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最近,由於特朗普的關稅救濟言論,比特幣(BTC)進入了“呼吸器”階段,市場顯示複雜
Recently, Bitcoin (BTC), which surged due to Trump's tariff relief remarks, has entered a 'breather' phase, and the market is showing complex movements in a sideways trend, requiring delicate responses in short-term trading.
最近,由於特朗普的關稅救濟言論,比特幣(BTC)進入了“呼吸器”階段,市場在側向趨勢中顯示出複雜的運動,需要短期交易中的微妙回應。
If Bitcoin stably surpasses the $95,000 level, it is likely to continue its bullish trend, but if the $91,700 support level collapses, the risk of further decline may increase.
如果比特幣穩定超過95,000美元的水平,則可能會繼續其看漲趨勢,但是如果91,700美元的支持水平崩潰,可能會進一步下降的風險增加。
As of 22:32 on the 27th, Bitcoin is trading at 135,590,000 won on the Upbit KRW market, showing a 0.24% decrease from the previous day (based on the Binance USDT market, $93,863). At the same time, the Kimchi Premium is 0.35%.
截至27日22:32,比特幣在UPBIT KRW市場上的交易價格為135,590,000韓元,比前一天下降了0.24%(基於Binance USDT市場,93,863美元)。同時,泡菜溢價為0.35%。
US-China trade negotiations, temperature difference remains... "Tension continues despite tariff deferment"
美國 - 中國的貿易談判,溫度差異仍然……“儘管關稅延期,緊張仍在繼續
Photo = Hankyung DB
照片= Hankyung DB
Tension in the global stock and cryptocurrency markets continues as signals regarding US-China trade negotiations are mixed. US President Donald Trump reiterated his intention to reduce tariffs on China and highlighted the progress of negotiations, but China completely denied this.
全球股票和加密貨幣市場的緊張局勢繼續存在,因為有關美國 - 中國貿易談判的信號是混合的。美國總統唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)重申了他打算減少中國關稅的意圖,並強調了談判的進展,但中國完全否認了這一點。
According to CCTV and other media on the 26th, a spokesperson for the Chinese embassy in the US stated, "There has been no consultation or negotiation with the US on tariff issues." The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the Ministry of Commerce also issued separate statements on the same day, stating, "No form of negotiations are being carried out with the US."
據CCTV和其他媒體在26日的說法中,美國中國大使館發言人說:“與美國有關關稅問題沒有磋商或談判。”中國外交部和商務部還在同一天發表了單獨的陳述,稱:“沒有與美國進行談判形式。”
Previously, on the 23rd, President Trump stated, "We can lower the high tariffs imposed on Chinese imports," and "We will decide on the tariff rates we will choose within the next 2-3 weeks." When asked if he was directly negotiating with China, Trump replied, "Yes, every day."
特朗普總統以前在第23屆中說:“我們可以降低對中國進口的高關稅”,並“我們將在未來2-3週內決定我們將選擇的關稅率。”當被問及他是否直接與中國談判時,特朗普回答:“是的,每天。”
Amid mixed signals from trade negotiations, the anxiety of US consumers is deepening. The University of Michigan's final April consumer sentiment index was 52.2, a slight increase from the preliminary figure (50.8) announced earlier this month. However, compared to March, it decreased by 8.4, clearly showing a decline in consumer confidence.
在貿易談判中的信號混合的同時,美國消費者的焦慮正在加深。密歇根大學的最終4月份消費者情感指數為52.2,比本月初宣布的初步數字(50.8)略有增加。但是,與三月相比,它減少了8.4,清楚地表明消費者信心的下降。
In particular, the expected inflation for the next year was recorded at 6.5%, reaching the highest level since 1981.
特別是,明年的預期通貨膨脹率為6.5%,達到了自1981年以來的最高水平。
Concerns are growing that the US economy may fall into a recession with rising prices due to the impact of the Trump administration's tariff policy, and Wall Street is keenly aware of changes in consumer sentiment indicators.
