隨著現場市場儲備繼續流失，比特幣（BTC）價格飆升了103,000美元

比特幣的價格飆升超過103,000美元，比特幣再次接近其歷史最高水平。加密貨幣的每週價格上漲10.4％，每月增長超過24％。

Bitcoin price is rapidly approaching its all-time high again as it trades past $103,000. It has seen a weekly price increase of 10.4% and a monthly gain of over 24%. The cryptocurrency is enjoying a wave of optimism in both crypto and traditional markets.

比特幣價格正迅速接近其歷史最高高價，因為它的交易超過了103,000美元。它的每週價格上漲10.4％，每月收益超過24％。加密貨幣在加密市場和傳統市場中都享有樂觀的浪潮。

The digital asset briefly touched $105,000 on Friday before pulling back slightly to $103,000. This places it about 4% below its January all-time high, with recent data showing large amounts of Bitcoin leaving exchanges, particularly Binance.

該數字資產在周五短暫觸及了105,000美元，然後稍微退回至103,000美元。這使其低於其一月份的歷史最高水平約4％，最近的數據顯示了大量的比特幣留下交流，尤其是binance。

On Friday alone, over 3,000 BTC (worth approximately $312 million) was withdrawn from Binance, marking one of the largest daily outflows in recent months.

僅在星期五，超過3,000個BTC（價值約3.12億美元）從Binance撤回，這是近幾個月來每日最大的流出之一。

This major withdrawal happened on the same day as a new trade agreement was reached between the United States and China, which also boosted US equity markets. The S&P 500 jumped more than 3% following this geopolitical development.

這次重大撤回發生在美國和中國之間達成新的貿易協定的同一天，這也推動了美國股票市場。在這種地緣政治發展之後，標準普爾500指數躍升了3％以上。

The outflow is part of a larger trend, with Binance’s Bitcoin reserves steadily declining from around 595,000 BTC in late February to 541,400 BTC by mid-May.

流出是一個更大趨勢的一部分，Binance的比特幣儲備從2月下旬的595,000 BTC穩步下降到541,400 BTC。

Exchange Outflows Signal Accumulation

交換流出信號積累

When investors move Bitcoin off exchanges into private wallets or cold storage, it typically indicates a preference for holding rather than selling. This behavior suggests accumulation strategies are in play.

當投資者將比特幣從交易所轉移到私人錢包或冷藏庫中時，通常表明偏愛持有而不是出售。這種行為表明積累策略正在發揮作用。

Historically, declining exchange balances point to lower selling pressure in the near term and can support a more bullish outlook for the medium term.

從歷史上看，交換餘額的下降指出，在短期內降低了銷售壓力，並可以支持中期的看法。

The timing of these withdrawals, coinciding with improved relations between two economic superpowers, adds interesting context to investor behavior. It appears Bitcoin holders are adjusting their strategies in response to this positive macro development.

這些戒斷的時機與兩個經濟超能力之間的關係改善的關係為投資者的行為增添了有趣的背景。看來比特幣持有人正在根據這種積極的宏開發來調整其策略。

With reduced global economic uncertainty, large Bitcoin holders, also known as ‘whales,’ seem to be positioning themselves for potential future gains.

隨著全球經濟不確定性的減少，大型比特幣持有人（也稱為鯨魚）似乎正在為潛在的未來增長而定位。

Market analysts note that these movements reflect how capital is shifting across different asset classes in response to broader economic developments, showing increased risk appetite among investors.

市場分析師指出，這些運動反映了對更廣泛的經濟發展的響應，資本如何轉移，表明投資者的風險食慾增加。

Market Sentiment Remains Strong But Not Extreme

市場情緒仍然很強烈，但不是極端

Despite Bitcoin approaching its all-time high again, the market sentiment has yet to reach extreme levels of optimism. The Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index currently stands at 70, indicating strong greed but still below the extreme greed threshold of 75.

