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在一場讓人想起高風險撲克遊戲的競技舞蹈中,著名的數位貨幣比特幣正在風騷地接近之前的歷史新高。
Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, is inching closer to its previous record highs in a spirited dance that mirrors a high-stakes poker game. Throughout this journey, steadfast ‘diamond hands’ — a playful term used within the crypto community to denote long-term holders (LTHs) — are showing remarkable resilience in holding onto their digital assets, resisting the temptation to cash out quickly.
作為全球最大的加密貨幣,比特幣正以類似高風險撲克遊戲的激烈舞蹈,一步步逼近之前的歷史新高。在整個過程中,堅定的「鑽石手」——加密貨幣社群中用來表示長期持有者(LTH)的一個有趣術語——在持有數位資產方面表現出了非凡的彈性,抵制了快速兌現的誘惑。
This observation, noted by on-chain analytics firm Glassnode, highlights a surprising trend: despite Bitcoin's valuation hovering around $70,000, the selling rate by these LTHs, defined as those holding their Bitcoin wallets for over 155 days, has been notably low.
鏈上分析公司Glassnode 指出的這一觀察結果突顯了一個令人驚訝的趨勢:儘管比特幣的估值徘徊在70,000 美元左右,但這些LTH(即持有比特幣錢包超過155 天的人)的拋售率卻明顯較低。
The fortitude of ‘diamond hands’ — their resolve to hold onto their digital wealth even in the face of soaring Bitcoin valuation — is not a new phenomenon, though it remains a foundation for maintaining market stability. These long-term holders, the custodians of Bitcoin wallets for over 155 days by Glassnode's definition, embody investment maturity and a strategic stance that significantly contribute to the market’s resilience.
「鑽石手」的堅韌——即使面對比特幣估值飆升,他們也決心保住自己的數位財富——並不是什麼新現象,儘管它仍然是維持市場穩定的基礎。根據 Glassnode 的定義,這些長期持有者是比特幣錢包超過 155 天的託管人,體現了投資成熟度和戰略立場,對市場的彈性做出了重大貢獻。
Interestingly, these seasoned investors did not rush to liquidate even when Bitcoin's valuation danced around $67,722. Though the price had receded 3.5% over the last week, it was still humming lightly, gaining 0.6% in the last 24 hours. This is not mere coincidence but a testament to their unwavering belief in Bitcoin's long-term growth potential.
有趣的是,即使比特幣的估值徘徊在 67,722 美元左右,這些經驗豐富的投資者也沒有急於清算。儘管價格在上週下跌了 3.5%,但仍在小幅波動,在過去 24 小時內上漲了 0.6%。這不僅僅是巧合,而且證明了他們對比特幣長期成長潛力的堅定信念。
Glassnode's report also brings to light another key point — that the long-term holders have not yet reached the marker of selling that usually heralds a market downturn. Their restraint is further highlighted by the market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio, which serves as a barometer of the profitability of long-held Bitcoins. Despite the lucrative unrealized profits that the LTHs could be swimming in, history tells us that the race to sell doesn’t ignite until this ratio reaches specific highs, an event that hasn’t occurred in spite of recent peaks.
Glassnode 的報告還揭示了另一個關鍵點——長期持有者尚未達到通常預示著市場低迷的拋售標誌。市值與實現價值(MVRV)比率進一步凸顯了它們的限制,該比率是長期持有比特幣盈利能力的晴雨表。儘管 LTH 可能會獲得豐厚的未實現利潤,但歷史告訴我們,只有在該比率達到特定高點之前,拋售競賽才會爆發,儘管最近達到了峰值,但這一事件並未發生。
In the heady climate of the Bitcoin ascent to $73,800 in March, which marked the latest all-time high, the long-term holders did not appear to be the leading sellers. Glassnode highlighted that only a modest 519k BTC was equipped with “For Sale” signs during this period. This figure is modest compared to previous bull runs, where monthly sales notoriously flirted with nearly one million BTC. Interestingly, “20% of the sold 519k BTC originated from Grayscale ETF holders,” as reported by Glassnode. This sales restraint suggests a tactical approach to holding and a firm conviction in future price appreciation.
3 月份,比特幣價格升至 73,800 美元,創下最新歷史新高,在令人興奮的氛圍中,長期持有者似乎不是主要賣家。 Glassnode 強調,在此期間,只有 519k BTC 配備了「待售」標誌。與之前的多頭市場相比,這個數字並不高,眾所周知,之前的牛市月銷售額接近 100 萬比特幣。有趣的是,根據 Glassnode 報道,「已售出的 519k BTC 中有 20% 來自灰階 ETF 持有者」。這種銷售限製表明了一種持有策略和對未來價格升值的堅定信念。
Looming in the horizon is a future robust with optimism. Glassnode predicts that LTHs will persist as dynamic protagonists in the market. Their recent, strategic re-accumulation post the significant distribution around the dizzying $73k all-time high price suggests readiness for another exhilarating rally, possibly to peaks that tower above current limits.
隱現於地平線上的是充滿樂觀活力的未來。 Glassnode 預測 LTH 將繼續成為市場上充滿活力的主角。他們最近的戰略性重新積累在令人眼花繚亂的 73,000 美元歷史高點附近進行了顯著分佈,這表明他們已經準備好迎接另一次令人興奮的反彈,可能會達到高於當前限制的峰值。
Supporting this narrative, Cryptorphic, a renowned crypto analyst, has forecasted a gleaming future, with Bitcoin potentially reaching as high as $156,000 by May 2025. His predictions echo the pervasive sentiment around Bitcoin — one of undeterred bullishness.
支持這一說法的是,著名加密貨幣分析師Cryptorphic 預測,比特幣的未來將一片光明,到2025 年5 月,比特幣的價格可能會達到156,000 美元。 ——一種毫不畏懼的看漲情緒。
Now, the crypto community watches with bated breath, anticipating the outcome of this high-stakes digital dance. The firm belief in Bitcoin's growth, the undeterred optimism, and the strategic moves of the ‘diamond hands’ all hint at a thrilling rally ahead — an electrifying testament to the allure of the crypto world. Only time will tell which trajectory this digital comet will follow.
現在,加密社群屏息以待,期待著這場高風險的數位舞蹈的結果。對比特幣成長的堅定信念、堅定不移的樂觀情緒以及「鑽石手」的戰略舉措都暗示著未來將出現激動人心的反彈——這令人振奮地證明了加密世界的吸引力。只有時間才能告訴我們這顆數位彗星將遵循什麼軌跡。
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