XRP Price Risks 50% Plunge as Head-and-Shoulders Pattern Forms

The XRP price has remained afloat in 2025 despite the uncertain market condition where several large-cap assets have floundered.

The price of XRP has come under pressure in recent days, and one crypto analyst is warning that the altcoin could be on track for a 50% plunge.

According to data from CoinGecko, the price of XRP is down by nearly 16% in the last seven days. A popular crypto analyst known for his analysis on X, formerly Twitter, says the altcoin’s woes might just be about to begin.

Here’s How XRP Is At Risk Of 50% Plunge

In a March 1 post on X, crypto pundit Ali Martinez shared an interesting projection for the price of XRP, saying the fourth-largest cryptocurrency is at risk of significant downward pressure in the near future. Martinez suggested that the value of XRP could be almost halved in the coming weeks.

This bearish forecast is based on the formation of the head-and-shoulders pattern on the XRP chart on the 12-hour timeframe. The head-and-shoulders formation is a technical analysis pattern marked by three distinct swing highs, including a higher “head” between two lower “shoulders.”

This chart pattern signals a possible trend reversal; usually a shift from an uptrend to a downward price trend. This trend reversal can be confirmed when the asset price breaks down below the neckline, which is a trendline connecting the troughs (swing lows) between the head.

As shown in the above chart, the XRP price recently found support at the neckline around the $2 area before bouncing back toward $2.2. The price of XRP appears to be making a U-turn for a return to the neckline. If the altcoin does return, successfully breaches, and closes below the neckline, investors could see a shift to a downward trend.

In the head-and-shoulders formation, the price target is calculated by subtracting the height of the pattern (vertical distance between the head and the neckline) from the breakout point. Based on this strategy, the price of XRP could target the $1.1 mark (roughly 50% decline from the current price point) if it breaks below $2.

It is worth noting, though, that a strong 12-hour candlestick close above the $2.8 level would invalidate the current bearish outlook for the XRP price. Ultimately, if the XRP token reclaims $0.8, it could resume its bullish run and make a run for new highs in this cycle.

XRP Price At A Glance

As of this writing, the price of XRP stands around $2.17, reflecting a 1% increase in the past 24 hours.