Monero (XMR) Price Prediction in June: Will the Privacy Coin Continue Its Breakout?

May was a wild month for Monero, although it's not over just yet. After spending much of early 2024 under the radar, the privacy-focused token made a big

May was a wild month for Monero (XMR), though the journey isn’t over just yet. After spending much of early 2025 under the radar, the privacy-focused token made a big return; climbing from around $270 at the start of the month to over $410 by May 26.

That’s more than a 50% surge in less than four weeks, and it’s turned a lot of heads. Monero’s market cap now sits above $7.5 billion, making it the 20th largest crypto project by valuation. But the real question now is: what happens next?

To answer that, we asked AI to look at the current momentum, technical indicators, and historical trends to predict where XMR might go in June. But before the forecast, let’s break down what the chart is actually telling us.

What the Indicators Are Saying

Monero’s technicals are flashing strong signals, but not all of them are easily interpreted.

The MACD, sitting at 29.56, shows very strong bullish momentum. On a monthly chart, that’s a green light for long-term strength. However, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is above 288, which is an overbought signal. It suggests the current rally might be a little overheated, at least in the short term.

The Average True Range (ATR), which measures volatility, is currently at 56.11, standing for high levels of price fluctuation. It’s confirming that Monero has been moving fast and wide. This aligns with what we’re seeing on the chart: large green candles, showcasing significant price gains, and broad daily ranges.

Meanwhile, the Ultimate Oscillator stands at 69.84. It’s high, but not yet reaching extreme levels. It suggests there’s still some fuel for this uptrend to continue – although we’re getting closer to the tipping point where a cool-down becomes more likely.

Finally, the Rate of Change (ROC) is over 222%, which is a huge increment. It’s highlighting the sheer speed and magnitude of May’s rally. It’s excellent news for bulls, yet rallies this steep rarely go uninterrupted for extended periods.

Monero Price Prediction – What Could Happen in June?

With the help of AI, we modeled three possible scenarios for Monero’s price in June, based on how it typically behaves after fast rallies and what the current technical analysis suggests.

⚠️ Pessimistic Case – A Cool-Down to $305

If overbought signals, like the CMF being so high, start to kick in and traders take some profits from the recent surge, we could see XMR pull back slightly to the $300–$310 range. That would still keep Monero at a higher level than where it started the year but marks a healthy correction after such a sharp rise.

🤝 Realistic Case – Consolidates and Drifts Higher to $415–$470

If the current trend holds and the broader crypto market, especially Bitcoin (BTC), remains stable, then Monero could consolidate for a while, then drift higher. In this case, we might see a gradual push toward $430 or even $470 as the next resistance. It would be a sign that buyers are still in control and the broader market is supportive.

🚀 Optimistic Case – Breakout Past $500 on A LOT of Volume

If Bitcoin manages to rally again from this consolidation phase or if interest in privacy coins like XMR explodes, then XMR could break out of the current resistance and aim for $500 or more. AI models suggest a target of around $550 in the most bullish outcome. This scenario would likely require broader market strength, like the S&P 500 also trending up, and continued signs of strong demand for private, untraceable transactions.

Read also: Is It Too Late to Buy ADA? Cardano Price Prediction

Wrapping Up

Monero’s price surge in May took a lot of people by surprise. The technicals show strong momentum with the MACD being very high on the monthly chart, but also a bit of caution as the CMF is overbought and the Ultimate Oscillator is getting into overbought levels. With volatility confirmed to be high by the ATR and indicators reaching extreme levels, June could go in a few different directions.

Whether we see a natural pause for a more sustainable continuation or a breakout to new highs, one thing is clear – Monero is back in the radar. And as discussions around privacy and decentralization are heating up again, XMR might have more room to run than most people think.

Just don’,t forget to keep an eye on those indicators. In a bull market, the next trend can flip