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比特幣價格在周四的新歷史高峰期達到了高達112,000美元。現在,最大的加密貨幣已欣賞超過50%
The Bitcoin price hit a new all-time high of $112,000 on Thursday, as the largest cryptocurrency continued its rapid recovery from April’s lows.
比特幣價格在周四的歷史最高額為112,000美元中達到了新的高度,因為最大的加密貨幣從四月的低點開始迅速恢復。
BTC has appreciated by more than 50% since bottoming out at $70,000 on April 7th, and there is still a strong consensus among experts that it has substantial upside in the short term.
自從4月7日觸底以70,000美元的價格下降以來,BTC已欣賞超過50%的欣賞,並且在專家之間達成了強烈的共識,在短期內它具有很大的上漲空間。
While most BTC price predictions from experts are converging on the $150k level by the second quarter, option traders appear to be significantly more bullish.
儘管到第二季度,專家的大多數BTC價格預測都在15萬美元的水平上匯合,但期權交易員似乎更加看漲。
According to CoinGlass data, Deribit’s far out-of-the-money Bitcoin call option with a $300,000 strike price expiring on June 27th currently holds the highest open interest across all BTC options contracts.
根據Coinglass Data的數據,Deribit的遙不可及的比特幣通話選項,6月27日到期300,000美元的罷工價格目前持有所有BTC期權合約中最高的開放息。
Despite the long shot, the Bitcoin price rising to $300k or more by June 27th is currently the most heavily backed bet in the options market.
儘管有遠射,但到6月27日,比特幣價格上漲至30萬美元或更多,目前是期權市場中最受支持的賭注。
Why Are Options Traders Betting on $300k BTC Price?
為什麼期權交易者下注30萬美元的BTC價格?
Deribit’s BTC-27JUN25-300000-C is currently the largest single position in the BTC options market, with 5,593.6 BTC in open interest.
Deribit的BTC-27JUN25-300000-C目前是BTC期權市場中最大的單個位置,其開放興趣為5,593.6 BTC。
Deribit’s BTC-27JUN25-120000-C — call option with a strike price of $120k and expiration date of June 27th — comes in at a distant second, with 5,048 BTC in open interest.
Deribit的BTC-27JUN25-120000-C - 呼叫選項為12萬美元,到期日的到期日期為6月27日 - 以遙遠的第二名,持續利息為5,048 BTC。
For the uninitiated, call options are contracts that give traders the right — but not the obligation — to buy Bitcoin at a fixed price (called the strike price) by a specific future date. Traders typically use them to bet that BTC’s price will rise; if the market price exceeds the strike price, the option can be exercised for a profit.
對於初學者,呼叫選項是允許交易者以固定價格(稱為罷工價格)在特定的未來日期以固定價格(稱為罷工價格)購買比特幣的合同。交易者通常會使用它們押注BTC的價格會上漲。如果市場價格超過罷工價格,則可以行使該期權以獲利。
The Bitcoin price exceeding $300k by June 27th is nearly impossible, even with the soaring global liquidity and easing financial conditions.
到6月27日到6月27日,比特幣價格超過30萬美元,即使全球流動性飆升和緩解財務狀況也是不可能的。
It is likely that traders are using the $300K Bitcoin call options as cheap lottery tickets. Given the low probability of BTC reaching $300K, the premium on these contracts is currently very low. However, if Bitcoin were to surge rapidly to around $125K–$130K by the end of May, the value of these options could spike, allowing holders to sell them for a significant profit, even if the strike remains far out of the money.
交易員可能將$ 300K的比特幣通話選項用作廉價的彩票。鑑於BTC達到30萬美元的可能性很低,因此這些合同的溢價目前非常低。但是,如果比特幣在5月底迅速飆升至125,000美元左右 - $ 130K,這些期權的價值可能會飆升,即使罷工仍然遠遠超出了貨幣,持有人也可以出售它們。
Nevertheless, even this scenario paints an extremely bullish picture for the largest cryptocurrency in the coming weeks.
