唐納德·川普的加密貨幣政策激發了看漲的市場情緒，比特幣 (BTC) 價格反彈至 10.2 萬美元

假期後重返市場以及唐納德·川普就任美國總統的預期正在為比特幣和更廣泛的加密市場建立看漲情緒。

A return to markets after the holidays and anticipation of Donald Trump’s inauguration as U.S. president is building bullish sentiment for bitcoin and the broader crypto market.

假期後重返市場以及唐納德·川普就任美國總統的預期正在為比特幣和更廣泛的加密市場建立看漲情緒。

The asset is up 10% in the past week, retaking the $102,000 level late Monday and reversing nearly all losses from early December. It fell from a peak of nearly $109,000 on Dec.17 to a local low of just below $92,000 on Dec.30, which momentarily sparked fears of a deeper downturn.

該資產在過去一周上漲了 10%，週一晚間重回 102,000 美元水平，扭轉了 12 月初以來的幾乎所有跌幅。它從 12 月 17 日接近 109,000 美元的峰值跌至 12 月 30 日略低於 92,000 美元的局部低點，這暫時引發了人們對經濟進一步下滑的擔憂。

The surge comes as U.S.-listed spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) raked in $987 million on Monday, their highest since Nov.21, data from SoSoValue shows.

SoSoValue 的數據顯示，美國上市的現貨比特幣交易所交易基金 (ETF) 市值週一飆升至 9.87 億美元，為 11 月 21 日以來的最高水平。

Fidelity’s FBTC ETF saw the most inflows with $370 million pouring in, followed by BlackRock’s IBIT ETF with $209 million and Ark Invest’s ARKB ETF with $71 million. Nine of the twelve ETFs recorded inflows, with none showing outflows in a standout day for the cohort.

富達 (Fidelity) 的 FBTC ETF 流入最多，達 3.7 億美元，其次是貝萊德 (BlackRock) 的 IBIT ETF，流入 2.09 億美元，Ark Invest 的 ARKB ETF 流入 7,100 萬美元。 12 檔 ETF 中有 9 檔錄得資金流入，沒有一隻出現資金流出。

Trump’s expected crypto policies and broader economic plans have brought back positive sentiment among traders — bumping up BTC prices in a usual precursor to an altcoin rally.

川普預期的加密貨幣政策和更廣泛的經濟計畫讓交易員恢復了積極情緒——推高了比特幣價格，這是山寨幣反彈的常見前兆。

“We believe that the demand for bitcoin is manifesting itself after a downbeat Fed outlook in late December put the brakes on a Santa Claus rally,” Jeff Mei, COO at crypto exchange BTSE, told CoinDesk in a Telegram message Tuesday.

加密貨幣交易所 BTSE 首席營運官 Jeff Mei 週二在 Telegram 消息中告訴 CoinDesk：“我們認為，在 12 月底美聯儲的悲觀前景抑制了聖誕老人的漲勢之後，對比特幣的需求正在顯現出來。”

“Now that traders have wrapped up their vacations and are back to work, they’ve resumed purchases of Bitcoin, crypto, and stocks in a bullish trend as we approach Donald Trump's inauguration,” Mei added.

梅補充說：“現在交易員已經結束了假期並重新開始工作，隨著唐納德·特朗普就職典禮的臨近，他們以看漲趨勢恢復了比特幣、加密貨幣和股票的購買。”

Some traders are targeting the $109,000 level in the short term before a bullish trend is confirmed, setting the stage for even higher prices.

在看漲趨勢得到確認之前，一些交易員的短期目標是 109,000 美元，為更高的價格奠定基礎。

“So far, the technical picture looks like a classic correction completion with a resumption of the growth from the Fibonacci retracement level of 61.8% of the rally since the beginning of November,” FxPro chief market analyst Alex Kuptsikevich wrote in an email. “This scenario will be confirmed if the historical highs of around $109,000 are confidently breached. At the same time, we expect Bitcoin’s growth to accelerate after the $100,000 mark.”

FxPro首席市場分析師Alex Kuptsikevich在一封電子郵件中寫道：「到目前為止，技術面看起來像是典型的修正完成，從11月初以來反彈的61.8%的斐波那契回撤位恢復了增長。 「如果有信心突破 109,000 美元左右的歷史高點，這種情況就會得到證實。同時，我們預計比特幣在突破 10 萬美元大關後將加速成長。

Fibonacci levels are a technical analysis tool to identify potential support and resistance points where price movements might pause or reverse. Some traders believe that tracking Fibonacci levels can offer predictive value in identifying key price levels — which may become a self-fulfilling prophecy that causes price reactions in the market.

斐波那契水平是一種技術分析工具，用於識別價格走勢可能暫停或逆轉的潛在支撐點和阻力點。一些交易者認為，追蹤斐波那契水平可以在確定關鍵價格水平方面提供預測價值，這可能成為導致市場價格反應的自我實現的預言。

As such, market volatility is expected to stay low until the U.S. Nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report on Friday, which some believe will kick-start the new trading year with “decision-makers fully back at work,” per Augustine Fan, head of insights at SOFA.

因此，市場波動預計將保持在較低水平，直到週五美國非農就業報告（NFP）公佈，一些人認為該報告將隨著「決策者全面重返工作崗位」開啟新的交易年。見解。

Strong NFP data could strengthen the U.S. dollar, potentially leading to higher interest rates, which can negatively affect risk assets like stocks and bitcoin.

強勁的非農就業數據可能會讓美元走強，可能導致利率上升，對股票和比特幣等風險資產產生負面影響。

“However, the highest volatility event for the month is priced to be FOMC at the end of the month as the economic stats are priced to show ‘soft landing’ signs soon,” Fan added.

「然而，本月波動性最高的事件預計將是月底的聯邦公開市場委員會 (FOMC)，因為經濟統計數據預計將很快顯示『軟著陸』跡象，」範補充道。

BTC trades just above $101,600 in Asian morning hours Tuesday, up 2% in the past 24 hours. The broad-based CoinDesk 20 (CD20), a liquid index tracking the largest tokens by market cap is up 0.53%.

週二亞洲早盤，BTC 交易價格略高於 101,600 美元，過去 24 小時內上漲 2%。追蹤市值最大代幣的流動性指數 CoinDesk 20 (CD20) 上漲了 0.53%。