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比特幣的價格於 2024 年 12 月 17 日達到 108,000 美元的歷史最高點,此後已調整了超過 10%。然而,關鍵指標顯示拋售壓力有所減輕,這激發了反彈回到 10 萬美元上方的希望。
Bitcoin’s price, which peaked at an all-time high of $108,000 on December 17, has since corrected by over 10%. However, key metrics suggest reduced selling pressure, fueling hopes for a rally back above $100,000.
比特幣的價格在 12 月 17 日達到歷史最高點 108,000 美元,此後已經調整了超過 10%。然而,關鍵指標顯示拋售壓力有所減輕,這激發了反彈回到 10 萬美元上方的希望。
Bitcoin exchange inflows — the total BTC transferred to exchanges — have declined significantly since November 2024. Inflows peaked at 98,748 BTC on November 25, during heightened activity following the U.S. presidential election.
自 2024 年 11 月以來,比特幣交易所的流入量(轉移到交易所的 BTC 總量)大幅下降。
Afterwards, exchange inflows dropped substantially, ranging from 11,000 to 79,000 BTC daily throughout December.
此後,交易所流入量大幅下降,整個 12 月每天的流入量從 11,000 到 79,000 BTC 不等。
This metric suggests that fewer traders are sending BTC to exchanges, which could indicate a reduced intent to sell.
該指標表明,向交易所發送比特幣的交易者較少,這可能表明出售意願下降。
Bitcoin miner outflows — BTC sent by miners to exchanges — have also dropped since November, when miners took profits during the Trump-related rally.
自去年 11 月以來,礦商在與川普相關的漲勢中獲利了結,比特幣礦商流出量(礦商向交易所發送的 BTC)也有所下降。
Bitcoin miner outflows peaked at 25,367 BTC on November 11, when BTC hit $88,000.
11 月 11 日,比特幣礦工流出量達到高峰 25,367 BTC,當時 BTC 觸及 88,000 美元。
Afterwards, miner outflows dropped significantly, with recent outflows of 5,489 BTC (January 1), 5,748 BTC (January 2), and 2,133 BTC (January 3), signaling a lower selling pressure from miners.
此後,礦商流出量大幅下降,近期流出量為 5,489 BTC(1 月 1 日)、5,748 BTC(1 月 2 日)和 2,133 BTC(1 月 3 日),顯示礦商拋壓減輕。
Several analysts have highlighted the need for higher trading volume to break resistance and propel BTC upwards.
幾位分析師強調,需要增加交易量才能突破阻力並推動比特幣上漲。
"The market structure remains bullish, but we lack sufficient trading volume for a strong impulse," noted market analyst Axel Adler on January 4.
1 月 4 日,市場分析師 Axel Adler 表示:“市場結構仍然看漲,但我們缺乏足夠的交易量來產生強勁的推動力。”
Others, like market commentator Tedtalksmacro, also pointed to the importance of volume, stating: "If we get the volume, we can go parabolic quickly."
其他人,如市場評論員 Tedtalksmacro,也指出了成交量的重要性,並表示:“如果我們獲得成交量,我們就可以快速達到拋物線。”
Exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows rebounded sharply with $900 million on January 3, 2025, reversing several days of significant outflows.
2025 年 1 月 3 日,交易所交易基金 (ETF) 流入大幅反彈,達 9 億美元,扭轉了數日的大幅流出。
This follows a period where ETFs saw outflows of up to $1.2 billion, the highest since December 2021.
在此之前,ETF 資金流出高達 12 億美元,為 2021 年 12 月以來的最高水準。
The latest data suggests a shift in institutional sentiment, with renewed interest in crypto assets. This could serve as a potential catalyst for price recovery, given the role institutions play in the crypto market.
最新數據顯示機構情緒轉變,人們對加密資產重新產生了興趣。考慮到機構在加密貨幣市場中所扮演的角色,這可能成為價格復甦的潛在催化劑。
Bitfinex analysts predict BTC will trade within the $95,000–$110,000 range for January, with the possibility of breaching the $100,000 psychological resistance if volume increases.
Bitfinex 分析師預測 1 月 BTC 交易價格將在 95,000 美元至 110,000 美元之間,如果交易量增加,有可能突破 100,000 美元的心理阻力位。
"Bitcoin is likely to trade within the $95,000–$110,000 range in January. A breakout above $100,000 is possible if trading volume picks up and pushes BTC above this key level," the analysts noted in their January market overview.
分析師在1 月份市場概覽中指出:「1 月份,比特幣的交易價格可能會在95,000 美元至110,000 美元之間。如果交易量回升,並將BTC 推至這一關鍵水平之上,則有可能突破100,000 美元。
"A failure to attract sufficient buying pressure could lead to a deeper retracement, testing support at $80,000 or lower."
“未能吸引足夠的購買壓力可能會導致更深的回調,測試 80,000 美元或更低的支撐位。”
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