Despite a 30% Recovery From Its 2025 Low, SHIB Continues to Face Significant On-Chain Hurdles

Despite a 30% recovery from its 2025 low, SHIB continues to face significant on-chain hurdles, leaving traders questioning whether this is the beginning of a major breakout—or another short-lived bounce.

Shiba Inu (SHIB) has shown some signs of recovery, rising 30% from its 2025 lows despite still confronting a "wall of resistance" at key price levels, leaving traders pondering whether this marks the beginning of a major breakout or another short-lived bounce.

SHIB Confronts a Dense Liquidity Zone

Currently trading around $0.00001290, SHIB has managed to reclaim its 50-day exponential moving average (EMA), a key technical milestone often seen as a bullish signal. However, SHIB's journey upward is anything but easy. According to IntoTheBlock, over 66,000 addresses collectively hold more than 41 trillion SHIB between $0.000012 and $0.000013—a dense liquidity zone acting as a psychological and technical barrier.

SHIB could drop to $0.00000603 if it breaks below the channel, but a breakout above $0.00001260 may push it toward $0.000017. Source: Paper_Trader1775 on TradingView

A larger wall of resistance lies just beyond, where another 15 trillion tokens are stashed between $0.000013 and $0.000014. These are primarily "out-of-the-money" holders—investors who bought at higher levels and are likely to sell once breakeven prices are reached. This sell pressure creates a heavy burden for bulls attempting to drive the price further upward.

"This kind of volume at a known price level gives the market something clear to work with," noted one analyst. "Either buyers step in with enough strength to absorb it, or the price stalls out—again—and retraces."

Technical Indicators Mixed

Despite these challenges, several analysts remain cautiously optimistic. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is sitting at around 54—comfortably below overbought territory—suggesting potential for continued upward movement.

Furthermore, the Bollinger Bands trend shows a bullish divergence pattern, signaling that price momentum may be strengthening.

Shiba Inu (SHIB) may be primed for a strong rebound as the TD Sequential indicator signals a weekly buy opportunity. Source: Ali Martinez via X

Renowned crypto analyst Ali Martinez highlighted that the TD Sequential indicator on the weekly chart has flashed a buy signal, a tool often used to predict trend reversals. "This could be setting the stage for a major rebound," Martinez said.

Adding to the technical setup is a double-bottom formation at $0.00001070, with a neckline near $0.00001565. If confirmed, this pattern could suggest a rally to as high as $0.00002217—a potential 70% increase from current levels.

Bitcoin Price Action Critical

Like many altcoins, SHIB's price trajectory is closely tied to Bitcoin's performance. The broader crypto market has been buoyed by Bitcoin's push past $90,000, a milestone that has sparked bullish sentiment. If BTC reaches the widely discussed $100,000, it could pull SHIB with it.

Bitcoin (BTC) was trading at around $90,757, up 3.34% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: Bitcoin Liquid Index (BLX) via Brave New Coin

"Historically, altcoins tend to surge alongside Bitcoin in bull markets," said one market watcher. "If Bitcoin keeps climbing, it might drag SHIB out of its current rut."

Even Robert Kiyosaki, author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, predicted BTC could hit $180,000 by year-end—a scenario that would almost certainly provide tailwinds for SHIB.

Community Caution and Token Burns

Beyond price action, the Shiba Inu ecosystem is growing more utility-focused. Its layer-2 solution, Shibarium, has now processed over 1 billion transactions, while the project's aggressive token burn strategy continues to reduce circulating supply—contributing to long-term bullish arguments.

Still, the SHIB community remains cautious. Shiba Inu's official marketing lead, LUCIE, recently warned users of impersonators exploiting the token's popularity, advising investors to remain vigilant.

As SHIB navigates these technical and community-driven challenges, its fate will rely on whether it can break past the $0.000013 and $0.000014 resistance to establish the way to $0.00001576 and possibly more, based on how strongly Bitcoin can recover.

Shiba Inu (SHIB) was trading at around $0.00001254 at press