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在最近對Coindesk的採訪中,億萬富翁風險投資家蒂姆·德雷珀(Tim Draper)憑藉對比特幣的大膽預測成為頭條新聞。
Billionaire venture capitalist Tim Draper has once again made headlines with his audacious predictions about Bitcoin, suggesting the cryptocurrency will hit $250,000 by the end of 2025 and replace the U.S. dollar in ten years, sparking lively discussions on the future of global finance.
億萬富翁風險資本家蒂姆·德雷珀(Tim Draper)再次以他對比特幣的大膽預測成為頭條新聞,這表明加密貨幣將在2025年底觸及25萬美元,並在十年內取代美元,對全球財務的未來產生了激烈的討論。
Draper, an early investor in Bitcoin BTC and other transformative technologies, is known for his bold outlooks on emerging trends. In a recent interview with CoinDesk, he elaborated on his predictions and the economic shifts that might drive them.
Draper是比特幣BTC和其他變革性技術的早期投資者,以其對新興趨勢的大膽看法而聞名。在最近接受Coindesk的採訪中,他詳細闡述了自己的預測以及可能驅動他們的經濟轉變。
“[Bitcoin] will hit $250,000 [by the end of 2025]. I’ve been saying that for a year and a half, and I still say that. It will take about ten years for Bitcoin to replace the dollar and become the main currency in the world.”
“ [比特幣]將達到25萬美元[到2025年底]。我已經說了一年半,我仍然說。比特幣要替換美元並成為世界上的主要貨幣要花費大約十年。”
His predictions stem from his observations of the U.S. dollar's diminishing role in a world facing inflation, geopolitical instability, and a growing demand for decentralized financial systems.
他的預測源於他對美元在通貨膨脹,地緣政治不穩定和對分散金融體系的需求不斷增長的世界中的衰落作用的觀察。
"The U.S. dollar code will become like the old British pound code—something in a museum that people used to spend their money with," Draper added.
Draper補充說:“美元代碼將變成像古老的英鎊代碼一樣,這是人們用來與他們一起花錢的博物館中的。”
Draper's vision extends beyond mere price speculation; he sees Bitcoin as a catalyst for a broader shift towards a global, trustless financial system, where individuals and institutions can interact directly without intermediaries.
Draper的願景超出了僅僅價格猜測;他認為比特幣是向全球,無信任的金融體系進行更廣泛轉變的催化劑,個人和機構可以在沒有中介機構的情況下直接互動。
If Bitcoin were to reach $250,000, it would signify an unprecedented surge in value, likely driven by large-scale institutional adoption and a surge in retail interest.
如果比特幣要達到25萬美元,它將表明價值前所未有的激增,這可能是由於大規模採用和零售利息的激增所驅動的。
Such a rise could lead to a reevaluation of traditional investment portfolios, with Bitcoin becoming a staple asset class in the holdings of major institutions and sovereign wealth funds.
這樣的上升可能會導致對傳統投資組合的重新評估,而比特幣成為主要機構和主權財富基金持有的主食資產類別。
Moreover, the idea of Bitcoin replacing the U.S. dollar within a decade suggests a seismic shift in international trade and reserve currencies.
此外,比特幣在十年內取代美元的想法表明,國際貿易和保留貨幣的地震轉變。
Countries and corporations might start holding Bitcoin reserves, as Draper recommends, to hedge against fiat currency devaluation and macroeconomic uncertainty.
按照德雷珀(Draper)的建議,國家和公司可能會開始持有比特幣儲備,以對沖菲亞特貨幣貶值和宏觀經濟不確定性。
However, several economists and financial analysts remain skeptical of Draper's predictions, citing the technical difficulties in processing a large volume of transactions on the Bitcoin network and the potential for a backlash against cryptocurrencies from regulators.
