Major increases in token circulation continue to weigh on market performance

The report, covering five crypto projects, TAIKO, PYTH, MORPHO, NYAN, and SPEC, shows that higher float has not translated into stronger demand.

A 30-day supply analysis by Tokenomist (formerly TokenUnlocks) has shown that major increases in token circulation continue to weigh on market performance. The report, which covers five crypto projects: TAIKO, PYTH, MORPHO, NYAN, and SPEC had an interesting observation. It was found that higher float did not translate into stronger demand. All tokens listed recorded negative price returns, even in cases where market capitalization rose. The data confirms persistent underperformance linked to token emissions.

Over the past 30 days, several tokens saw significant increases in circulating supply.

Several tokens saw significant increases in circulating supply over the past 30 days. 30D supply growth saw an inverse correlation with price performance, while the highest supply increases were linked to the deepest token price falls. All tokens with the highest 30D supply growth posted negative returns, confirming continued underperformance post-emissions. Circulating supply growth ranged from +25% for SPEC to +71.9% for TAIKO. Among the five tokens, NYAN had the weakest performance with a 59.5% price decline despite a 29.6% rise in circulating supply over 30 days.

The analysis also observed that the greatest relative stability was displayed by MORPHO which saw a 33.3% increase in supply but also recorded a 26.2% rise in market cap. Its token price went down by 5.3%.

The data suggests that market demand for MORPHO more closely matches its emission levels, limiting the impact on token price. However, for NYAN, both valuation and supply absorption dropped indicating low confidence or diminishing utility tied to the asset.

Such conditions were also evident in SPEC. The token’s supply went up by 25.7 percent while the market cap went down by 26.6 percent leading to a price reduction of 41.6 percent. Similar to NYAN, the figures of SPEC show that investors were not keen to take up the new float which led to devaluation.

There was a great increase in supply in the projects with the greatest level of price performance being negative. This finding ties in with an observation made repeatedly in tokenomics: when supply grows rapidly, market prices may be easily overwhelmed unless demand or utility also rises quickly. The token that did not suffer such massive losses was MORPHO which was resilient in terms of its resilience despite its emission rate.