比特幣（BTC）有可能撤退，因為看漲的動量在鑰匙阻力附近逐漸消失

比特幣正面臨著回調的風險，隨著看漲的動量開始在關鍵阻力附近消失。經過數週的令人印象深刻的收益，BTC現在正在合併

Bitcoin is facing growing risks of a pullback as bullish momentum begins to fade near key resistance. After weeks of impressive gains and outperforming traditional markets, BTC is now consolidating in a tight range just below its all-time high, with buyers struggling to push the price into price discovery. This ongoing indecision has raised concerns among traders and analysts, who are closely watching for signs of either a breakout or a deeper retracement.

比特幣正面臨著回調的風險，隨著看漲的動量開始在關鍵阻力附近消失。經過數週的令人印象深刻的收益和表現不佳的傳統市場，BTC現在正固結在其歷史最高水平以下的緊密範圍內，買家努力將價格推向價格發現。這種持續的猶豫不決引起了交易者和分析師的關注，他們密切關注突破或更深層回撤的跡象。

Crypto analyst Daan offered a broader perspective on the situation, noting that Bitcoin initially surged in response to the recent tariff-related tensions, significantly outperforming equities in the process. However, as trade uncertainty began to ease and traditional markets regained momentum, Bitcoin lost steam and failed to follow through. While stocks continued their uptrend, BTC stalled—an unusual divergence that suggests caution may be creeping back into the crypto space.

加密分析師Daan對這種情況提出了更廣泛的看法，並指出，比特幣最初響應於最近與關稅有關的緊張局勢，在此過程中表現出色。但是，隨著貿易不確定性開始緩解，傳統市場恢復了動力，比特幣失去了動力，未能遵循。儘管股票繼續上升趨勢，但BTC停滯不前，這種異常的分歧表明謹慎可能會逐回加密貨幣空間。

With the price now hovering around the $103K mark and key resistance near $105K remaining untouched, bulls must act decisively to reclaim control. A failure to do so could trigger a larger correction, especially if macro conditions shift or equity markets show renewed weakness. For now, all eyes are on the range — and which side breaks first.

由於價格現在徘徊在$ 103K商標和鑰匙阻力近105,000美元的剩餘價格左右，因此公牛必須果斷地採取行動以收回控制。如果不這樣做可能會引發更大的糾正，尤其是當宏觀條件轉移或股票市場顯示出較新的弱點時。就目前而言，所有人的眼睛都在範圍內 - 哪個側面折斷。

Bitcoin Bulls Eye Breakout But Caution Grows Near Resistance

比特幣公牛的眼球突破，但謹慎越來越接近抵抗力

Bitcoin is just 5% away from its all-time high of around $109,000, trading near $103K as bulls attempt to reclaim momentum. After weeks of strong upward movement and consolidation above key levels, many analysts believe BTC is preparing for a decisive breakout. If price can clear the $105K resistance, it could trigger a new leg into price discovery and signal the start of a powerful bull phase.

比特幣距離其歷史最高少量約109,000美元僅5％，隨著公牛試圖恢復勢頭，比特幣的交易價格接近103,000美元。經過數週的向上運動和超過關鍵水平的穩定，許多分析師認為BTC正在為決定性的突破做準備。如果價格可以清除105,000美元的電阻，它可能會引發新的腿發現，並發出強大的牛階段的開始。

However, selling pressure at current levels remains strong. Bitcoin has struggled to break higher, and some traders see this consolidation as a sign of potential exhaustion. Daan offered insights on the recent behavior, noting that BTC surged sharply following the tariff-related macro drama, outperforming equities in the process. Yet, as some trade uncertainty faded, stocks kept climbing while BTC stalled near resistance.

但是，當前水平的銷售壓力仍然很大。比特幣一直在努力打破更高，一些交易員認為這種鞏固是潛在疲憊的標誌。 Daan對最近的行為提出了見解，並指出，與關稅相關的宏觀戲劇劇烈劇烈震驚，在此過程中表現優於股票。然而，隨著某些貿易不確定性的消失，股票在BTC停滯不前的阻力下停滯不前時不斷攀爬。

Daan considers $90K his “line in the sand” for long-term spot exposure. If Bitcoin were to drop below that mark, it would suggest a structural breakdown that hasn't occurred during this cycle. For now, he remains cautiously bullish while BTC stays above that level, but admits the risk-reward was more attractive when BTC was 20–30% cheaper.

Daan認為90,000美元的“沙子線”以進行長期現場曝光。如果比特幣要降至該標記以下，則表明在此週期中未發生的結構崩潰。就目前而言，他仍然謹慎看漲，而BTC保持在該水平上面，但承認，當BTC便宜20-30％時，風險回報更具吸引力。

He also warns that if equities correct after their aggressive rallies—many stocks have surged 30–50% in a single month—it could drag Bitcoin lower in a short-term flush. With BTC showing relative weakness near resistance, the next move will be critical for confirming either continued upside or the start of a broader pullback.

他還警告說，如果股票在積極的集會之後正確 - 一個月內的股票飆升了30-50％ - 它可能會在短期沖洗中將比特幣降低。由於BTC顯示相對弱點接近電阻，因此下一步對於確認持續上升空間或更廣泛的回調的開始至關重要。

Tight 4H Range Signals Imminent Price Breakout

緊密的4H範圍信號即將突破價格突破

The 4-hour chart shows Bitcoin consolidating tightly between $105,700 resistance and $100,700 support, creating a narrow range that suggests a strong move is imminent. Price has been ranging sideways for several days, with multiple failed breakout attempts above $103,600. This level continues to act as a key barrier for bulls.

4小時的圖表顯示，比特幣在105,700美元的電阻和100,700美元的支持之間緊密合併，創造了一個狹窄的範圍，這表明即將採取強勁的舉動。價格已經在側面範圍數了幾天，多次突破嘗試超過103,600美元。這個水平繼續充當公牛的關鍵障礙。

Notably, Bitcoin remains above both the 200 EMA ($96,121) and the 200 SMA ($94,622), reinforcing the medium-term bullish structure. Momentum is neutral in the short term, as shown by the indecisive price action and declining volume. However, the trend remains intact as long as BTC holds above $100,000 — the psychological and technical line in the sand.

值得注意的是，比特幣仍然高於200 EMA（$ 96,121）和200 SMA（94,622美元），從而增強了中期看漲結構。在短期內，動量是中性的，如優柔寡斷的價格作用和數量下降所示。但是，只要BTC持有超過100,000美元，這一趨勢仍然完好無損，這是沙子中的心理和技術線。

If price breaks above $103,600 with volume, it could trigger a move toward the $105,000–$109,000 range and initiate a push into price discovery. On the other hand, failure to hold this support zone could open the door for a quick flush to retest the $98,000–$96,000 area, where the moving averages align.

如果價格違反了$ 103,600的價格，它可能會觸發向105,000- $ 109,000範圍的轉變，並啟動推進價格發現。另一方面，如果不持有該支撐區域，則可以為快速沖洗打開大門，以重新測試$ 98,000- $ 96,000的區域，該區域的平均值對齊。

Traders should watch for a clear breakout or breakdown, especially as moving averages and prior highs converge. This tight setup rarely lasts long, and a decisive move could define Bitcoin's trend for the rest of the month.

交易者應注意明確的突破或分解，尤其是在移動平均值和先前的高點融合時。這種緊密的設置很少持續很長時間，而決定性的舉動可以定義本月剩餘時間的趨勢。