比特幣 (BTC) 已經 137 天沒有達到歷史新高

分析師 Jason Pizzino 表示，這一階段標誌著週期的頂峰，一切似乎都在上漲，包括比特幣、其他加密貨幣、股票市場和房地產。

Bitcoin has not reached a new all-time high in 137 days, following the Bitcoin Nashville conference over the weekend where former President Donald Trump delivered a speech.

繼上週末前總統唐納德·川普在比特幣納許維爾會議上發表演講之後，比特幣已經 137 天沒有再創歷史新高。

According to analyst Jason Pizzino, this phase marks the peak of the cycle where everything appears to be going up, including Bitcoin, other cryptocurrencies, stock markets, and real estate. Historically, such peaks are followed by corrections, which could be more severe than expected given the shallow or quick corrections of the past 15 years.

分析師 Jason Pizzino 表示，這一階段標誌著週期的頂峰，一切似乎都在上漲，包括比特幣、其他加密貨幣、股票市場和房地產。從歷史上看，此類峰值之後會出現調整，考慮到過去 15 年調整幅度較小或較快，調整的幅度可能比預期更為嚴重。

He also discussed a signal from March 2024, where the S&P 500 showed three consecutive down days, indicating a potential top for Bitcoin. Since then, Bitcoin has been under its high for 137 days. We are currently in that period, with four months having passed a few weeks ago—about 120 days—and extending up to six months, which would take us to around September 11.

他還討論了 2024 年 3 月的一個訊號，當時標準普爾 500 指數連續三天下跌，表明比特幣可能見頂。此後，比特幣已連續 137 天低於高點。我們目前正處於這個時期，距離幾週前（大約 120 天）已經過去了 4 個月，最長可達 6 個月，即 9 月 11 日左右。

The analyst also noted Bitcoin’s price stability around $68,000-$69,000, with significant support levels identified. Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) are analyzed, with Solana showing strong performance against Bitcoin and potential for further gains.

該分析師還指出，比特幣的價格穩定在 68,000 美元至 69,000 美元之間，並已確定重要的支撐位。對以太坊 (ETH) 和 Solana (SOL) 進行了分析，其中 Solana 相對於比特幣表現出強勁的表現以及進一步的上漲潛力。

Will Trump’s Pro-Crypto Stance Send Bitcoin To Moon?

川普支持加密貨幣的立場會將比特幣送上月球嗎？

In the recent Bitcoin Nashville conference, Trump urged people to hold onto Bitcoin, suggesting it could become a reserve currency. This announcement, while exciting, should be viewed in the context of historical market behavior, the analyst said.

在最近舉行的納許維爾比特幣會議上，川普敦促人們持有比特幣，並暗示它可能成為一種儲備貨幣。這位分析師表示，這項公告雖然令人興奮，但應該結合歷史市場行為來看。

Senator Cynthia Lummis also proposed that the US Treasury purchase $1 million worth of Bitcoin, though this idea, while intriguing, may be far-fetched given current circumstances. Trump’s comments at the conference reflect a significant shift in attitude towards Bitcoin, from skepticism to advocating its potential as a strategic reserve asset.

參議員辛西婭·魯米斯 (Cynthia Lummis) 也提議美國財政部購買價值 100 萬美元的比特幣，儘管這個想法雖然很有趣，但考慮到目前的情況可能有些牽強。川普在會議上的言論反映了人們對比特幣態度的重大轉變，從懷疑到提倡其作為戰略儲備資產的潛力。

Trump’s plans, including firing SEC Chairman Gary Gensler, align with what the crypto community wants to hear. However, it’s important to remember that market cycles operate independently of political rhetoric.

川普的計劃，包括解僱 SEC 主席加里·詹斯勒 (Gary Gensler)，與加密貨幣社區希望聽到的內容一致。然而，重要的是要記住，市場週期的運作獨立於政治言論。

He brought to attention the 1930s U.S. ban on gold ownership and compared it to the current promotion of Bitcoin, suggesting that history might repeat itself with Bitcoin becoming heavily regulated or seized by the government in the future.

他提請人們注意 20 世紀 30 年代美國對黃金所有權的禁令，並將其與當前比特幣的推廣進行比較，表明歷史可能會重演，比特幣未來會受到政府的嚴格監管或扣押。