然而,即使這種情況,即使在接下來的幾週內最大的加密貨幣也為極其看漲的畫面。
Realistic Bitcoin Price Prediction: What to Expect by the End of Q2
現實的比特幣價格預測:到第二季度結束時的期望
Ignoring the June 27th expiration date, Bitcoin call options with a $120k strike price currently have the highest open interest.
忽略6月27日到期日期,以12萬美元的打擊價格的比特幣通話選項目前具有最高的開放興趣。
This indicates that smart money investors are, in fact, betting heavily that the Bitcoin price will far exceed $120k in the coming weeks.
這表明,智能貨幣投資者實際上是在大量下注,在接下來的幾週內,比特幣價格將遠遠超過12萬美元。
However, global liquidity remains the best indicator of BTC’s price trajectory. For instance, GMI co-founder Raoul Pal’s Global M2 money supply accurately predicted the April 7th bottom for Bitcoin.
但是,全球流動性仍然是BTC價格軌蹟的最佳指標。例如,GMI聯合創始人Raoul Pal的全球M2貨幣供應準確地預測了4月7日的比特幣底部。
Now, it is forecasting that the Bitcoin price will reach near the $160k mark in the coming modules, potentially in Q2 itself.
現在,預測比特幣價格將在即將到來的模塊中達到16萬美元的成績,這可能是在第二季度本身。
Maybe, just maybe it was this easy… I'll chat more about it on tonights' Drinks with Raoul at 6pm ET pic.twitter.com/c6HuQucFWt
也許,也許這很容易……我會在今晚下午6點與raoul聊天。
— Raul Pal (@raulpal) May 11, 2024
- 勞爾·帕爾(@raulpal)2024年5月11日
Considering its bullish prospects, it is imperative that sidelined investors gain exposure to Bitcoin.
考慮到其看漲的前景,必須缺席投資者對比特幣的接觸。
However, smart money investors are also betting on BTC-themed altcoins, considering they act as excellent beta bets on Bitcoin.
但是,智能貨幣投資者還押注以BTC為主題的Altcoins,因為他們是對比特幣的絕佳beta賭注。
For instance, Stacks (STX) and Dog (Bitcoin) are both showing strong correlation with BTC, making them excellent investments for the Q2 bull run. Pepe (PEPE) is another meme coin that smart money investors are viewing as leveraged BTC.
例如,堆棧(STX)和Dog(比特幣)都與BTC顯示出很強的相關性,使它們在Q2 Bull Run上的投資非常出色。 Pepe(Pepe)是另一種模因硬幣,智能貨幣投資者正在將其視為槓桿BTC。
Among the low caps, a new meme coin, BTC Bull (BTCBULL), has quickly become a fan favourite, owing to its method of earning free Bitcoin.
在低帽子中,由於其獲得免費比特幣的方法,新的模因硬幣BTC Bull(BTCBull)很快成為粉絲的最愛。
BTCBULL holders are eligible for free BTC airdrops when the Bitcoin price hits $150k and every subsequent $50k increase since. The airdrop size will depend on the amount and duration of BTCBULL holding.
當比特幣價格上漲15萬美元,此後隨後的每一美元增加50,000美元時,BTCBULL持有人有資格獲得免費的BTC Airdrops。氣流尺寸將取決於btcbull保持的數量和持續時間。
Additionally, holders will benefit from token burn events at $125k and every subsequent $25k increase. 5% of the token supply will be burnt at each event, which could result in a significant spike in the token price.
此外,持有人將以$ 125K的價格從代幣燒傷事件中受益,隨後每增加25,000美元。每個事件將燃燒5%的令牌供應,這可能會導致令牌價格大幅上升。
Moreover, there is a “massive” BTCBULL airdrop when the Bitcoin price hits $250k, which could happen by
此外,當比特幣價格上漲25萬美元時,有一個“巨大的” btcbull空投,這可能會發生
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