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討論最廣泛的預測之一來自Arthur Hayes,Crypto Exchange Bitmex的聯合創始人兼前首席執行官
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading around the $103,025 mark, but forecasts for its long-term growth are becoming increasingly ambitious, especially as macroeconomic trends continue to unfold.
比特幣(BTC)目前的交易量約為103,025美元,但長期增長的預測越來越雄心勃勃,尤其是隨著宏觀經濟趨勢繼續展開。
Among the most widely discussed predictions is that of Arthur Hayes, co-founder and former CEO of crypto exchange BitMEX, who believes Bitcoin will soar to $1 million within the next three years.
最廣泛討論的預測之一是Crypto Exchange Bitmex的聯合創始人兼前首席執行官Arthur Hayes的預測,他認為比特幣將在未來三年內飆升至100萬美元。
Hayes shared this optimistic estimate in a blog post on 15 May, attributing such a dramatic rise to global capital flows and the devaluation of US Treasurys.
海斯在5月15日的博客文章中分享了這一樂觀的估計,這將如此巨大的興趣歸因於全球資本流量和美國財政部的貶值。
His comments follow a recent surge in institutional interest in Bitcoin, fueled by concerns over fiat currency stability and attempts by governments to manage sovereign debt.
他的評論是在最近對比特幣的機構利益激增之後,這引起了人們對法定貨幣穩定的擔憂以及政府管理主權債務的企圖。
Global capital flows and US Treasury risk fuel bullish case
全球資本流動和美國國庫風險燃料看漲案件
According to Hayes, two key developments are paving the way for Bitcoin’s potential seven-figure price point: capital repatriation and the devaluation of United States Treasurys.
根據海斯的說法,兩個主要的發展是為比特幣潛在的七位數價格點鋪平了道路:資本遣返和美國財政部的貶值。
As governments impose tighter capital controls and attempt to manage sovereign debt, investors will seek refuge in decentralised assets, he claims.
他聲稱,隨著政府實施更嚴格的資本管制並試圖管理主權債務,投資者將尋求分散資產的庇護。
Given its finite supply and growing institutional legitimacy, Bitcoin will become a preferred store of value, especially in regions where economic instability undermines confidence in traditional banking systems, he adds.
他補充說,鑑於其有限的供應和製度合法性,比特幣將成為首選的價值存儲,尤其是在經濟不穩定破壞對傳統銀行系統信心的地區。
suggesting that "foreign capital repatriation" and the diminishing purchasing power of massive holdings in US Treasurys will act as core accelerants for BTC’s price trajectory.
表明“外國資本遣返”以及美國財政部大量持股的購買力減少將充當BTC價格軌蹟的核心加速劑。
He asserts that these pressures are likely to intensify depending on the outcome of the next US presidential election in 2028.
他斷言,這些壓力可能會根據2028年下次美國總統大選的結果加劇。
His logic hinges on how the next administration might shift economic and fiscal policy, potentially hastening investor flight into alternative assets like Bitcoin.
他的邏輯取決於下一個政府將如何改變經濟和財政政策,可能將投資者的飛行加速到比特幣等替代資產。
Central banks and policy uncertainty boost Bitcoin’s appeal
中央銀行和政策不確定性促進比特幣的上訴
It's worth noting that Hayes' forecast comes amid a broader divergence in policy responses across regions. While some countries are increasing their acceptance of Bitcoin, others, especially in Europe, are considering more stringent controls.
值得注意的是,海耶斯的預測在各個地區的政策響應方面存在更大的差異。儘管某些國家正在增加對比特幣的接受,但其他國家(尤其是在歐洲)正在考慮更嚴格的控制。
In fact, Hayes expressed criticism of the European Central Bank for being overly restrictive, contrasting its stance with that of China, which, despite banning crypto trading, has not outlawed private Bitcoin ownership.
實際上,海耶斯(Hayes)對歐洲中央銀行的批評過於限制,與中國的立場進行了批評,儘管禁止加密貨幣交易,但尚未禁止私人比特幣所有權。
He went on to warn that attempts to suppress Bitcoin in the eurozone could backfire, likening such policies to ineffective central planning.