但是,幾位經濟學家和財務分析師仍然對Draper的預測持懷疑態度,理由是處理比特幣網絡上大量交易的技術困難以及對監管機構的加密貨幣的反對潛力。
Despite these challenges, Draper's predictions offer a glimpse into the possibilities that some envision for the cryptocurrency sector. As Bitcoin continues to evolve and the global financial landscape undergoes transformation, the coming years may hold surprising shifts in the balance of currencies and the technologies that underpin them.
儘管面臨這些挑戰,但德雷珀的預測可以瞥見某些對加密貨幣行業的可能性。隨著比特幣的不斷發展,全球金融環境經歷了轉型,未來幾年可能會在貨幣平衡和支撐它們的技術方面帶來令人驚訝的轉變。
As of May 13, 2025, Bitcoin's price is showing signs of recovery, trading at around $102,991.26 with a market cap of over $2,007,131,840,550. This recovery follows a period of decline from all-time highs reached earlier in the year, reflecting the cryptocurrency's sensitivity to broader market trends and investor sentiment. Several macroeconomic events are poised to influence the global economy and, by extension, Bitcoin's trajectory.
截至2025年5月13日,比特幣的價格顯示出恢復的跡象,交易約為102,991.26美元,市值超過2,007,131,840,550美元。這種恢復是從今年早些時候達到的歷史最高水平下降的一段時間,這反映了加密貨幣對更廣泛的市場趨勢和投資者情緒的敏感性。幾個宏觀經濟事件有望影響全球經濟,並擴展了比特幣的軌跡。
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised its global growth forecast downward to 2.8% for 2025, reflecting concerns over persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions. This revision suggests a cautious outlook that could impact investor confidence in traditional assets, potentially driving interest towards Bitcoin as a hedge against economic uncertainty.
國際貨幣基金組織(IMF)已將其全球增長預測調整為2025年,至2.8%,這反映了人們對持續的通貨膨脹和地緣政治緊張局勢的擔憂。這項修訂表明,謹慎的前景可能會影響投資者對傳統資產的信心,並有可能引起對比特幣的利益,以此作為對經濟不確定性的對沖。
Furthermore, the World Economic Outlook for 2025 highlights divergent growth paths among major economies, with the United States seeing an upward revision of 0.6 percentage points to 1.9% growth, while the euro area and other world bank macroeconomic forecasts are facing a downturn.
此外,世界經濟的2025年經濟前景突出了主要經濟體之間的增長道路,美國的增長率為0.6個百分點,增長了0.6%,增長率為1.9%,而歐元區和其他世界銀行宏觀經濟預測正面臨下降。
Such disparities in economic performance could lead to increased volatility in currency markets and foreign exchange rates, setting the stage for a re-evaluation of global monetary systems, which might favor Bitcoin's role as a stable and decentralized currency.
經濟績效的這種差異可能會導致貨幣市場和外匯率的波動增加,從而為重新評估全球貨幣體系奠定了基礎,這可能有利於比特幣作為穩定且分散的貨幣的作用。
Moreover, upcoming policy decisions from central banks, particularly regarding interest rates and inflation control measures, will be critical in determining the stability of existing financial infrastructures or, alternatively, the urgency of a shift towards decentralized alternatives like Bitcoin, as predicted by Draper.
此外,中央銀行的即將到來的政策決策,特別是關於利率和通貨膨脹控制措施,對於確定現有金融基礎設施的穩定性至關重要,或者,如Draper所預測的那樣,向分散替代品(如比特幣)的緊迫性。
As the cryptocurrency sector continues to evolve and the macroeconomic environment unfolds, the coming months will be pivotal in shaping the future of money and technology.
隨著加密貨幣行業的不斷發展和宏觀經濟環境的發展,未來幾個月將在塑造貨幣和技術的未來方面至關重要。
This article is not financial advice. Always perform your own research before making any cryptocurrency investment.
本文不是財務建議。在進行任何加密貨幣投資之前,請務必進行自己的研究。
The post Billionaire Predicts Bitcoin Will Replace U.S. Dollar ‘in 10 Years’ appeared first on Benzinga.
億萬富翁預測,比特幣將取代“ 10年內”的美元,首先出現在Benzinga上。
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