比特幣（BTC）低於$ 95,000，貿易商眼睛$ 90K或更低

比特幣（BTC）滑低於$ 95,000

Bitcoin (BTC) slipped below $95,000 on Monday, with traders now eyeing a possible retreat to $90,000 or lower amid growing macro uncertainty and a shift in market focus to this week’s Federal Reserve meeting.

週一，比特幣（BTC）在$ 95,000的$ 95,000下滑，現在，由於宏觀不確定性的增長，市場重點轉移到本週的美聯儲會議，可能會撤退到90,000美元或更低。

The pullback follows a strong two-week rally, during which BTC briefly pushed past $98,000, drawing in retail interest and institutional flows. However, some analysts are flagging a confluence of technical and macro risks that could further pressure prices.

回調是在為期兩週的強烈集會之後，在此期間，BTC短暫地將零售利息和機構流動引起了98,000美元。但是，一些分析師正在標記技術和宏風險的匯合，這些風險可能會進一步壓力價格。

“We’re back at a key resistance zone that acted as support from December to February,” said FxPro’s Alex Kuptsikevich in an email to CoinDesk.

FXPRO的Alex Kuptsikevich在給Coindesk的電子郵件中說：“我們回到了一個從12月到2月的支持區的關鍵阻力區。”

“The next downside targets are $92,500 and $89,000. A clean break below $90,000 would be technically and psychologically damaging, taking us under the 200-day moving average.”

“下一個缺點目標是$ 92,500和89,000美元。在技術上和心理上的破壞性下降，乾淨的休息時間將在200天的移動平均水平上受到技術和心理破壞。”

Traders are watching developments in ongoing U.S.-China tariff talks, which can tend to heavily influence bitcoin prices, and await the Federal Reserve's policy meeting later this week.

貿易商正在觀看正在進行的美國 - 中國關稅談判中的發展，這可能會嚴重影響比特幣的價格，並在本週晚些時候等待美聯儲的政策會議。

The Fed is widely expected to leave rates steady on Wednesday, but traders will be focused on any comments on economic projections and future rate cuts.

人們普遍認為，在周三，美聯儲將使利率穩定，但交易者將專注於對經濟預測和未來降低稅率的任何評論。

“The combination of solid data and hopes of easing trade tensions helped markets rebound from the post-Liberation Day selloff,” Singapore-based QCP Capital noted in a morning brief.

總部位於新加坡的QCP Capital在早晨的簡報中指出：“穩固的數據和緩解貿易緊張局勢的希望有助於市場反彈。”

“But with earnings season winding down, the focus now shifts to the Fed and U.S.–China trade developments. Although PCE data shows that inflationary pressures are easing, heightened import tariffs risk reigniting price instability. The key question remains whether the Fed will continue to resist political pressure from Trump to cut rates or consider a shift in stance,” QCP added.

“但是，隨著收入季節的結束，現在的重點轉移到了美聯儲和美國 - 中國的貿易發展。儘管PCE數據表明，通貨膨脹壓力正在緩解，進口關稅增加了重新點重點的價格不穩定。關鍵問題仍然是美聯儲是否會繼續抵制特朗普的政治壓力以降低率或考慮立場的轉變，” QCP補充說。

Despite the short-term pullback, spot bitcoin ETFs continue to draw inflows. Net inflows last week totaled $1.81 billion, according to SoSoValue.

儘管有短期的回調，但現貨比特幣ETF仍繼續吸引流入。根據Sosovalue的數據，上週淨流入總計18.1億美元。

However, on-chain indicators suggest caution may be warranted. Glassnode flagged that the cumulative unrealized gains for long-term bitcoin holders have reached nearly 350%, a level that has historically coincided with periods of heavy profit-taking.

但是，鏈上指標表明可能需要謹慎行事。 GlassNode標誌著長期比特幣持有人的累積未實現收益已達到近350％，這一水平與賺錢的時期相吻合。

“LTHs begin distributing more aggressively around a 350% unrealized profit margin, which aligns with a $BTC price of ~ $99.9k. As the market approaches this level, we can expect increased sell-side pressure, requiring strong demand to fully absorb it.”

“ LTHS開始更加積極地分配未實現的利潤率，這與$ BTC的價格約為99.9億美元。隨著市場的接近，我們可以預期賣方壓力增加，需要強大的需求才能完全吸收它。”

Meanwhile, Santiment data shows meme coin chatter hit a 2025 peak in recent weeks — a sign that traders may be cycling back into higher-risk bets after months of rotation into majors and ETFs.

同時，Santiment數據顯示，最近幾週，Meme Coin Chatter在2025年的峰值上達到了2025年的峰值 - 這表明交易者可能會在旋轉幾個月的大滿貫和ETF之後騎自行車回到更高風險的賭注中。

But the shift hasn’t translated into sustained upside across the board. GORK, a memecoin linked to an AI chatbot parody account recently referenced by Elon Musk, failed to extend gains despite the high-profile attention — suggesting that celebrity-driven pumps may be losing steam in the current environment, as reported in Monday’s Crypto Daybook.

但是這種轉變並未轉化為整個持續的上升空間。戈克（Gork）是與埃隆·馬斯克（Elon Musk）最近引用的AI聊天機器人模仿帳戶有關的模因，儘管人們引起了人們的關注，但仍未擴大收益 - 表明，名人驅動的泵可能會在當前環境中失去Steam，如周一的Crypto Daybook所報導。