在2025年6月之前可能會超過其以前的歷史最高水平

自2015年以來對比特幣[BTC]的分析表明，加密貨幣達到了最負擔得起的價格時期，這在“一張圖表中的10年比特幣季節性”中表示。

Analysis of Bitcoin [BTC] since 2015 revealed the cryptocurrency achieved its most affordable price period, as denoted by the “10 Years of Bitcoin Seasonality in One Chart.”

自2015年以來對比特幣[BTC]的分析表明，加密貨幣達到了最實惠的價格時期，這是“一張圖表中的10年比特幣季節性”所表示。

This time span also showed April as the month with the greatest annual price changes, closely followed by October. These months saw all changes in market value.

這個時間範圍也顯示為四月作為年度最大價格變化的月份，緊隨其後的是十月。這些月份看到了市場價值的所有變化。

Moreover, the cryptocurrency maintained its shortest growth range between 0.80 and 1.00 during January and February, correlating exactly with the current position.

此外，加密貨幣在1月和2月的0.80至1.00之間保持了最短的增長范圍，與當前位置完全相關。

After April, the growth pattern continued to stabilize until October where it continued its regular upward expansion from 1.40 to increase the price to 1.60.

四月之後，增長模式一直穩定，直到10月，它繼續正常地向上擴展，從1.40提高了價格，將價格提高到1.60。

Current data suggests Bitcoin could surpass its previous all-time high by June 2025. Its projected growth may reach 2.00 or higher, with anticipated price levels between 2.20 and 2.60 from late 2024 to early 2025.

當前的數據表明，比特幣可能會在2025年6月之前超過其以前的歷史最高水平。其預計增長率可能達到2.00或更高，預期的價格從2024年底到2025年初的2.20至2.60之間。

This projection relies on historical trends, where April’s seasonal uptick and October’s momentum often fueled significant gains.

這一預測依賴於歷史趨勢，在這裡，四月的季節性上升和十月的勢頭經常促進了巨大的收益。

After June, Bitcoin’s price may remain below 1.20 unless April sees its usual upward trend, the dollar’s weakness stabilizes, or investor interest increases.

六月之後，除非April看到其通常的上升趨勢，美元的弱點穩定或投資者利息增加，否則比特幣的價格可能會保持在1.20以下。

Why a new ATH for BTC is possible before June

為什麼在六月之前可能有新的BTC ATH

This new anticipated ATH of Bitcoin can be backed by the fact that BTC bulls are protecting the essential 50 weekly Moving Average (MA50) by holding out at $75.8K. Currently, the price is hovering around $83.1K, just above the MA50.

BTC公牛隊以75.8K美元的價格扣除了這一新的預期比特幣ATH的ATH可以支持這一事實。目前，價格徘徊在83.1萬美元左右，就在MA50上方。

The first support level has historically served as a rebound zone. For instance, Bitcoin rose from $67K in July 2024 to $83K in December, demonstrating sustained positive market movement.

第一個支持水平歷史上一直是籃板區。例如，比特幣從2024年7月的6.7萬美元上漲至12月的$ 83K，表明市場持續了積極的市場發展。

Further analysis of the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) trend signal suggests Bitcoin could maintain extended stability. A decrease in SOPR from 1.07 to 1.00 during January 2025 indicates that buyers have halted profit-taking.

對支出的產出利率（SOPR）趨勢信號的進一步分析表明，比特幣可以保持穩定的穩定性。在2025年1月，SOPR從1.07下降到1.00，這表明買家已經停止了獲利。

Historically, when SOPR reached approximately 1.00—such as in mid-2023—the market often experienced price increases. This pattern suggests Bitcoin could potentially reach a new all-time high by June.

從歷史上看，當Sopr達到大約1.00（例如在2023年中）時，市場經常會經歷價格上漲。這種模式表明，到6月，比特幣可能會達到新的歷史最高水平。

Additionally, analyst Avocado reported that Funding Rates on Binance held a negative position of -0.02 as of March 2025 as BTC traded around $83.6K.

此外，分析師鱷梨報告說，截至2025年3月，BTC交易約83.6萬美元，Binance的資金率為-0.02的負數為-0.02。

In June 2024, a negative Funding Rate of -0.02 triggered a price increase, pushing Bitcoin from $50K to $70K. A similar Funding Rate movement could potentially drive BTC’s price above $100K.

2024年6月，-0.02的負資金率觸發了價格上漲，將比特幣從5萬美元提高到7萬美元。類似的融資率移動可能會使BTC的價格超過$ 100K。

However, if a prolonged negative Funding Rate coincides with a failure of the MA50 support, BTC’s price could drop to $70K. This scenario could also delay the achievement of a new all-time high.

但是，如果延長的負資金率與MA50支持失敗一致，BTC的價格可能會降至7萬美元。這種情況也可能會延遲新的歷史最高成就。