比特幣（BTC）的價格為$ 500K？這就是為什麼動力很強的原因

比特幣又有一刻了。在超過了以前的歷史最高水平之後，BTC的價格飆升了109,000美元

Bitcoin is having a moment - again. After breaking past its previous all-time high, the price of BTC surged over $109,000, fueling fresh speculation that the cryptocurrency could be headed toward the long-rumored $500,000 mark.

比特幣正在有片刻 - 再次。在超過了以前的歷史最高水平之後，BTC的價格飆升了109,000美元，這加劇了新的猜測，即加密貨幣可能會朝著長期以來的500,000美元大關邁進。

While that number might sound like wishful thinking to some, a growing number of voices in the space believe it’s not only possible but probable.

儘管這個數字對某些人來說聽起來像是一廂情願的想法，但空間中越來越多的聲音認為這不僅可能，而且可能是可能的。

One of the most vocal advocates of this bold prediction is Adam Back, a long-time Bitcoin supporter known for his bullish takes. According to him, the current cycle could take Bitcoin anywhere from $500K to even $1 million. He’s rolling his eyes at the popular theory of “diminishing returns” in Bitcoin’s market cycles, claiming that the bears have it completely wrong this time around.

這個大膽預測的最具聲音的擁護者之一是亞當回來，這是一個長期以來的比特幣支持者。據他介紹，當前週期可能需要比特幣從50萬美元到100萬美元。他對比特幣市場週期中流行的“減少回報”理論睜開了眼睛，聲稱這次熊完全錯了。

Other voices are a bit more cautious but still optimistic. Analysts from Bitfinex are projecting a price range of $150K to $180K, which may seem conservative in comparison but still signals strong upward momentum.

其他聲音更加謹慎，但仍然樂觀。 Bitfinex的分析師預計，價格範圍為15萬美元至18萬美元，相比之下，這似乎是保守的，但仍表示強勁的勢頭。

However, Vibes Capital Management isn’t mincing words. They’ve stated that they’re confident Bitcoin is on track for $500K, attributing this belief not just to vibes but to real market factors like an estimated $100 billion in potential buy volume from corporate treasuries. They also believe the U.S. government could be a surprising source of upward pressure if it follows through on accumulating BTC through executive channels.

但是，Vibes Capital Management並沒有切碎單詞。他們說，他們有信心比特幣的預期為50萬美元，這不僅歸因於共鳴，還歸因於實際市場因素，例如估計從公司國庫中獲得的潛在買入量估計1000億美元。他們還認為，如果美國政府通過執行渠道積累BTC，則可能是令人驚訝的向上壓力來源。

This brings us to a key development: the U.S. is working on a plan to invest in Bitcoin.

這使我們成為了一個關鍵的發展：美國正在製定一項計劃投資比特幣。

A formal 60-day timeline has been set to deliver recommendations to the president on how to best allocate government funds to crypto, specifically focusing on accumulating Bitcoin without adding to the national deficit.

已準備正式的60天時間表，向總統提出建議，說明如何最好地將政府資金分配給加密貨幣，特別是專注於積累比特幣而不增加國家赤字。

This initiative is completely separate from the stalled Bitcoin bill that has been meandering through Congress. Any move from the executive branch would carry significant weight and could serve as a pivotal moment in the crypto space.

這項倡議與已經在國會蜿蜒而停滯的比特幣法案完全分開。從行政部門的任何移動都將帶來重大的重量，並且可以作為加密貨幣空間中的關鍵時刻。

Even a relatively modest buy from the government would likely generate significant FOMO among institutions. On that note, a company in China is planning to buy 5,000 BTC, while another company called “21” is aiming for an impressive 42,000 BTC, some of which they’ve reportedly already acquired.

即使是從政府那裡獲得的相對謙虛的購買也可能會在機構之間產生大量的FOMO。關於這一點，中國的一家公司正計劃購買5,000 BTC，而另一家名為“ 21”的公司旨在建立令人印象深刻的42,000 BTC，據報導他們已經收購了其中一些。

These aren’t small players testing the waters; they’re making major commitments. New investment vehicles like the Nakamoto fund from BTC Inc. and strategies from Strive Management are also emerging, signaling that the appetite for Bitcoin exposure is growing rapidly.

這些不是在測試水域的小玩家。他們正在做出重大承諾。 BTC Inc.的Nakamoto基金等新投資工具也正在逐漸出現，這表明對比特幣暴露的胃口正在迅速增長。

There’s also a key shift happening in how Bitcoin is being held. Spot ETFs, such as BlackRock’s IBIT, are now consistently pulling in massive inflows. IBIT recently marked its 19th consecutive day of positive inflows, accumulating $365 million and exceeding $1 billion in net new investment since mid-April.

比特幣的持有方式也有一個關鍵的轉變。現場ETF，例如貝萊德的IBIT，現在一直在吸引大量流入。 IBIT最近標誌著其連續第19天的積極流入，累積了3.65億美元，自4月中旬以來的新投資超過了10億美元的淨投資。

While some express concern that ETFs and public companies might centralize too much Bitcoin, current data shows they collectively hold about 5% of the total supply, which is still relatively modest. And since these institutions are owned by millions of shareholders, it’s far from a single point of control.

儘管有些人表示擔心ETF和上市公司可能會集中過多的比特幣，但當前的數據表明，它們共同佔總供應量的約5％，這仍然相對謙虛。而且，由於這些機構歸百萬股東擁有，因此它遠非單一的控制點。

Another interesting stat? In 2021, Bitcoin closed above $60,000 on 40 different days. In the current cycle, it’s already closed above $100,000 on at least 37 days, and counting.

另一個有趣的統計數據？在2021年，比特幣在40天的不同天上收於60,000美元以上。在當前週期中，它至少在37天內已經收盤超過100,000美元，並且正在計數。

This suggests that the strength of this bull run may already be outpacing the last one, not just in price but also in staying power.

這表明，這種牛的實力可能已經超過了最後一個，不僅是價格，而且還超過了持久力。

With major conferences like BTC Prague and BTC in DC on the horizon, and more companies than ever joining the Bitcoin conversation, the momentum feels different this time. It’s not just hype; it’s supported by growing institutional interest, international buying, and the potential for government involvement.

隨著BTC Prague和BTC等主要會議在DC即將到來，並且比比特幣對話的公司比以往任何時候都多，這次的勢頭感覺與眾不同。這不僅僅是炒作；它得到了日益增長的機構利益，國際購買以及政府參與的潛力的支持。

So, is $500K really on the table? If you ask the people who are closest to the market, they’ll tell you it’s not a matter of “if,” but “when.”

那麼，$ 500K真的在桌上嗎？如果您問最接近市場的人，他們會告訴您這不是“ IF”的問題，而是“何時”。