鏈上分析師表示，比特幣（BTC）可能尚未達到最高需求水平

鏈上分析師 Axel Adler 表示，比特幣 [BTC] 的需求尚未達到最高水準。

On-chain data suggests that Bitcoin [BTC] may still be far from peak demand. This could be due to lower demand from new investors, compared to previous bull markets.

鏈上數據表明，比特幣 [BTC] 可能仍遠未達到需求高峰。這可能是由於與之前的多頭市場相比，新投資者的需求較低。

However, according to on-chain analyst Axel Adler, in his post on X, new investors are likely to begin buying BTC at a later stage.

然而，鏈上分析師 Axel Adler 在 X 上的貼文中表示，新投資者可能會在稍後階段開始購買 BTC。

One way to gauge this is by analyzing the Ratio of Old and New Bitcoin Supply.

衡量這一點的一種方法是分析新舊比特幣供應的比率。

As highlighted in the chart below, Bitcoin is yet to reach the zones of high demand. Hence, the chances of a price hike in the mid to long-term may be higher.

如下圖所示，比特幣尚未達到高需求區域。因此，中長期價格上漲的可能性較大。

Source: X

來源：X

New investors are not around

新投資者不在身邊

At press time, Bitcoin’s price was $63,719 after falling by almost 5% in the last seven days. To ascertain if BTC’s price will hike, AMBCrypto looked at user engagement and growth on the network

截至發稿時，比特幣價格在過去 7 天下跌近 5% 後為 63,719 美元。為了確定 BTC 的價格是否會上漲，AMBCrypto 研究了網路上的使用者參與度和成長情況

In the metric provided by IntoTheBlock, we have the new addresses, active addresses and zero-balance addresses. Active addresses measure the number of existing users transacting on the network.

在 IntoTheBlock 提供的指標中，我們有新地址、活躍地址和零餘額地址。活躍地址衡量在網路上進行交易的現有用戶數量。

New addresses, on the other hand, mean the number of addresses completing their first transaction. At press time, Bitcoin active addresses had risen by 6.47% in the last seven days.

另一方面，新地址意味著完成第一筆交易的地址數量。截至發稿，比特幣活躍地址近7天上漲6.47%。

Zero-balance addresses jumped by 22% while new addresses remained almost the same. The stagnancy in new addresses is a reflection of Adler’s opinion above. For the price, this could bring about another decrease.

零餘額地址增加了 22%，而新地址幾乎保持不變。新地址的停滯反映了阿德勒的上述觀點。對於價格而言，這可能會帶來另一次下降。

Recently, AMBCrypto reported how an analyst predicted that the coin could drop to $54,000. While this might not happen in the short term, BTC can fall towards $61,000 on the charts.

最近，AMBCrypto 報告了一位分析師如何預測該代幣可能會跌至 54,000 美元。雖然這可能不會在短期內發生，但 BTC 可能會跌至圖表上的 61,000 美元。

Source: IntoTheBlock

來源：IntoTheBlock

Holders continue to sell

持有者繼續拋售

We also analyzed the Mean Coin Age (MCA). The MCA shows the average age of all coins based on the weighted purchase price. When the metric rises, it means that old coins are moving from their previous storage.

我們也分析了平均幣齡（MCA）。 MCA 根據加權購買價格顯示所有代幣的平均年齡。當該指標上升時，意味著舊代幣正在從先前的儲存中移出。

In most cases, this means that long-term holders are selling. However, when the MCA falls, it implies that holders of the coin do not want to sell. Instead, market participants are accumulating new coins and retiring them to a cold wallet.

在大多數情況下，這意味著長期持有者正在拋售。然而，當 MCA 下跌時，這意味著代幣持有者不想出售。相反，市場參與者正在累積新的代幣並將其存放到冷錢包中。

At press time, Bitcoin’s 90-day MCA was still on its uptrend from 1 June. Should this go on, the price of the coin might drop, and the $61,000 prediction could become a reality.

截至發稿時，比特幣的 90 天 MCA 仍處於 6 月 1 日以來的上升趨勢。如果這種情況持續下去，代幣的價格可能會下跌，61,000 美元的預測可能會成為現實。

In addition, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart fell. The RSI is a technical oscillator that tracks an asset’s momentum.

此外，4小時圖上的相對強弱指數（RSI）下跌。 RSI 是追蹤資產動量的技術振盪指標。

It also tells us when a cryptocurrency is overbought or oversold. Values of 70 or above mean overbought while readings below 30 means oversold. At press time, Bitcoin’s RSI was close to the oversold region.

它也告訴我們加密貨幣何時超買或超賣。數值為 70 或以上意味著超買，而讀數低於 30 意味著超賣。截至發稿時，比特幣的 RSI 已接近超賣區域。

Source: Santiment

資料來源：Santiment

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您的投資組合是綠色的嗎？檢查比特幣利潤計算器

This indicates that momentum has been bearish. As such, a further price fall could be possible.

這表示勢頭已經看跌。因此，價格可能會進一步下跌。

However, if buying pressure increases, the price might rebound. As far as demand is concerned, it might remain low for the next few weeks.

然而，如果購買壓力增加，價格可能會反彈。就需求而言，未來幾週可能會保持低位。