人們越來越擔心,由於特朗普政府的關稅政策的影響,美國經濟可能陷入衰退,價格上漲,而華爾街敏銳地意識到消費者情感指標的變化。
Photo = Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) FedWatch capture
照片=芝加哥商人交流(CME)FedWatch捕獲
According to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) FedWatch as of 18:00 on the day, the market is reflecting a 39.8% chance of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) holding the base rate at its May meeting. The first rate cut is expected in June, with a 57.2% probability of being implemented.
根據當天18:00的芝加哥商務交易所(CME)FedWatch的數據,該市場反映了美國美聯儲(美聯儲)在5月會議上持有基本利率的機會39.8%。預計將在6月削減第一級,實施57.2%的概率。
"Bitcoin rebounds on Trump's tariff deferment... ETF inflows and big hands strengthening accumulation"
“比特幣反彈了特朗普的關稅延期……ETF流入和大手加強積累”
Bitcoin spot ETF inflows listed in the US / Photo = Farside Investment
比特幣斑點ETF流入在美國 /照片= Farside Investment
A total of $3,0629 billion (approximately 4,4069 trillion won) was net flowed into the Bitcoin spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) during the week (21st-25th).
在本週(21st 25th)中,總計30.629億美元(約4,4069萬韓元)被淨流入了比特幣現貨交易所基金(ETF)。
This is due to the significant improvement in risk asset preference as US President Donald Trump expressed his intention to reduce tariffs on China. Additionally, the US Federal Reserve's withdrawal of existing guidelines requiring prior approval for banks' cryptocurrency-related activities also supported the upward trend.
這是由於美國總統唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)表示打算減少對中國的關稅的意圖,這是由於風險資產偏好的重大改善。此外,美國美聯儲撤銷了需要事先批准銀行加密貨幣相關活動的現有準則,也支持了上升趨勢。
Signs of improved supply and demand are being detected within the market. Cryptocurrency service provider Matrixport diagnosed, "Market participants have expectations that President Trump's tariff policy will not lead to a global economic recession."
市場中正在發現供需的跡象。加密貨幣服務提供商Matrixport診斷出:“市場參與者期望特朗普總統的關稅政策不會導致全球經濟衰退。”
They added, "As the market sentiment changes, Bitcoin open interest and speculative trading activities are increasing, and recently Bitcoin is proving its status as a hedge against dollar investment exposure. It is only a matter of time before it surpasses the $95,000 stop-loss level for major short positions."
他們補充說:“隨著市場情緒的變化,比特幣開放興趣和投機性交易活動的增加,最近比特幣證明了其作為對美元投資敞口的對沖的地位。這只是時間問題,即超過95,000美元的主要短職位的停止損失水平。”
Global cryptocurrency exchange Bitfinex also evaluated in its weekly report, "Bitcoin is showing clear resilience even amid the most turbulent macroeconomic uncertainties in years." The report added, "Bitcoin is strengthening its position as a store of value along with gold, rebounding more than 16% from its low, recording superior performance compared to traditional risk assets."
全球加密貨幣交換Bitfinex還在其每週報告中評估了:“比特幣在多年來最動蕩的宏觀經濟不確定性中顯示出明顯的韌性。”該報告補充說:“比特幣正在加強其作為價值存儲的地位,與黃金相比,比特幣從低位的籃板上籃板超過16%,與傳統的風險資產相比,其績效較高。”
During the same period, the volatility index (VIX), known as the 'fear index,' surpassed 40 for the first time in five years, and US stocks and bonds faced extreme volatility.
在同一時期,被稱為“恐懼指數”的波動率指數(VIX)五年來首次超過40個,美國的股票和債券面臨極端波動。
In the spot market, buying pressure has flowed in, raising Bitcoin prices, but in the futures market, short (short selling) positions have increased, building tension. / Photo =
在現貨市場上,購買壓力已經流動,提高了比特幣價格,但是在期貨市場中,短暫的(賣空)頭寸增加了,建立了緊張局勢。 / photo =
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