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比特幣在每次減半階段都創下歷史新高。

Bitcoin price has been rallying significantly since the beginning of 2024, and many investors are wondering if the top crypto asset will finally break its all-time high (ATH) this year. Several analysts have been closely monitoring Bitcoin’s 52-week moving average (MA) line, which seems to be signaling the second phase of the new BTC bull market.
自 2024 年初以來,比特幣價格一直在大幅上漲,許多投資者想知道這項頂級加密資產今年是否最終會突破歷史新高 (ATH)。幾位分析師一直在密切關注比特幣的 52 週移動平均線(MA),這似乎預示著新的 BTC 牛市的第二階段。
Etoro “Elite Popular Investor” Steven Budgen thinks that Bitcoin may be on its way to surpassing its ATH. Currently, the record peak of the digital asset stands at $73,750.07, which it achieved on March 14 this year.
Etoro「精英大眾投資者」Steven Budgen 認為比特幣可能正在超越其 ATH。目前,該數位資產的歷史最高紀錄為 73,750.07 美元,於今年 3 月 14 日創下。
Bitcoin is yet to match its highest price after the halving last April 20. However, a glance at the chart shows that its 52-week MA line is already at its peak. If we take into account the second phase of the new cycle’s BTC bull market, which is signaled by the 52-week MA line, and combine that with the historical price actions of the digital asset, then we can see how this signals the second phase.
比特幣尚未達到去年 4 月 20 日減半後的最高價格。如果我們考慮到新周期 BTC 牛市的第二階段(以 52 週 MA 線為標誌),並將其與數位資產的歷史價格走勢結合起來,那麼我們可以看到這如何預示第二階段。
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Bitcoin’s 52-Week MA
比特幣 52 週均線
When determining the price trend of an asset, analysts commonly use the MA technical indicator. This indicator displays the average change in a data series over a set period of time, which can be anything from a few minutes to several years. It helps to smooth out price fluctuations and identify the general direction of the market.
在確定資產的價格趨勢時,分析師通常會使用 MA 技術指標。此指標顯示資料系列在設定時間段內的平均變化,該時間段可以從幾分鐘到幾年不等。它有助於平滑價格波動並確定市場的整體方向。
Budgen’s analysis suggests that the technical readings are pointing to the second phase of the new cycle’s BTC bull market based on the digital asset’s historical price actions. This analysis seems to be panning out, as Bitcoin has shown strength in recent weeks and is now trading close to its ATH.
Budgen 的分析表明,根據數位資產的歷史價格走勢,技術讀數指向新周期 BTC 牛市的第二階段。這項分析似乎得到了證實,因為比特幣在最近幾週表現出了強勁的勢頭,目前的交易價格已接近最高水平。
If Bitcoin manages to break through its ATH, it will be a major technical development that could spark further buying interest in the cryptocurrency. However, it's important to note that the market is always subject to change and unforeseen events could impact Bitcoin's price trajectory.
如果比特幣成功突破最高峰值,這將是一項重大技術發展,可能會激發人們對加密貨幣的進一步購買興趣。然而,值得注意的是,市場總是會發生變化,不可預見的事件可能會影響比特幣的價格軌跡。
BeInCrypto's Latest Bitcoin (BTC) Analysis, News, Prices, and Prediction
BeInCrypto 的最新比特幣 (BTC) 分析、新聞、價格和預測
Budgen, who is known for his bold crypto price projections, made the forecast on X, where he noted that BTC has a “good chance” of breaking out back to ATH by August. This projection comes earlier than the September and October projections made by other experts.
Budgen 以其大膽的加密貨幣價格預測而聞名,他在 X 上做出了預測,他指出 BTC 有「很好的機會」在 8 月突破至 ATH。這項預測早於其他專家對 9 月和 10 月的預測。
I think #Bitcoin has a good chance of breaking out here back to ATH. I didn't think it would be until Sept/Oct but strong possibility of August now.
我認為#Bitcoin 有很好的機會突破 ATH。我以為要到九月/十月才能實現,但現在八月的可能性很高。
BTC Weekly chart with 52 Week MA line now at ATH which historically has signalled the second phase of the Bitcoin bull market
BTC 週線圖,52 週 MA 線目前位於 ATH,在歷史上預示著比特幣牛市的第二階段
bull pic.twitter.com/2QRxHIGz0k
公牛 pic.twitter.com/2QRxHIGz0k
— Steven Budgen (@stevenbudgen) August 3, 2024
— 史蒂文·巴德根 (@stevenbudgen) 2024 年 8 月 3 日
Budgen also reported that June was a tough month for cryptocurrencies. He mainly attributed their dismal performance, particularly of Bitcoin, to the massive selling pressure caused by the German Saxony Government's wallet address and the negative sentiment brought about by the Mt. Gox repayments.
Budgen 還報告稱,六月對加密貨幣來說是艱難的一個月。他主要將其慘淡表現(尤其是比特幣)歸因於德國薩克森州政府錢包地址造成的巨大拋售壓力以及Mt. Gox償還帶來的負面情緒。
On the bright side, the market was able to absorb the tension as it kept its foothold on the $55K support. As of 5:15 AM UTC, Bitcoin is down by more than 2% in the 24-hour chart as it trades around the $64.5K range.
從好的方面來說,市場能夠消化緊張局勢,因為它堅守在 55,000 美元的支撐位上。截至世界標準時間凌晨 5:15,比特幣在 24 小時圖表中下跌超過 2%,交易價格約為 6.45 萬美元。
Budgen, who has 13.6K followers in his eToro portfolio, is also bullish on SUI, a token that is currently ranked third in his portfolio. He noted that he has been gradually increasing his SUI position over the past couple of months.
Budgen 在他的 eToro 投資組合中擁有 1.36 萬粉絲,他也看好 SUI,目前在他的投資組合中排名第三。他指出,過去幾個月他一直在逐步增加 SUI 職位。
According to Budgen, he doesn't think that SUI will be like Solana (SOL) of the last cycle, but he has a “huge amount of conviction” about how the SUI team continues to build its ecosystem. He added that SUI's price has been driven down by unlocking events from venture capitalists (VCs) coupled with the influence of the dip in Bitcoin and crypto values lately.
Budgen 表示,他不認為 SUI 會像上一個週期的 Solana (SOL) 一樣,但他對 SUI 團隊如何繼續建立其生態系統抱有「巨大的信心」。他補充說,由於風險投資家(VC)的解鎖事件以及最近比特幣和加密貨幣價值下跌的影響,SUI 的價格已經下跌。
Despite the recent sell-off in SUI, which saw the token fall by 3% in the 24-hourの時間帯 and currently trades around $0.084, Budgen sees this as a favorable entry point and is dollar cost averaging into it for a sizeable position.
儘管最近 SUI 遭到拋售,該代幣在 24 小時內下跌了 3%,目前交易價格約為 0.084 美元,但 Budgen 認為這是一個有利的切入點,並且平均美元成本可以在其中獲得相當大的頭寸。
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