How Much Will XRP Be Worth If Ripple Handles 15% of SWIFT's Volume?

Various crypto projects are projecting potential growth metrics. Ripple, for example, has long been seen as a possible challenger to SWIFT.

Various crypto projects are projecting potential growth metrics. For example, some believe that Ripple could become a major competitor to SWIFT, facilitating a high volume of global transactions.

If this scenario plays out and Ripple manages to handle 15% of SWIFT’s global transaction volume, what could be the implications for the XRP price?

A post by TheCryptoBasic on X delves into this possibility further, providing a breakdown of how XRP might benefit if it becomes a key player in cross-border payments and what this could mean for the token’s value. The post uses insights from Ripple’s CEO Brad Garlinghouse and CTO David Schwartz to examine this scenario.

At the 2025 XRPL Apex event in Singapore, a journalist asked both Garlinghouse and Schwartz how much of SWIFT’s transaction volume the XRP Ledger could realistically handle in the next five years.

In response, Garlinghouse said it was realistic for XRPL to handle about 14% of SWIFT’s total volume in the coming years. TheCryptoBasic highlighted that although some earlier calculations used $5 trillion per day in transaction volume, a more accurate estimate from Forbes put SWIFT’s annual volume at around $150 trillion.

If XRPL captures 14% of that $150 trillion, it means roughly $21 trillion yearly volume flowing through the XRP Ledger.

To put this in perspective, if each XRP token is used 30 times a year, the network would need a liquidity pool of around $700 billion to support the full $21 trillion in volume at the token price at the time of writing, which is $2.24.

According to OpenAI’s ChatGPT, which TheCryptoBasic mentioned in its post, this means that to reach the required liquidity at the current circulating supply of 58.81 billion tokens, XRP’s price would need to rise to about $11.90.

However, this is just the base value. If the market begins to value XRP at 1.5 times its base utility due to speculation and/or strong institutional interest, then the price could climb even further to $17.85. And if that multiplier reaches 2 times, then XRP might reach as high as $23.81.

These calculations depend on key assumptions, such as XRP continuing to be the main asset used for XRPL’s liquidity functions and the 30x yearly turnover rate remaining accurate. If XRP circulates faster than that, the network would require a smaller liquidity pool, and the necessary price per token would be lower.

Overall, this scenario shared by TheCryptoBasic offers an interesting angle on Ripple’s future and XRP’s price outlook, based on a real-world estimate of SWIFT’s volume and a conservative model of how often XRP is reused. It also includes speculative layers that could make the price go higher depending on demand and adoption.

If Ripple does manage to handle even 14 to 15% of SWIFT’s global transaction volume and if XRP stays at the center of that system, then prices in the $12 to $24 range are not out of reach.

Still, this is just one potential path. What matters now is whether Ripple’s adoption continues to grow and whether XRP maintains its role in the ecosystem. As TheCryptoBasic concluded in the post, the next few years will be key to seeing how much value XRP can really deliver.