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加密貨幣新聞文章

比特幣(BTC)的價格可能會在2025年6月的看漲持續時間設置

2025/06/11 16:00

根據市場分析師Daan Crypto交易的最新見解,比特幣可能會在2025年6月進行看漲。

比特幣(BTC)的價格可能會在2025年6月的看漲持續時間設置

Bitcoin (BTC) could be setting up for a bullish continuation in June, according to recent insights from market analyst Daan Crypto Trades.

根據市場分析師Daan Crypto交易的最新見解,比特幣(BTC)可能會在6月進行看漲。

In a recent analysis, Daan highlighted a recurring and statistically significant trend in Bitcoin’s monthly price behavior: major highs and lows are often established within the first 12 trading days of each month.

在最近的分析中,Daan強調了比特幣每月價格行為的反復出現且具有統計學意義的趨勢:通常在每個月的前12個交易日內建立主要高點和低點。

This historical pattern is appearing once again this June, with Bitcoin recording a monthly low on June 5 and a high on June 9. These early levels may now serve as pivotal reference points for the rest of the month’s price trajectory.

這種歷史模式將於今年6月再次出現,比特幣在6月5日的每月低點和6月9日的高點記錄。這些早期水平現在可能是本月剩餘價格軌蹟的關鍵參考點。

Bitcoin Monthly Chart (01/01/2024 – Present) (Source: TradingView)

比特幣月表圖表(01/01/2024 - 現在)(來源:TradingView)

Earlier this year, crypto analyst Daan Crypto discovered a "crazy stat" regarding Bitcoin's monthly price action.

今年早些時候,加密分析師Daan Crypto發現了一個關於比特幣每月價格行動的“瘋狂統計”。

According to his analysis, a majority of the time, Bitcoin’s monthly high and low are reached very early in the month. In fact, in 80% of cases, these extremes are attained within the first 12 trading days.

根據他的分析,大部分時間,比特幣在本月初就達到了每月的高低。實際上,在80%的情況下,這些極端是在前12個交易日內達到的。

Moreover, if we consider a broader time frame, taking into account the first two weeks of the month, this percentage increases even further. In 87% of instances, Bitcoin sets its monthly high or low within the first 14 days of the month.

此外,如果考慮到一個月的前兩週,我們考慮了更廣泛的時間範圍,那麼這個百分比就會進一步增加。在87%的實例中,比特幣在當月的前14天內設定了每月高或低點。

This statistic is particularly relevant for traders who prefer to identify optimal entry and exit points based on candlestick patterns. A significant portion of these patterns are usually completed within the first 12 trading days of the month.

該統計數據特別與希望根據燭台模式確定最佳進入和退出點的交易者特別相關。這些模式的很大一部分通常在當月的前12個交易日內完成。

First Major Move Of Month Is Usually A 'Fake-Out'

第一個主要月份通常是“假淘汰”

Another interesting observation made by the analyst is that the first major price movement of the month, defined as a move of 5% or more, tends to be a “fake-out.”

分析師做出的另一個有趣的觀察結果是,本月的第一個主要價格變動(定義為5%或以上)往往是“偽造”。

These early rallies or dips often mislead market participants, only to reverse later as the true direction of the month emerges.

這些早期的集會或下降通常會誤導市場參與者,只是在本月的真實方向倒轉。

If June follows this pattern, then the price action around June 5 and June 9 may not only be key reference points but also signal a potential bullish continuation for the rest of the month.

如果六月遵循這種模式,那麼6月5日和6月9日左右的價格行動不僅可能是關鍵參考點,而且還表示本月剩餘時間的潛在看漲延續。

Interestingly, this trend also held up in 2024, although June of that year displayed more choppy and indecisive price action. Bitcoin moved in a “ping-pong” fashion during the first few days, lacking a clear trend.

有趣的是,這種趨勢也在2024年推出,儘管那年的6月表現出了更加穩定和優柔寡斷的價格行動。比特幣在頭幾天以“乒乓球”方式移動,缺乏明顯的趨勢。

Yet even in that scenario, the monthly high and low were still established early in the month, once again validating the historical pattern.

然而,即使在這種情況下,每月的高低仍在本月初建立,再次驗證了歷史模式。

As June 2025 progresses, traders and investors will be watching closely to see if Bitcoin continues to follow this well-documented cycle. If the trend holds, it may provide a valuable edge for market participants seeking to time their strategies more effectively.

隨著2025年6月的進展,交易者和投資者將密切關注,看看比特幣是否繼續遵循這個有據可查的周期。如果趨勢的成立,它可能會為尋求更有效地計算其策略的市場參與者提供寶貴的優勢。

With both technical analysis and historical precedent pointing toward bullish potential, June could shape up to be a critical month in Bitcoin’s ongoing 2025 narrative.

通過技術分析和歷史先例指向看漲潛力,六月可能會成為比特幣正在進行的2025年敘事中的關鍵月份。

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