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隨著比特幣的價格飛越以前的歷史高峰(ATH),一位技術分析師通過他的大膽的新預測激發了整個加密貨幣社區的一波興奮。
One technical analyst has lit up the crypto community with a new Bitcoin price prediction that sees the cryptocurrency blasting off to an astonishing $325,000 price peak. And the most surprising aspect of this analysis isn't just the price target but rather the accelerated timeline for this meteoric rise.
一位技術分析師通過新的比特幣價格預測點燃了加密貨幣社區,發現加密貨幣爆炸至令人驚訝的325,000美元的價格峰值。而且,該分析最令人驚訝的方面不僅是目標目標,而是這一迅速崛起的加速時間表。
Prominent crypto analyst Gert van Lagen, known on X (formerly Twitter) for his technical analysis, presented a chart showcasing the expected movements of BTC from 2009 to 2025. The chart applies Elliott Wave Theory on a High Time Frame (HTF), charting a massive five-wave impulsive structure, with each wave denoting a major bullish cycle driven by halving events.
X(以前是Twitter)在技術分析上聞名的著名加密分析師Gert Van Lagen展示了一張圖表,展示了BTC從2009年到2025年的預期運動。該圖表應用了Elliott Wave理論,在高時段(HTF)上應用了Elliott Wave理論(HTF),每次五波衝動的結構都在圖表中,每次繪製了一個大型波浪,並由大型的Bullish Cheel Vill Vill Vision villes vilenvienderviended。
According to Lagen, Bitcoin is currently in Wave 5, the last wave of this mega-cycle, rendering it the final parabolic blow-off before a deep correction sets in.
根據拉根(Lagen)的說法,比特幣目前處於第5浪中,這是該巨型循環的最後一波,在深度校正集合之前,它將其成為最終的拋物線吹風。
Each of Bitcoin’s past bull markets has culminated with a nearly vertical explosive surge, where price accelerates rapidly before crashing into a corrective phase. This surge is typically defined by a price angle of at least 82 degrees from the bottom.
比特幣過去的每個牛市都以近乎垂直的爆炸性激增達到頂峰,在崩潰到糾正階段之前,價格迅速加速。這種激增通常由底部至少82度的價格角度定義。
The crypto analyst has drawn a trendline connecting the peaks of Wave 1 and 2, forming a rising wedge pattern. The lower boundary of this wedge is provided by the 210,000 block SMA, serving as a long-term support.
加密分析師繪製了連接波1和2峰的趨勢線,形成了楔形楔形模式。該楔形的下邊界由210,000塊SMA提供,作為長期支持。
Additionally, the upper trendline of this wedge coincides with the forecasted market top of Wave 5, which sits at around $325,000. Ultimately, this bullish prediction hinges on Bitcoin maintaining strong momentum and completing Wave 5 as a single clean impulse move, much like past cycles.
此外,這種楔形的上層趨勢線與第5波5的預測市場頂部相吻合,該市場位於325,000美元左右。最終,這種看漲的預測取決於比特幣保持強大的動力,並完成波第5次,就像過去的循環一樣。
However, Lagen’s bold $325,000 price forecast for Bitcoin arrives with an exceptionally short-term timeframe. The market expert predicts that BTC could reach this ambitious target as early as July 5, 2025.
但是,拉根(Lagen)大膽的$ 325,000比特幣的價格預測到達了短期的時間範圍。市場專家預測,BTC早在2025年7月5日就可以達到這個雄心勃勃的目標。
This timeline is derived from observing the behavior of previous post-halving cycles. The analyst’s projected trajectory of Bitcoin’s surge to a market top also closely follows the past patterns that unfolded following each Bitcoin halving event.
該時間表源於觀察以前的備註後循環的行為。分析師預計比特幣激增到市場頂部的軌跡也緊密遵循了每個比特幣減半事件後發生的過去模式。
These halving events have triggered periods of strong bull markets during past cycles. The current rally follows Bitcoin’s fourth and most recent halving event, which occurred on April 20, 2024, highlighting the cyclical nature of Bitcoin’s price movements.
在過去的周期中,這些減半的事件引發了強大的牛市。目前的集會遵循比特幣的第四次和最近的減半活動,該事件發生在2024年4月20日,突出了比特幣價格變動的周期性性質。
This Is A Historical Correction
這是一個歷史修正
Beyond the dramatic $325,000 Bitcoin price prediction, Lagen’s analysis also carries a bleak bearish outlook. He warns that after Bitcoin reaches this projected market top, what comes next may be a high time frame price crash, potentially lasting several years.
除了巨大的325,000美元比特幣價格預測之外,Lagen的分析還帶有看跌的景色。他警告說,在比特幣達到了預計的市場頂部之後,接下來會發生的是高空價格崩潰,可能會持續數年。
Once the five-wave structure is completed, Lagen anticipates Bitcoin to enter its first true fiat currency Wave 2 correction at the highest degree. Historically, Wave 2 retracements are deep, and given the current backdrop of global tightening and recession risks, the post-peak environment could pose challenges even for seasoned holders.
一旦完成了五波結構,Lagen預計比特幣將在最高程度上輸入其第一個真正的菲亞特貨幣波2校正。從歷史上看,第2波回回頭是深層的,並且鑑於當前的全球收緊和衰退風險的背景,即使對於經驗豐富的持有人來說,峰值的環境也可能構成挑戰。
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