比特幣（BTC）繼續無視全球經濟不確定性，更接近賺取$ 86,000

現在，它距離其“解放日”高3％。為了邁向透視，比特幣優勢（衡量BTC在總加密貨幣市值中的份額）接近64％

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to inch closer to reclaiming $86,000, now less than 3% away from its “Liberation Day” high. To put the move into perspective, bitcoin dominance — which measures BTC’s share of the total cryptocurrency market cap — is approaching 64%, a level not seen since January 2021. In contrast, the Nasdaq 100 is still 5% away from its own Liberation Day high, highlighting bitcoin's relative strength versus U.S. equities.

比特幣（BTC）繼續靠近收回86,000美元，現在距離其“解放日”高3％。為了邁向透視，比特幣優勢（衡量BTC在總加密貨幣市值中的份額）接近64％，這是自2021年1月以來未見的水平。相比之下，納斯達克100號仍然距離其自身的自由日高5％，距離比特幣的相對優勢與美國公平相對強。

According to X account Cheddar Flow, the S&P 500 has just formed a “death cross” — a traditionally bearish signal that occurs when the 50-day moving average falls below the 200-day moving average. The last time this happened was March 15, 2022, when S&P 500 initially rose by 11% in the following week, only to be followed by a 20% decline. Bearish sentiment is also reflected in the options market, where investors are reportedly buying large volumes of NVDA puts, signaling expectations of lower prices.

根據X帳戶CHEDDAR流量，標準普爾500指數剛剛形成了“死亡十字架”，這是傳統上看跌信號，當50天移動平均線降至200天移動平均線以下時發生。最後一次發生是2022年3月15日，當時標準普爾500指數最初在接下來的一周中增長了11％，隨後又下降了20％。看跌的情緒也反映在期權市場上，據報導，投資者正在購買大量NVDA投票，這表明了對價格較低的預期。

In a Bloomberg interview on Monday, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent reaffirmed confidence in the U.S. bond market, dismissing concerns that foreign nations are dumping Treasuries.

在周一的彭博社採訪中，財政部長斯科特·貝斯特（Scott Bessent）重申了對美國債券市場的信心，駁斥了對外國國家正在傾倒財政部的擔憂。

“I am not seeing a dumping of U.S. Treasuries. The Treasury has lots of tools, but we're a long way from needing them.”

“我沒有看到美國國庫的傾銷。財政部有很多工具，但是我們需要它們很長的路要走。”

Bessent also emphasized the enduring status of the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency, despite the DXY index — which measures the dollar's value against a basket of major trading partners — falling below 100 and dropping over 10% in recent weeks.

Bessent還強調了美元的持久狀態作為世界儲備貨幣，儘管DXY指數（衡量了一籃子的主要交易夥伴的價值），而最近幾週下降了10％以上。

Bessent also confirmed that the Trump administration is seeking a new Federal Reserve Chair to replace Jerome Powell, with interviews set to begin later in the year. He concluded the interview by suggesting that the VIX (S&P 500 volatility index) may have peaked after the largest one-day percentage drop in its history last week. Stay alert!

Bessent還確認，特朗普政府正在尋求新的美聯儲主席來取代杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell），訪談將於今年晚些時候開始。他通過建議VIX（標準普爾500指數）可能在上週曆史上最大的一日百分比下降之後達到頂峰，得出了訪談的結論。保持警覺！

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By Shaurya Malwa

Shaurya Malwa

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Source: Farside Investors

資料來源：Farside Investors

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