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加密貨幣新聞文章

由於「Uptober」敘事保持不變,比特幣(BTC)場外交易台流入量驟降至年度低點

2024/10/31 21:00

隨著比特幣(BTC)繼續創下歷史新高(ATH),每日場外交易(OTC)資金流入已驟降至年度低點。

由於「Uptober」敘事保持不變,比特幣(BTC)場外交易台流入量驟降至年度低點

Bitcoin (BTC) price continues to inch closer to a new all-time high (ATH) as daily over-the-counter (OTC) desk inflows have dropped to yearly lows.

隨著每日場外交易(OTC)資金流入已降至年度低點,比特幣(BTC)價格繼續逼近歷史新高(ATH)。

Bitcoin price eyes new ATH, ‘Uptober’ narrative remains intact

比特幣價格迎來新的 ATH,「Uptober」敘事保持不變

Bitcoin has overturned the sluggish start to its historically most bullish month, recording more than 13% gains in October and coming within reach of a new ATH.

比特幣扭轉了歷史上最看漲月份的低迷開局,10 月漲幅超過 13%,接近新的 ATH。

The leading digital asset’s performance has restored faith in the “Uptober” narrative as it looks to record its biggest one-month gains since March 2024, when it achieved its current ATH of $73,737.

這一領先數位資產的表現恢復了人們對「Uptober」敘述的信心,因為它有望創下自 2024 年 3 月以來的最大單月漲幅,當時其當前 ATH 為 73,737 美元。

Data from crypto analytics firm CryptoQuant indicates that BTC balance with OTC desks has swelled to 416,000 – worth approximately $30 billion. In comparison, OTC desks averaged less than 200,000 BTC during Q1 2024.

加密分析公司 CryptoQuant 的數據表明,場外交易櫃檯的 BTC 餘額已增至 41.6 萬個,價值約 300 億美元。相比之下,2024 年第一季場外交易櫃檯的平均比特幣數量不到 20 萬個。

For the uninitiated, OTC desks are typically used by sophisticated and seasoned investors to trade the underlying asset without impacting its spot market price. OTC trades also enable institutional investors to make trades without showing their transactions on an exchange’s trading books.

對於新手來說,場外交易平台通常由經驗豐富的投資者用來交易標的資產,而不影響其現貨市場價格。場外交易還使機構投資者無需在交易所的交易帳戶上顯示其交易即可進行交易。

The high amount of BTC held by OTC desks allows U.S.-based spot exchange-traded funds (ETF) to buy BTC without affecting its spot price.

場外交易櫃檯持有大量比特幣,使得美國現貨交易所交易基金(ETF)可以在不影響其現貨價格的情況下購買比特幣。

How do OTC desk inflows impact Bitcoin price?

場外交易台資金流入如何影響比特幣價格?

According to data from SoSoValue, spot BTC ETFs attracted a daily total net inflow of more than $870 million on October 29. However, this figure only represents about 2% of the total BTC currently held by OTC desks.

SoSoValue的數據顯示,10月29日,現貨BTC ETF每天吸引了超過8.7億美元的淨流入總額。

In comparison, during Q1 2024 – when BTC made its ATH following the ETF approval – the amount of BTC purchased by spot ETFs as a proportion of OTC-held BTC reserves ranged between 9% and 12%.

相較之下,在 2024 年第一季度,當 BTC 在 ETF 獲得批准後達到 ATH 時,現貨 ETF 購買的 BTC 數量佔場外交易持有的 BTC 儲備的比例在 9% 到 12% 之間。

Since the beginning of September, the total OTC desk balance has been stable. The 30-day change – a metric that tracks the net change in the amount of BTC held over the last 30 days – stood at 3,000 BTC in September versus 92,000 BTC in June.

自9月初以來,OTC櫃檯總餘額保持穩定。 30 天變化(追蹤過去 30 天內持有的 BTC 數量淨變化的指標)9 月為 3,000 BTC,而 6 月為 92,000 BTC。

The 30-day change was in negative territory during Q1 2024, indicating strong demand for accumulation from large buyers as more BTC was withdrawn from OTC desks than deposited.

2024 年第一季度,30 天的變化處於負值區域,這表明大買家對積累的需求強勁,因為從場外交易櫃檯提取的 BTC 多於存入的 BTC。

Conversely, a positive 30-day change means more BTC was deposited than withdrawn, potentially signaling reduced buying interest or even selling activity.

相反,30 天的正變化意味著存入的 BTC 多於提取的 BTC,可能表明購買興趣甚至出售活動減少。

As mentioned earlier, daily OTC desk inflows have fallen from their June highs, reaching their lowest level in 2024. A further decline in daily OTC desk inflows could propel BTC to new highs.

如前所述,每日場外交易台流入量已從 6 月的高點下降,達到 2024 年的最低水準。

Data from CryptoQuant shows that OTC desks averaged close to 90,000 BTC in October, a steep decline of more than 52% compared to Q1, Q2, and Q3 2024.

CryptoQuant 的數據顯示,10 月場外交易櫃檯平均交易量接近 90,000 BTC,與 2024 年第一季、第二季和第三季相比急劇下降了 52% 以上。

Recently, Markus Thielen, head of research at 10X Research, remarked that there are “exceptionally high” chances of a crypto rally in Q4 2024.

最近,10X Research 研究主管 Markus Thielen 表示,2024 年第四季加密貨幣反彈的可能性「非常高」。

The combination of a strong demand for BTC, coupled with limited OTC supply, holds the potential to push the crypto-asset to a new ATH. BTC trades at $72,002 at press time, down 0.7% in the past 24 hours.

對比特幣的強勁需求加上有限的場外交易供應,有可能將加密資產推向新的最高水準。截至發稿,BTC 交易價格為 72,002 美元,過去 24 小時下跌 0.7%。

原始來源:bitcoinist

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