比特幣（BTC）收回$ 100,000的水平，至關重要的鍊鍊信號閃光看漲

比特幣BTC $ 96 611 24H波動率：2.1％的市值：$ 1.92 T卷。 24H：$ 29.09 b

Bitcoin price rose above $100,000 again on May 10, trading at around $102,000 at the time of writing — a nearly 4% surge in the past 24 hours.

5月10日，比特幣的價格再次上漲了100,000美元，在寫作時的交易價格約為102,000美元，過去24小時的增長近4％。

One of the most significant on-chain signals confirming market strength comes from CryptoQuant’s Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator, which has finally begun to flash bullish.

確認市場實力的最重要的鍊鍊信號之一來自CryptoQuant的Bull-Bear市場週期指標，該指標終於開始看漲。

CryptoQuant’s Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator | Source: CryptoQuant

加密的牛市市場週期指標|資料來源：加密

While the coefficient of the bullish signal is still weak at 0.029, it’s the first green signal in over two months, hinting at a potential shift in momentum.

雖然看漲信號的係數在0.029時仍然較弱，但它是兩個月內的第一個綠色信號，暗示了動量的潛在轉移。

Convergence of bullish indicators

看漲指標的融合

The Bull-Bear 30DMA has started to curve upward. Historically, when this shorter-term moving average crosses above the Bull-Bear 365DMA, Bitcoin has entered periods of parabolic price growth.

牛30DMA已經開始向上彎曲。從歷史上看，當這個較短的移動平均線超過牛365DMA時，比特幣進入了拋物線價格增長時期。

The crossover hasn’t happened yet, but the upward slope is now in motion.

跨界車還沒有發生，但是向上的坡度現在正在運動。

Meanwhile, realized price metrics based on UTXO age bands reveal that 100% of all Bitcoin holders are in profit. This rare alignment occurred when Bitcoin crossed $98,138, pushing even the final lagging band (3 to 6 months) into profitability.

同時，基於UTXO年齡段的實現價格指標表明，所有比特幣持有人中有100％是有利的。當比特幣越過98,138美元時，這種罕見的一致性發生在將最終滯後樂隊（3至6個月）推向盈利能力時。

As the market approached the current local low of $74k, more than 5M BTC were held in an underwater position. However, as the market recovery has taken place, this number has fallen to around 1.9M BTC, indicating that over 3M BTC have returned to a state of profit. pic.twitter.com/J7cmxlRyMH

隨著市場接近當前7.4萬美元的當地低價，在水下職位上舉行了超過500萬BTC。但是，隨著市場回收的發生，該數字已降至約190萬BTC，表明超過3M BTC恢復了利潤狀態。 pic.twitter.com/j7cmxlrymh

— glassnode (@glassnode) May 8, 2025

- 2025年5月8日玻璃節（@glassnode）

Technical analysis: momentum builds for btc

技術分析：為BTC建立動量

Looking at the daily chart below, Bitcoin has cleanly broken above the upper Bollinger Band, now hovering around $102,747.

查看下面的每日圖表，比特幣在上布林樂隊上方乾淨地破裂，現在徘徊在102,747美元左右。

Price exceeding the top band often indicates overbought conditions in the short term, which can lead to temporary pullbacks, but also suggests strong momentum. The lower band sits at $87,147, providing the key support level if price corrects.

超過頂級樂隊的價格通常表明短期內的條件過高，這可能會導致暫時的回調，但也表明勢頭強勁。下層樂隊的價格為87,147美元，如果價格糾正，則提供關鍵支持水平。

The MACD remains in bullish alignment, with the MACD line trending well above the signal line and continuing to widen as buyers continue to dominate.

MACD保持看漲對齊，MACD線趨向於信號線上，並且隨著買家的繼續占主導地位，MACD線路仍在繼續擴大。

BTC 1D Chart | Source: TradingView

BTC 1D圖表|資料來源：TradingView

If Bitcoin can maintain above $102,750, the next target becomes $108,000-$110,000, followed by the all-time high range near $120,000. On the other hand, a break below the $94,947 mid-Bollinger Band or a failed hold above $100K could bring a correction toward the $87,000-$90,000 support zone.

如果比特幣可維持$ 102,750，則下一個目標將變為$ 108,000- $ 110,000，隨後有歷史最高的高範圍接近$ 120,000。另一方面，低於$ 94,947的中脫口機樂隊或以上$ 10萬美元的失敗的休息可能會為$ 87,000- $ 90,000的支持區帶來更正。

A crypto journalist with over 5 years of experience in the industry, Parth has worked with several major media outlets in the crypto and finance world, where he experience and expertise in the space having survived bear and bull markets over the years. He is also an author of 4 self-published books.

Parth是一位在該行業擁有超過5年經驗的加密記者，與加密貨幣和金融界的幾個主要媒體合作，多年來，他在該領域經驗和專業知識，多年來倖存下來。他還是四本自出版書籍的作者。

Parth Dubey on LinkedIn

Parth Dubey在LinkedIn上