2023 年和 2024 年比特幣 (BTC) 市場行為：比較分析

一位加密貨幣專家發現 2023 年和 2024 年比特幣 (BTC) 市場行為之間存在驚人的相似之處。

A crypto pundit has identified striking similarities between the Bitcoin (BTC) market behavior in 2023 and 2024. Based on the analyst’s observation, he believes that Bitcoin is experiencing a comparable cycle of decline, characterized by widespread investor sell offs, which could precede a significant price breakout to new levels. 

一位加密貨幣專家發現2023 年和2024 年比特幣(BTC) 市場行為之間存在驚人的相似之處。拋售，這可能會導致重大的拋售。

Comparing The Bitcoin Markets Of 2023 And 2024

比較 2023 年和 2024 年的比特幣市場

In a rather lengthy X (formerly Twitter) post on September 3, a crypto pundit identified as ‘Dana Crypto Trades’ shared some intriguing details about the current Bitcoin market, comparing it to the market environment and trends observed in 2023. The analyst noted that Bitcoin’s price fluctuated within a range for over six months, much like it did last year. 

在9 月3 日的一篇相當長的X（以前的Twitter）帖子中，一位名為“Dana Crypto Trades”的加密貨幣專家分享了有關當前比特幣市場的一些有趣的細節，並將其與2023 年觀察到的市場環境和趨勢進行了比較。

He highlighted that despite the cryptocurrency‘s bearish performance, the expectations about the market’s future outlook in the fourth quarter of 2024 remain particularly optimistic. 

他強調，儘管加密貨幣表現悲觀，但對 2024 年第四季市場前景的預期仍然特別樂觀。

Last year, numerous crypto investors chose to sell off their Bitcoin holdings when they were priced around $25,000, hoping to buy back at a lower value. This massive sell-off occurred despite the more than 90% probability that Spot Bitcoin ETFs would gain approval this year. 

去年，許多加密貨幣投資者在比特幣價格約為 25,000 美元時選擇出售其持有的比特幣，希望以較低的價格回購。儘管現貨比特幣 ETF 今年獲得批准的可能性超過 90%，但還是發生了大規模拋售。

Interestingly, A similar behavior is unfolding in the present Bitcoin market. The market sentiment has turned negative due to Bitcoin’s recent price volatility, leading investors to become bearish. Most of these investors are now liquidating their holdings, with the expectation to repurchase it at a 10% to 20% lower price. 

有趣的是，類似的行為正在當前的比特幣市場上演。由於比特幣近期價格波動，市場情緒轉為負面，導致投資人變得看跌。這些投資者中的大多數現在正在清算所持股份，期望以 10% 至 20% 的較低價格回購。

Daana Crypto has warned that while trying to buy Bitcoin at a lower price might seem like a great investment strategy, it carries a significant amount of risks. Basically, if the market moves upwards instead of the expected decline, investors who sold their Bitcoin may miss out on substantial gains. 

Daana Crypto 警告說，雖然試圖以較低的價格購買比特幣似乎是一個很好的投資策略，但它存在很大的風險。基本上，如果市場上漲而不是預期下跌，出售比特幣的投資者可能會錯失大幅收益。

He referenced a situation last year, where some investors had missed out on a 3X price increase in Bitcoin because they had sold off their coins and were waiting for a slight price dip. While providing insights into current market set up, Daan Crypto acknowledged that he is unable to predict Bitcoin’s short term market movements, therefore advises that investors remain cautious. 

他提到了去年的一個情況，當時一些投資者錯過了比特幣價格上漲 3 倍的機會，因為他們已經拋售了比特幣並等待價格小幅下跌。在提供對當前市場格局的見解時，Daan Crypto 承認他無法預測比特幣的短期市場趨勢，因此建議投資者保持謹慎。

He indicated that for most investors, holding Bitcoin over the long term might be the best strategy, especially if the market could witness a significant breakout to the upside once bearish trends turn stable. 

他表示，對於大多數投資者來說，長期持有比特幣可能是最好的策略，特別是如果一旦看跌趨勢穩定下來，市場可能會出現重大突破。

BTC Eyes Next Target At $100,000 In Q4

BTC 第四季的下一個目標是 10 萬美元

Another crypto analyst, known as ‘Stockmoney Lizards,’ on X has also drawn comparisons between Bitcoin’s current market patterns with those from the early years. 

X 上另一位被稱為「Stockmoney Lizards」的加密貨幣分析師也將比特幣當前的市場模式與早年的市場模式進行了比較。

He observed similar trends in Bitcoin’s price action in 2016 and 2024, indicating that the pioneer cryptocurrency could experience a comparable but less dramatic price increase to what was seen in 2016. Despite this, the crypto analyst has set a price target of $100,000 for Bitcoin by the end of Q4 2024.

他觀察到2016 年和2024 年比特幣價格走勢的類似趨勢，顯示這種先鋒加密貨幣可能會經歷與2016 年相當但不那麼劇烈的價格上漲。設定了10 萬美元的目標價2024 年第四季末。