Hedera (HBAR) & Stablecoin Supply: A Wild Ride?

Hedera (HBAR) & Stablecoin Supply: A Wild Ride?

Hedera (HBAR) is back in the spotlight! From fluctuating stablecoin supplies to major partnerships, let's dive into what's happening with this intriguing crypto.

The Curious Case of Hedera's Stablecoin Supply

Something weird is going on with the stablecoin supply on Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR). Throughout 2024 and into October 2025, the network's stablecoin supply has been surging and plunging, sometimes within hours! It's been a rollercoaster, and nobody seems to know exactly why.

DeFi Llama data reveals a pattern: the stablecoin supply starts the year at $42 million, surges to $78 million on January 28th, and plunges to $35 million on the 30th. Then, after climbing in March, it peaks at $214 million on May 24th before crashing to $46 million on May 27th. August sees another peak at $224 million, followed by a drop to $56 million. Most recently, it hit $164 million on October 1st, then plummeted to $81 million.

USDC dominates Hedera's stablecoin market with 99.63% share, driving these fluctuations. Meanwhile, the overall USDC supply has been steadily increasing, suggesting the issue is specific to Hedera. Is it controlled by a few big players, or is capital just flowing out faster than it's coming in? It's a mystery!

Arrow Electronics Joins the Party

Adding a twist to the tale, global tech giant Arrow Electronics (worth a cool $28 billion) joined the Hedera Governing Council in October 2025. This move has traders buzzing, hinting at real-world adoption and a potential breakout.

Arrow is exploring using Hedera's tech to optimize supply chains, connecting suppliers and customers on-chain. While they haven't announced direct HBAR token integration yet, the partnership signals confidence in Hedera's infrastructure.

HBAR Price: Coiling Up for a Breakout?

On the charts, HBAR price has been trending in a downtrend channel since July, forming what looks like a bull flag pattern. Bollinger Bands are compressing, indicating consolidation. A breakout above $0.24-$0.245 could send HBAR to $0.27 and potentially $0.31, while dropping below $0.21 would break the setup. All eyes are on the catalysts!

HBAR's Bullish October

HBAR staged a recovery rally in early October 2025, climbing over 3% amidst market volatility. Between October 2nd and 3rd, HBAR rebounded from September lows, registering gains of approximately 4.5% and a further 6.19% within a 24-hour period, driven by heavy trading volume and renewed investor confidence.

This surge was characterized by favorable chart patterns, including a descending wedge and a double-bottom formation. This activity suggests significant institutional participation and optimism.

The Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) Factor

The Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) RSI has fallen to 21, potentially signaling bullish momentum for Bitcoin. A lower SSR suggests an abundance of stablecoins ready to flow into Bitcoin, which could boost its price.

While not directly tied to HBAR, the overall market dynamics suggest caution and awareness of regulatory challenges. Monitoring exchange supply ratios and on-chain activity will be essential for capitalizing on emerging opportunities.

So, What's Next?

HBAR's recent performance underscores the growing importance of institutional conviction and real-world utility in the crypto space. With potential ETF approvals and continued integration into finance, HBAR is one to watch.

The wild ride continues! Will HBAR break out, or will the stablecoin supply keep us guessing? Only time will tell. Buckle up, crypto enthusiasts!