他繼續警告說,試圖抑制歐元區的比特幣可能適得其反,將這種政策比作無效的中央計劃。
In his view, institutional and retail investors in these regions should act quickly to shift wealth into decentralised assets before tighter restrictions come into force.
他認為,這些地區的機構和散戶投資者應迅速採取行動,將財富轉移到分散資產之前,然後再生效。
Ultimately, these geopolitical risks, combined with concerns over inflation, currency debasement, and ballooning government debt, are helping to solidify Bitcoin’s image as a hedge against systemic risk.
歸根結底,這些地緣政治風險加上對通貨膨脹,貨幣貶低和政府債務激增的擔憂,正在幫助鞏固比特幣的形象,以此作為抵制系統性風險的對沖。
Big players see long-term growth potential
大玩家看到長期增長潛力
It's no secret that Hayes isn't the only one who sees potential for Bitcoin to rise to new highs. Institutional leaders, including Michael Saylor, CEO of business intelligence firm Strategy, and asset management giants like Fidelity Investments, have also expressed optimism for the crypto's long-term prospects.
Hayes並不是唯一看到比特幣升到新高點的人的秘密。機構領導人,包括商業智能公司戰略首席執行官邁克爾·塞勒(Michael Saylor),以及像富達投資(Fidelity Investments)這樣的資產管理巨頭,對加密貨幣的長期前景表示樂觀。
Saylor, whose firm holds the largest Bitcoin reserve among public companies, has projected a long-term valuation of $10 trillion for Bitcoin.
塞勒(Saylor)的公司在上市公司中擁有最大的比特幣儲備,他預計比特幣的長期估值為100萬億美元。
His own personal prediction is even more bullish, with a price target of $13 million per coin by 2045.
他自己的個人預測更為看好,到2045年,每枚硬幣的目標價為1300萬美元。
suggesting that "foreign capital repatriation" and the diminishing purchasing power of massive holdings in US Treasurys will act as core accelerants for BTC’s price trajectory.
表明“外國資本遣返”以及美國財政部大量持股的購買力減少將充當BTC價格軌蹟的核心加速劑。
suggesting that "foreign capital repatriation" and the diminishing purchasing power of massive holdings in US Treasurys will act as core accelerants for BTC’s price trajectory.
表明“外國資本遣返”以及美國財政部大量持股的購買力減少將充當BTC價格軌蹟的核心加速劑。
suggesting that "foreign capital repatriation" and the diminishing purchasing power of massive holdings in US Treasurys will act as core accelerants for BTC’s price trajectory.suggesting that "foreign capital repatriation" and the diminishing purchasing power of massive holdings in US Treasurys will act as core accelerants for BTC’s price trajectory.suggesting that "foreign capital repatriation" and the diminishing purchasing power of massive holdings in US Treasurys will act as core accelerants for BTC’s price trajectory.suggesting that "foreign capital repatriation" and the diminishing purchasing power of massive holdings in US Treasurys will act as core accelerants for BTC’s price trajectory.suggesting that "foreign capital repatriation" and the diminishing purchasing power of massive holdings in US Treasurys will act as core accelerants for BTC’s price trajectory.suggesting that "foreign capital repatriation" and the diminishing purchasing power of massive holdings in US Treasurys will act as core accelerants for BTC’s price trajectory.suggesting that "foreign capital repatriation" and the diminishing purchasing power of massive holdings in US Treasurys will act as core accelerants for BTC’s price trajectory.suggesting that "foreign capital repatriation" and the diminishing purchasing power of massive holdings in US Treasurys will act as core accelerants for BTC’s price trajectory.suggesting that "foreign capital repatriation" and the diminishing purchasing power of massive holdings in US Treas
暗示“外國資本遣返”以及在美國國債中大量持股的購買力減少將充當BTC價格軌蹟的核心促進劑。在美國司庫中大量持股的購買力將充當BTC價格軌蹟的核心促進劑。充當BTC價格軌蹟的核心加速度。挑戰“外國資本遣返”以及美國財政部大量持有的購買力減少將充當BTC價格軌蹟的核心加速度。軌跡。挑剔的“外國資本遣返”以及美國國債大量持股的購買力減少將充當BTC價格軌蹟的核心加速器。
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