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這些預測取決於幾個關鍵因素:聯準會的政策、企業的採用以及川普領導下的比特幣潛在戰略儲備。
A recent report by Blockware Solutions has projected that Bitcoin could reach between $150,000 and $400,000 by 2025. The company’s analysis is based on several key factors, including the policy of the U.S. Federal Reserve, adoption by businesses, and the potential strategic reserve of bitcoins under Trump.
Blockware Solutions 最近的一份報告預計,到 2025 年,比特幣的價格可能會達到 15 萬至 40 萬美元。 。
According to Blockware, the price of Bitcoin could reach $150,000 in a conservative scenario, which assumes that Donald Trump would not actualize his project of a strategic reserve of bitcoins, that the Fed would maintain high rates, and that historical holders (more than 155 days) would massively liquidate their positions.
根據Blockware 的說法,在保守的情況下,比特幣的價格可能會達到150,000 美元,假設唐納德·川普不會實現他的比特幣戰略儲備項目,美聯儲將維持高利率,並且歷史持有者(超過155 天) )將大規模清算他們的部位。
In a median scenario, Blockware anticipates a bitcoin price of $225,000, which is based on the effective establishment of a U.S. strategic reserve of bitcoin, rate cuts consistent with market expectations, and stable entrepreneurial adoption at the current pace.
在中位數情境下,Blockware 預計比特幣價格為 22.5 萬美元,這是基於美國比特幣戰略儲備的有效建立、符合市場預期的降息以及當前穩定的企業採用速度。
However, for Bitcoin to reach $400,000, three essential conditions must be met, according to Blockware. The Federal Reserve must adopt a much more accommodative monetary policy, the adoption of bitcoin by businesses must accelerate, especially if one of the “Magnificent 7” giants (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, or Tesla) decides to integrate bitcoin into its balance sheet.
然而,Blockware 表示,比特幣要達到 40 萬美元,必須滿足三個基本條件。聯準會必須採取更寬鬆的貨幣政策,企業對比特幣的採用必須加速,特別是如果「七大巨頭」(Alphabet、亞馬遜、蘋果、Meta、微軟、英偉達或特斯拉)之一決定整合比特幣比特幣納入其資產負債表。
The role of large corporations is central to these forecasts. For example, if companies like Tesla or Microsoft invested in bitcoin, it could significantly impact the market. However, this adoption remains uncertain. Recently, Microsoft shareholders rejected a proposal to add bitcoins to the company’s balance sheet.
大公司的角色就是這些預測的核心。例如,如果特斯拉或微軟等公司投資比特幣,可能會對市場產生重大影響。然而,這種採用仍然不確定。最近,微軟股東拒絕了將比特幣添加到公司資產負債表中的提議。
The involvement of governments is also crucial. Donald Trump’s project to establish a strategic bitcoin reserve could transform the crypto landscape. Jack Mallers, CEO of Strike, even anticipates a presidential decree at the start of a potential new term.
政府的參與也至關重要。唐納德·川普建立比特幣戰略儲備的項目可能會改變加密貨幣格局。 Strike 執行長 Jack Mallers 甚至預計在新任期開始時將頒布總統令。
However, this assumption remains speculative. Some experts, like Alex Thorn from Galaxy Research, consider it unlikely that the U.S. government will accumulate bitcoins massively by 2025.
然而,這種假設仍然是推測性的。 Galaxy Research 的 Alex Thorn 等一些專家認為,美國政府不太可能在 2025 年之前大量累積比特幣。
In summary, the evolution of bitcoin in 2025 will largely depend on the decisions of U.S. authorities and the interest of large companies. While all analysts agree on an upward trend, its magnitude will vary according to the realization of these key factors.
綜上所述,2025年比特幣的演變很大程度上取決於美國當局的決定和大公司的利益。儘管所有分析師都同意上升趨勢,但其幅度將根據這些關鍵因素的實現而有所不同。
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