Altcoins與比特幣的優勢：分析師現在在說什麼

由於比特幣的優勢顯示出衰落的跡象，分析師對潛在的Altcoin季節嗡嗡作響。是時候改變您的加密策略了嗎？

The crypto world is buzzing with speculation: Is altcoin season finally here? While Bitcoin continues to flex its muscles, analysts are eyeing subtle shifts in market dominance that could signal a golden opportunity for altcoins. Let's dive into what the experts are saying.

加密世界在猜測中嗡嗡作響：Altcoin季節終於來了嗎？儘管比特幣繼續鍛煉肌肉，但分析師仍在關注市場優勢的微妙變化，這可能標誌著山寨幣的黃金機會。讓我們深入了解專家在說什麼。

Bitcoin's Grip Loosens?

比特幣的抓地力鬆動？

Bitcoin's price remains strong, but some analysts believe its market dominance is showing signs of fatigue. One analyst on X highlighted a specific breakdown structure in BTC dominance, linking it to nine factors indicating a possible altcoin season. While Bitcoin dominance hit a high of 66% in June 2025, coinciding with a key Fibonacci retracement level, warning signals are emerging.

比特幣的價格仍然很高，但一些分析師認為其市場優勢正在顯示出疲勞的跡象。 X上的一位分析師強調了BTC優勢的特定分解結構，將其與表明可能是Altcoin季節的九個因素聯繫起來。儘管比特幣優勢在2025年6月達到了66％的最高點，但與斐波那契的關鍵回撤水平相吻合，警告信號正在出現。

Technical indicators suggest Bitcoin dominance might be overbought, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) potentially facing a crash. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has already turned bearish, hinting at an impending downtrend. Furthermore, a key diagonal support line that held firm for much of 2024 and 2025 has been broken.

技術指標表明，比特幣的優勢可能是過多的，因為相對強度指數（RSI）可能面臨崩潰。移動平均收斂差異（MACD）已經變成看跌，暗示了即將下降的趨勢。此外，在2024年和2025年大部分時間內保持牢固的對角線支撐線已被打破。

Fundamentals Favoring Altcoins

基本面有利於Altcoins

It's not just technicals; fundamentals are also shifting in favor of altcoins. The potential approval of spot ETFs for altcoins like Ethereum, XRP, and Solana could redirect institutional investment away from Bitcoin. Think of it like this: Bitcoin ETFs opened the floodgates for Bitcoin, and similar ETFs could do the same for altcoins.

這不僅僅是技術人員；基本面也正在轉移，支持山寨幣。諸如以太坊，XRP和Solana之類的山莊ETF的潛在批准可以將機構投資從比特幣中重新定向。這樣想：比特幣ETF為比特幣打開了閘門，類似的ETF也可以為山寨幣做同樣的事情。

Analysts also point to the possibility of upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts, which could create a more favorable environment for altcoins. Momentum is already shifting in trading pairs like XRP/BTC and ETH/BTC, showing reversal signs from critical levels.

分析師還指出，即將降低美國美聯儲降低速度的可能性，這可能會為AltCoins創造更有利的環境。勢頭已經在XRP/BTC和ETH/BTC等交易對中轉移，顯示了關鍵水平的逆轉跡象。

Altcoins Ripping While Bitcoin Dominance Holds Steady

altcoins撕裂，而比特幣優勢保持穩定

Interestingly, some altcoins are surging even without a significant drop in Bitcoin dominance. Crypto analyst Matthew Hyland pointed out that "BTC dominance hasn’t even sneezed and Alts are ripping." While Bitcoin reached new all-time highs, altcoins saw significant price spikes. This suggests fresh capital is flowing into the broader market.

有趣的是，即使沒有大幅下降比特幣優勢，有些山寨幣也在激增。加密分析師馬修·海蘭德（Matthew Hyland）指出：“ BTC的統治地位甚至沒有打噴嚏，而且Alts在撕裂。”儘管比特幣達到了新的高潮，但Altcoins的價格飆升很大。這表明新的資本正在流入更廣闊的市場。

MemeCore (M) led the top 100 crypto gainers recently, with a staggering surge. Ether (ETH) has also seen significant gains, further indicating a potential shift in focus from Bitcoin to the wider altcoin market.

Memecore（M）最近以驚人的激增領先前100名加密貨幣。 Ether（ETH）也獲得了巨大的收益，進一步表明，從比特幣轉移到更廣泛的Altcoin市場。

The Final Easy Altcoin Season?

最後一個簡單的Altcoin季節？

MN Trading Capital founder Michael van de Poppe believes we may be on the verge of witnessing "the final easy and biggest bull ever on Altcoins." Santiment's metrics also suggest an altcoin season has begun, stating that traders are likely to redistribute profits into altcoins as long as Bitcoin maintains its position above a key support level.

MN Trading Capital創始人Michael Van de Poppe認為，我們可能會目睹“有史以來最簡單，最大的公牛在Altcoins上”的邊緣。 Santiment的指標還表明，Altcoin季節已經開始，指出，只要比特幣將其位置保持在關鍵支持水平之上，交易者可能會將利潤重新分配到Altcoins中。

However, CoinMarketCap’s Altcoin Season Index still leans heavily toward Bitcoin, so it's not a done deal.

但是，CoinMarketCap的Altcoin賽季指數仍然傾向於比特幣，因此這不是一筆交易。

XRP in the Spotlight

XRP聚光燈

XRP is getting a lot of attention, with analyst XRPunkie suggesting it could be gearing up for a massive rally, potentially reaching $12 or higher. While technical setups look promising, the key will be increased trading volume and sustained investor sentiment.

XRP引起了很多關注，分析師XRPunkie表明它可能會為大規模的集會做準備，可能達到12美元或更高。儘管技術設置看起來很有希望，但關鍵將增加交易量和持續的投資者情緒。

The Takeaway

外賣

While Bitcoin remains the king, analysts are seeing signs that altcoins could be ready to shine. Keep an eye on Bitcoin dominance, regulatory developments, and market sentiment. Whether this is the start of a full-blown altcoin season or just a temporary surge remains to be seen.

雖然比特幣仍然是國王，但分析師看到了Altcoins可以準備發光的跡象。密切關注比特幣的主導地位，監管發展和市場情緒。無論這是成熟的山寨幣季節的開始還是只是臨時激增，還有待觀察。

So, buckle up, crypto enthusiasts! It's going to be an interesting ride. Just remember to do your own research before diving into any altcoin adventures. After all, in the wild world of crypto, a little bit of caution can go a long way. Now, if you'll excuse me, I'm off to research the next potential moonshot... or maybe just grab a pizza. Decisions, decisions!

因此，搭扣，加密愛好者！這將是一個有趣的旅程。只需記住在進行任何Altcoin冒險活動之前進行自己的研究。畢竟，在加密貨幣的野生世界中，一點謹慎會有很長的路要走。現在，如果您能原諒我，我要去研究下一個潛在的月球球員……或者只是抓住披薩。決定，決定！