儘管比特幣再次接近其歷史最高的高度，但市場情緒尚未達到極端的樂觀水平。比特幣恐懼和貪婪指數目前為70，表明貪婪強，但仍低於75的極端貪婪閾值。

Earlier in the month, market sentiment had cooled to neutral levels when the price rally paused. However, as prices resumed their upward march, investor mood improved once again.

在這個月初，當價格集會暫停時，市場情緒已經冷卻至中立水平。但是，隨著價格恢復向上的三月，投資者的情緒再次改善。

The absence of extreme greed despite Bitcoin’s near-record price could actually be a positive signal for continued price growth. Historically, Bitcoin has often moved contrary to crowd sentiment, with major tops forming when extreme optimism prevails.

儘管比特幣的近記錄價格實際上可能是持續價格增長的積極信號，但沒有極端貪婪。從歷史上看，比特幣經常與人群的情緒相反，當極端樂觀的佔上風時，主要的頂級形成。

The fact that the Fear & Greed Index remains outside the extreme greed zone suggests that excessive hype hasn’t yet developed among investors. This could mean Bitcoin has more room to grow before reaching a market top.

恐懼和貪婪指數仍然超出了極端貪婪區，這一事實表明，投資者尚未發展過度炒作。這可能意味著比特幣在達到市場頂部之前有更多的增長空間。

Market participants appear increasingly responsive to macroeconomic signals, with coordinated movements across traditional and crypto markets suggesting a recalibration of investment strategies in light of improving global trade dynamics.

市場參與者似乎對宏觀經濟信號的反應越來越敏感，跨傳統和加密市場的協調運動表明，鑑於改善了全球貿易動力，對投資策略進行了重新校準。

As geopolitical risks ease and traditional markets recover, Bitcoin’s reduced exchange reserves and growing off-exchange holdings may create favorable conditions for another test of its all-time high in the coming weeks.

隨著地緣政治風險的輕鬆和傳統市場的恢復，比特幣減少的交換儲量和不斷增長的持有量可能會在接下來的幾週內對其歷史最高的測試產生有利的條件。

The coming period will be crucial in determining whether current capital flows translate into a full breakout beyond previous records or lead to a period of price consolidation.

即將到來的時期對於確定當前的資本流量是否轉化為以前的記錄超出一段時間或導致價格合併時期的完整突破。

BTC price on Bitstamp chart 1W in USD

BTC的BTSTAMP圖表1W in USD

Recently, there has been a significant move in BTC. It pulled back from the 105k level and is now back below 103k.

最近，BTC發生了重大舉動。它從105K級別退回，現在返回103k以下。

Is this the start of a correction?

這是更正的開始嗎？

It’s certainly possible.

當然有可能。

The time frame for a correction to occur also seems to fit.

進行更正的時間框架似乎也適合。

The last major time frame that completed was the 3rd wave of 1 on the 4th degree.

完成的最後一個主要時間框架是第四級的第三波。

The 5th wave of 1 on the 4th degree is now due to complete, and that will likely take some time yet.

現在，第4級的第五波浪潮是由於完成的，這可能需要一些時間。

It’s also worth noting that a 90+ day candle has just completed on the 3rd degree, and these candles usually like to trade in complete at least one full cycle.

還值得注意的是，一支90多天的蠟燭剛剛在3級上完成，這些蠟燭通常喜歡在至少一個完整的周期中進行交易。

So far, the candle is still in play, and it’s possible that the price could continue to rally and test the all-time high again before the 90+ day candle closes.

到目前為止，蠟燭仍在發揮作用，價格可能會繼續集會並在90多天蠟燭關閉之前再次測試歷史高潮。

However, if the price does start a correction from here, it could be a time for traders to take some profits and step back from the market.

但是，如果價格確實從這裡開始更正，那麼交易者可能是一個利潤並退後一步的時候了。

It will be interesting to see how the market develops in the coming days and weeks.

看到市場在未來幾天和幾週內如何發展會很有趣。

The post Is Bitcoin ready for a pullback from 105k? appeared first on AlphaBTC.

該帖子是否可以從105k中回調比特幣？首先出現在Alphabtc上。